FC Thun

Thu 22 Oct19:00Upcoming

HNK Hajduk Split

⚽ UEFA Europa Conference League

FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk Split Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk Split in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Kick-off Thursday 22 October 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

FC Thun face HNK Hajduk Split in the UEFA Europa Conference League, kicking off Thursday 22 October 2026, 19:00 UTC. The bookmaker market makes a HNK Hajduk Split win the most likely result at 40%, implying a 1.4-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk Split with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
FC Thun win	32%
Draw	28%
HNK Hajduk Split win	40%
Over 2.5 goals	59%
Both teams to score	62%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.45 – 1.60 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.7%	7.6%	6.1%	3.2%	1.3%
1	6.9%	11.0%	8.8%	4.7%	1.9%
2	5.0%	8.0%	6.4%	3.4%	1.4%
3	2.4%	3.9%	3.1%	1.6%	0.7%
4	0.9%	1.4%	1.1%	0.6%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

FC Thun winDrawHNK Hajduk Split win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk Split. Based on the bookmaker odds, a HNK Hajduk Split win is the most likely result at 40%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 59%. Both teams to score: yes at 62%.

📊 Key numbers

FC Thun 32%Draw 28%HNK Hajduk Split 40%

32%28%40%

40%

HNK Hajduk Split Win

59%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

FC Thun

FC Thun come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to SC Kriens. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Twente.

DFC Schaffhausen 1-1 FC ThunSchweizer Cup
LTwente 1-0 FC ThunUEFA Europa Conference
LFC Zurich 4-2 FC ThunSuper League
WFC Thun 2-0 SC KriensFriendlies Clubs
WFC Vaduz 1-2 FC ThunSuper League

HNK Hajduk Split

HNK Hajduk Split come into this game with 5 wins from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 2. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at Rudes. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WHNK Hajduk Split 1-0 NK VarazdinHNL
WHNK Hajduk Split 2-1 AjaxUEFA Europa Conference
WHNK Hajduk Split 2-1 Dinamo ZagrebHNL
WVardarac 0-2 HNK Hajduk SplitCup
WRudes 0-4 HNK Hajduk SplitHNL

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices FC Thun at 32% to win and HNK Hajduk Split at 40%, with the draw at 28%. The bookmaker market makes a HNK Hajduk Split win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
HNK Hajduk Split Win	40%	@ 2.35
FC Thun Win	32%	@ 2.90
Draw	28%	@ 3.40

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is HNK Hajduk Split or Draw at 1.40 (68% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
HNK Hajduk Split or Draw	68%	@ 1.40
FC Thun or Draw	60%	@ 1.57

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.4-1.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 59% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	81%	@ 1.17
Under 3.5	61%	@ 1.53
Over 2.5	59%	@ 1.60
Under 2.5	41%	@ 2.30
Over 3.5	39%	@ 2.38
Under 1.5	19%	@ 5.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 62%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	62%	@ 1.50
BTTS No	38%	@ 2.50

📈 How the market moved

FC Thun 33%Draw 27%HNK Hajduk Split 40%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk Split?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a HNK Hajduk Split win is the most likely result at 40%.

Who is the favourite for FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk Split?

Our model makes a HNK Hajduk Split win the most likely result at 40%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.6 scoreline for FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk Split.

What is the predicted score for FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk Split?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.45 for FC Thun and 1.60 for HNK Hajduk Split. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do FC Thun and HNK Hajduk Split play?

Kick-off is Thursday 22 October 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.