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⚽ Championship

Charlton vs Norwich Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Charlton vs Norwich in the Championship. Kick-off Saturday 24 October 2026, 11:30 UTC.

Charlton face Norwich in the Championship, kicking off Saturday 24 October 2026, 11:30 UTC. Recent form: Charlton have no wins from their last 5, while Norwich have no wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Charlton win the most likely result at 39%, projecting a 1.3-1.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find our best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Charlton vs Norwich with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Market pick
Under 3.5 @ 1.33
71%Bookmaker odds imply 71%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.32 – 1.48 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 6.1% 9.0% 6.7% 3.3% 1.2%
1 8.0% 11.9% 8.8% 4.3% 1.6%
2 5.3% 7.8% 5.8% 2.9% 1.1%
3 2.3% 3.4% 2.6% 1.3% 0.5%
4 0.8% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%
Projected score: 1-1
Charlton winDrawNorwich win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Charlton vs Norwich comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.33, with a 71% probability implied by the bookmaker odds. On the match result, the model rates a Charlton win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 39%. Goals lean over 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points yes (56%).

📊 Key numbers

Charlton 39%Draw 31%Norwich 29%
39%31%29%
39%
Charlton Win
53%
Over 2.5 goals
56%
BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Charlton

Charlton come into this game with no wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 8. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Watford.

  • LWatford 2-0 CharltonChampionship
  • DBurnley 2-2 CharltonChampionship
  • DCharlton 1-1 Bristol CityChampionship
  • LCardiff 3-1 CharltonChampionship
  • DCharlton 0-0 PortsmouthChampionship
Norwich

Norwich come into this game with 5 defeats from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 13. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Portsmouth.

  • LNorwich 0-1 PortsmouthChampionship
  • LNorwich 0-1 SouthamptonChampionship
  • LSwansea 2-1 NorwichChampionship
  • LNorwich 3-4 BoltonChampionship
  • LManchester City 5-0 NorwichLeague Cup

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 10 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Charlton
  • R. ApterKnee Injury
  • C. SichenjeKnee Injury
  • N. ChalobahMuscle Injury
  • M. GoddenMuscle Injury
Norwich
  • A. AhmedKnee Injury
  • P. A. DialloInjury
  • V. KovacevicConcussion
  • K. McLeanInjury
  • M. ToureShoulder Injury
  • A. CrnacRest

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Charlton at 39% to win and Norwich at 29%, with the draw at 31%. Our model makes a Charlton win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Charlton Win 39% 28% @ 3.30
Draw 31% 27% @ 3.40
Norwich Win 29% 45% @ 2.05

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Charlton or Draw at 1.73 (68% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Charlton or Draw 68% 55% @ 1.73
Norwich or Draw 58% 72% @ 1.33

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.3-1.5 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 53% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Over 1.5 77% 75% @ 1.28
Under 3.5 69% 72% @ 1.33
Over 2.5 53% 50% @ 1.91
Under 2.5 47% 50% @ 1.91
Over 3.5 31% 28% @ 3.40
Under 1.5 23% 25% @ 3.75

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 56%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 56% 54% @ 1.73
BTTS No 44% 46% @ 2.00

📈 How the market moved

23%36%49%10/2010/2110/22

Charlton 29%Draw 27%Norwich 45%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Charlton vs Norwich?

Our pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.33, with a 71% probability implied by the bookmaker odds.

Who is the favourite for Charlton vs Norwich?

Our model makes a Charlton win the most likely result at 39%. It projects an expected 1.3-1.5 scoreline for Charlton vs Norwich.

What is the predicted score for Charlton vs Norwich?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.32 for Charlton and 1.48 for Norwich. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Charlton and Norwich play?

Kick-off is Saturday 24 October 2026, 11:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.

Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.