Sat 24 Oct11:30Upcoming

⚽ Championship

Portsmouth vs Millwall Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Portsmouth vs Millwall in the Championship. Kick-off Saturday 24 October 2026, 11:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Portsmouth face Millwall in the Championship, kicking off Saturday 24 October 2026, 11:30 UTC. Recent form: Portsmouth have 2 wins from their last 5, while Millwall have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Millwall won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Portsmouth win the most likely result at 38%, projecting a 1.3-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find our best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Portsmouth vs Millwall with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Market pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.30

73%Bookmaker odds imply 73%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.27 – 1.17 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.7%	10.2%	6.0%	2.3%	0.7%
1	11.1%	13.0%	7.6%	3.0%	0.9%
2	7.0%	8.2%	4.8%	1.9%	0.5%
3	3.0%	3.5%	2.0%	0.8%	0.2%
4	0.9%	1.1%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Portsmouth winDrawMillwall win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Portsmouth vs Millwall comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.30, with a 73% probability implied by the bookmaker odds. On the match result, the model rates a Portsmouth win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 38%. Goals lean under 2.5 (56%), both teams to score points no (51%).

📊 Key numbers

Portsmouth 38%Draw 29%Millwall 33%

38%29%33%

38%

Portsmouth Win

56%

Under 2.5 goals

51%

BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Portsmouth and Millwall. Wins shown from Portsmouth’s perspective: Millwall 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2025-04-05	Millwall	2 – 1	Portsmouth	L
2025-01-28	Portsmouth	0 – 1	Millwall	L

📈 Recent form

Portsmouth

Portsmouth come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Norwich. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at Southampton.

DWolves 1-1 PortsmouthChampionship
WNorwich 0-1 PortsmouthChampionship
WPortsmouth 3-2 Sheffield UtdChampionship
LSouthampton 1-0 PortsmouthChampionship
DPortsmouth 2-2 BlackburnChampionship

Millwall

Millwall come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Preston. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at home to Swansea.

DMillwall 2-2 LincolnChampionship
LMillwall 0-1 SwanseaChampionship
WPreston 0-1 MillwallChampionship
DMillwall 2-2 West HamChampionship
DMiddlesbrough 2-2 MillwallChampionship

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 17 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Portsmouth

B. ArthurBack Injury
C. BishopNot in squad
L. Brooke-SmithAnkle Injury
M. KosznovszkyKnee Injury
J. MurphyGroin Injury
C. OgilvieKnee Injury
J. SwiftNot in squad
F. UmehHamstring Injury

Millwall

J. CoburnMuscle Injury
C. De NorreMuscle Injury
M. IvanovicHamstring Injury
L. JensenMuscle Injury
M. LuongoKnee Injury
M. ServaisNot in squad
T. ArconteAnkle Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Portsmouth at 38% to win and Millwall at 33%, with the draw at 29%. Our model makes a Portsmouth win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Portsmouth Win	38%	35%	@ 2.62
Millwall Win	33%	36%	@ 2.55
Draw	29%	28%	@ 3.25

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Portsmouth or Draw at 1.50 (66% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Portsmouth or Draw	66%	64%	@ 1.50
Millwall or Draw	61%	65%	@ 1.44

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.3-1.2 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 56% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	77%	73%	@ 1.30
Over 1.5	70%	72%	@ 1.33
Under 2.5	56%	53%	@ 1.80
Over 2.5	44%	47%	@ 2.00
Under 1.5	30%	28%	@ 3.40
Over 3.5	23%	27%	@ 3.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 51%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	51%	46%	@ 2.00
BTTS Yes	49%	54%	@ 1.73

📈 How the market moved

Portsmouth 35%Draw 28%Millwall 36%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Portsmouth vs Millwall?

Our pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.30, with a 73% probability implied by the bookmaker odds.

Who is the favourite for Portsmouth vs Millwall?

Our model makes a Portsmouth win the most likely result at 38%. It projects an expected 1.3-1.2 scoreline for Portsmouth vs Millwall.

What is the predicted score for Portsmouth vs Millwall?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.27 for Portsmouth and 1.17 for Millwall. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Portsmouth and Millwall play?

Kick-off is Saturday 24 October 2026, 11:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.