Sat 24 Oct14:00Upcoming

⚽ Championship

Blackburn vs Wrexham Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Blackburn vs Wrexham in the Championship. Kick-off Saturday 24 October 2026, 14:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Blackburn face Wrexham in the Championship, kicking off Saturday 24 October 2026, 14:00 UTC. Recent form: Blackburn have 3 wins from their last 5, while Wrexham have 2 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Blackburn win the most likely result at 43%, projecting a 1.4-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Blackburn vs Wrexham with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.25

75%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.44 – 1.10 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.9%	8.7%	4.8%	1.7%	0.5%
1	11.4%	12.5%	6.9%	2.5%	0.7%
2	8.2%	9.0%	4.9%	1.8%	0.5%
3	3.9%	4.3%	2.4%	0.9%	0.2%
4	1.4%	1.6%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Blackburn winDrawWrexham win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Blackburn vs Wrexham comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.25, with a 75% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Blackburn win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 43%. Goals lean under 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points yes (51%).

📊 Key numbers

Blackburn 43%Draw 30%Wrexham 27%

43%30%27%

43%

Blackburn Win

53%

Under 2.5 goals

51%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Blackburn

Blackburn come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Millwall. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at West Brom.

LWest Brom 3-2 BlackburnChampionship
WBristol City 0-1 BlackburnChampionship
WBlackburn 2-1 CardiffChampionship
DPortsmouth 2-2 BlackburnChampionship
WBlackburn 3-1 MillwallChampionship

Wrexham

Wrexham come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to Preston. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to West Brom.

WWrexham 4-1 PrestonChampionship
LWrexham 1-2 West BromChampionship
DDerby 1-1 WrexhamChampionship
WWrexham 2-1 SouthamptonChampionship
LWest Ham 6-0 WrexhamChampionship

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Blackburn at 43% to win and Wrexham at 27%, with the draw at 30%. Our model makes a Blackburn win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Blackburn Win	43%	34%	@ 2.70
Draw	30%	30%	@ 3.10
Wrexham Win	27%	36%	@ 2.55

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Blackburn or Draw at 1.50 (71% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Blackburn or Draw	71%	64%	@ 1.50
Wrexham or Draw	55%	66%	@ 1.44

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.1 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 53% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	75%	76%	@ 1.25
Over 1.5	72%	70%	@ 1.36
Under 2.5	53%	57%	@ 1.67
Over 2.5	47%	43%	@ 2.20
Under 1.5	28%	30%	@ 3.20
Over 3.5	25%	24%	@ 4.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 51%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	51%	50%	@ 1.83
BTTS No	49%	50%	@ 1.83

📈 How the market moved

Blackburn 34%Draw 30%Wrexham 36%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Blackburn vs Wrexham?

Our model's pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.25, with a 75% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 76%.

Who is the favourite for Blackburn vs Wrexham?

Our model makes a Blackburn win the most likely result at 43%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.1 scoreline for Blackburn vs Wrexham.

What is the predicted score for Blackburn vs Wrexham?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.44 for Blackburn and 1.10 for Wrexham. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Blackburn and Wrexham play?

Kick-off is Saturday 24 October 2026, 14:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.