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⚽ Serie A

Sassuolo vs Lazio Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Sassuolo vs Lazio in the Serie A. Kick-off Tuesday 27 October 2026, 17:30 UTC.

Sassuolo face Lazio in the Serie A, kicking off Tuesday 27 October 2026, 17:30 UTC. Recent form: Sassuolo have 1 win from their last 5, while Lazio have 4 wins from their last 5. In their last 4 meetings, Sassuolo won 1, Lazio won 2, 1 drawn. The bookmaker market makes a Lazio win the most likely result at 38%, implying a 1.4-1.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Sassuolo vs Lazio with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome Market %
Sassuolo win 34%
Draw 28%
Lazio win 38%
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 58%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.40 – 1.50 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 5.5% 8.3% 6.2% 3.1% 1.2%
1 7.7% 11.6% 8.7% 4.3% 1.6%
2 5.4% 8.1% 6.1% 3.0% 1.1%
3 2.5% 3.8% 2.8% 1.4% 0.5%
4 0.9% 1.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
Projected score: 1-1
Sassuolo winDrawLazio win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Sassuolo vs Lazio. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Lazio win is the most likely result at 38%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 55%. Both teams to score: yes at 58%.

📊 Key numbers

Sassuolo 34%Draw 28%Lazio 38%
34%28%38%
38%
Lazio Win
55%
Over 2.5 goals
58%
BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 4 meetings between Sassuolo and Lazio. Wins shown from Sassuolo’s perspective: Sassuolo 1 · 1 drawn · Lazio 2.

Date Home Score Away Result
2026-03-09 Lazio 2 – 1 Sassuolo L
2025-09-14 Sassuolo 1 – 0 Lazio W
2024-05-26 Lazio 1 – 1 Sassuolo D
2023-10-21 Sassuolo 0 – 2 Lazio L

📈 Recent form

Sassuolo

Sassuolo come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at home to Juventus. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 2-4 at Frosinone.

  • LFrosinone 4-2 SassuoloSerie A
  • DSassuolo 1-1 AC MilanSerie A
  • LMonza 2-1 SassuoloSerie A
  • WSassuolo 3-2 JuventusSerie A
  • DBologna 2-2 SassuoloSerie A
Lazio

Lazio come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 13 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Juventus. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

  • WJuventus 0-3 LazioSerie A
  • WLazio 3-1 MonzaSerie A
  • DLazio 3-3 Juve StabiaFriendlies Clubs
  • WVenezia 0-2 LazioSerie A
  • DLazio 2-2 AC MilanSerie A

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 7 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Sassuolo
  • I. KonéBroken Leg
  • E. PieragnoloJumpers Knee
  • Fali CandéJumpers Knee
  • D. BolocaMuscle Bruise
  • Y. PazJumpers Knee
Lazio
  • PatricSprained Ankle
  • A. FurlanettoJumpers Knee

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Sassuolo at 34% to win and Lazio at 38%, with the draw at 28%. The bookmaker market makes a Lazio win the most likely outcome.

Selection Market % Odds
Lazio Win 38% @ 2.45
Sassuolo Win 34% @ 2.75
Draw 28% @ 3.40

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Lazio or Draw at 1.40 (66% market).

Selection Market % Odds
Lazio or Draw 66% @ 1.40
Sassuolo or Draw 62% @ 1.53

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.4-1.5 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 55% probability.

Selection Market % Odds
Over 1.5 78% @ 1.22
Under 3.5 66% @ 1.44
Over 2.5 55% @ 1.73
Under 2.5 45% @ 2.10
Over 3.5 34% @ 2.75
Under 1.5 22% @ 4.33

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 58%.

Selection Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 58% @ 1.62
BTTS No 42% @ 2.20

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sassuolo vs Lazio?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Lazio win is the most likely result at 38%.

Who is the favourite for Sassuolo vs Lazio?

Our model makes a Lazio win the most likely result at 38%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.5 scoreline for Sassuolo vs Lazio.

What is the predicted score for Sassuolo vs Lazio?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.40 for Sassuolo and 1.50 for Lazio. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Sassuolo and Lazio play?

Kick-off is Tuesday 27 October 2026, 17:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.