⚽ Serie A
AS Roma vs Cagliari Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for AS Roma vs Cagliari in the Serie A. Kick-off Tuesday 27 October 2026, 19:45 UTC.
AS Roma face Cagliari in the Serie A, kicking off Tuesday 27 October 2026, 19:45 UTC. Recent form: AS Roma have 3 wins from their last 5, while Cagliari have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, AS Roma won 3, Cagliari won 1, 1 drawn. The bookmaker market makes an AS Roma win the most likely result at 70%, implying a 2.1-0.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for AS Roma vs Cagliari with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
📈 Market view
We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.
| Outcome | Market % |
|---|---|
| AS Roma win | 70% |
| Draw | 20% |
| Cagliari win | 10% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% |
| Both teams to score | 47% |
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.4% | 8.7% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 13.4% | 9.4% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 9.6% | 6.7% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
🧠 Market summary
This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of AS Roma vs Cagliari. Based on the bookmaker odds, an AS Roma win is the most likely result at 70%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 55%. Both teams to score: no at 53%.
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between AS Roma and Cagliari. Wins shown from AS Roma’s perspective: AS Roma 3 · 1 drawn · Cagliari 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-09 | AS Roma | 2 – 0 | Cagliari | W |
| 2025-12-07 | Cagliari | 1 – 0 | AS Roma | L |
| 2025-03-16 | AS Roma | 1 – 0 | Cagliari | W |
| 2024-08-18 | Cagliari | 0 – 0 | AS Roma | D |
| 2024-02-05 | AS Roma | 4 – 0 | Cagliari | W |
📈 Recent form
AS Roma come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Slovan Bratislava. Their only defeat in that run was 3-4 at home to Real Madrid.
- WAS Roma 4-0 Slovan BratislavaUEFA Champions League
- WAS Roma 2-0 GenoaSerie A
- LAS Roma 3-4 Real MadridUEFA Champions League
- DComo 0-0 AS RomaSerie A
- DAS Roma 2-2 InterSerie A
Cagliari come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Udinese. Their only defeat in that run was 0-4 at Monza.
- LMonza 4-0 CagliariSerie A
- DCagliari 1-1 JuventusSerie A
- WUdinese 0-1 CagliariSerie A
- WAtalanta 1-2 CagliariSerie A
- WCagliari 1-0 LecceSerie A
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 2 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- M. BahJumpers Knee
- Riyad IdrissiJumpers Knee
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices AS Roma at 70% to win and Cagliari at 10%, with the draw at 20%. The bookmaker market makes an AS Roma win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| AS Roma Win | 70% | @ 1.36 |
| Draw | 20% | @ 4.75 |
| Cagliari Win | 11% | @ 9.00 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is AS Roma or Draw at 1.07 (90% market).
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| AS Roma or Draw | 89% | @ 1.07 |
| Cagliari or Draw | 30% | @ 3.00 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 2.1-0.7 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 55% probability.
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 78% | @ 1.22 |
| Under 3.5 | 66% | @ 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 | 55% | @ 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 | 45% | @ 2.10 |
| Over 3.5 | 34% | @ 2.75 |
| Under 1.5 | 22% | @ 4.33 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams not to score at 53%.
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 53% | @ 1.75 |
| BTTS Yes | 47% | @ 2.00 |
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for AS Roma vs Cagliari?
We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, an AS Roma win is the most likely result at 70%.
Who is the favourite for AS Roma vs Cagliari?
Our model makes an AS Roma win the most likely result at 70%. It projects an expected 2.1-0.7 scoreline for AS Roma vs Cagliari.
What is the predicted score for AS Roma vs Cagliari?
The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 2-0, based on expected goals of 2.15 for AS Roma and 0.70 for Cagliari. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do AS Roma and Cagliari play?
Kick-off is Tuesday 27 October 2026, 19:45 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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