Saburtalo

Tue 14 Jul2-2Finished

Flora Tallinn

⚽ UEFA Champions League

Saburtalo vs Flora Tallinn Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Saburtalo vs Flora Tallinn in the UEFA Champions League. Kick-off Tuesday 14 July 2026, 16:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Saburtalo 2-2 Flora Tallinn

Saburtalo vs Flora Tallinn finished 2-2. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Our pre-match best bet, over 2.5 goals at 1.57, landed.

Saburtalo face Flora Tallinn in the upcoming UEFA Champions League tips, kicking off Tuesday 14 July 2026, 16:00 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Saburtalo won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Saburtalo win the most likely result at 49%, projecting a 1.8-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Saburtalo vs Flora Tallinn with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 2.5 @ 1.57

77%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.82 – 1.38 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.1%	5.6%	3.9%	1.8%	0.6%
1	7.4%	10.2%	7.1%	3.2%	1.1%
2	6.8%	9.3%	6.4%	3.0%	1.0%
3	4.1%	5.7%	3.9%	1.8%	0.6%
4	1.9%	2.6%	1.8%	0.8%	0.3%

Projected score: 1-1

Saburtalo winDrawFlora Tallinn win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Saburtalo vs Flora Tallinn comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.57, with a 77% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Saburtalo win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 49%. Goals lean over 2.5 (62%), both teams to score points yes (63%).

📊 Key numbers

Saburtalo 49%Draw 28%Flora Tallinn 24%

49%28%24%

49%

Saburtalo Win

62%

Over 2.5 goals

63%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Saburtalo and Flora Tallinn. Wins shown from Saburtalo’s perspective: Saburtalo 1 · 1 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-07-14	Saburtalo	2 – 2	Flora Tallinn	D
2026-07-08	Flora Tallinn	2 – 3	Saburtalo	W

📈 Recent form

Flora Tallinn

Flora Tallinn come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 13 and conceding 9. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at home to Vaprus. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WFlora Tallinn 3-2 VaprusMeistriliiga
WNõmme United 2-3 Flora TallinnMeistriliiga
DTrans Narva 2-2 Flora TallinnMeistriliiga
WFlora Tallinn 2-1 Kalju NommeMeistriliiga
WFlora Tallinn 3-2 TammekaMeistriliiga

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Saburtalo at 49% to win and Flora Tallinn at 24%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Saburtalo win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Saburtalo Win	49%	59%	@ 1.58
Draw	28%	23%	@ 4.10
Flora Tallinn Win	24%	19%	@ 4.90

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Saburtalo or Draw at 1.14 (68% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Saburtalo or Draw	68%	81%	@ 1.14
Flora Tallinn or Draw	56%	41%	@ 2.20

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 62% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	83%	79%	@ 1.16
Over 2.5	62%	59%	@ 1.56
Under 3.5	60%	62%	@ 1.49
Over 3.5	40%	38%	@ 2.40
Under 2.5	38%	41%	@ 2.25
Under 1.5	17%	21%	@ 4.40

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 63%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	63%	57%	@ 1.61
BTTS No	37%	43%	@ 2.14

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Saburtalo or Flora Tallinn is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Flora Tallinn +2	84%	74%	@ 1.27
Flora Tallinn +1.75	81%	67%	@ 1.40
Flora Tallinn +1.5	78%	61%	@ 1.53
Flora Tallinn +1.25	73%	56%	@ 1.68
Saburtalo +0.75	72%	85%	1.12
Saburtalo +0.5	68%	79%	1.18
Flora Tallinn +1	67%	50%	@ 1.89
Saburtalo +0.25	62%	–	1.27
Flora Tallinn +0.75	62%	44%	@ 2.13
Flora Tallinn +0.5	56%	41%	@ 2.31
Saburtalo 0	56%	74%	1.28
Flora Tallinn +0.25	50%	33%	@ 2.83
Saburtalo -0.25	50%	67%	1.41
Flora Tallinn 0	44%	26%	@ 3.56
Saburtalo -0.5	44%	59%	1.57
Saburtalo -0.75	38%	56%	1.69
Saburtalo -1	33%	50%	1.88
Flora Tallinn -0.5	32%	21%	@ 4.45
Flora Tallinn -0.75	28%	15%	@ 6.25
Saburtalo -1.25	27%	44%	2.15
Saburtalo -1.5	22%	39%	2.41
Saburtalo -1.75	19%	33%	2.85
Saburtalo -2	16%	26%	3.55

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Saburtalo vs Flora Tallinn?

Our model's main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.57, with a 77% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 59%.

Who is the favourite for Saburtalo vs Flora Tallinn?

Our model makes a Saburtalo win the most likely result at 49%. It projects an expected 1.8-1.4 scoreline for Saburtalo vs Flora Tallinn.

What is the predicted score for Saburtalo vs Flora Tallinn?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.82 for Saburtalo and 1.38 for Flora Tallinn. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Saburtalo and Flora Tallinn play?

Kick-off is Tuesday 14 July 2026, 16:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.