BurgosBurgos
Sun 1 Nov17:30Upcoming
CastellónCastellón

⚽ Segunda División

Burgos vs Castellón Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Burgos vs Castellón in the Segunda División. Kick-off Sunday 01 November 2026, 17:30 UTC.

Burgos face Castellón in the Segunda División, kicking off Sunday 01 November 2026, 17:30 UTC. Recent form: Burgos have 3 wins from their last 5, while Castellón have 3 wins from their last 5. The bookmaker market makes a Castellón win the most likely result at 41%, implying a 1.2-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Burgos vs Castellón with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome Market %
Burgos win 31%
Draw 28%
Castellón win 41%
Over 2.5 goals 49%
Both teams to score 54%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.20 – 1.40 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 7.4% 10.4% 7.3% 3.4% 1.2%
1 8.9% 12.5% 8.7% 4.1% 1.4%
2 5.3% 7.5% 5.2% 2.4% 0.9%
3 2.1% 3.0% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3%
4 0.6% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
Projected score: 1-1
Burgos winDrawCastellón win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Burgos vs Castellón. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Castellón win is the most likely result at 41%. Goals lean under 2.5 at 51%. Both teams to score: yes at 54%.

📊 Key numbers

Burgos 31%Draw 28%Castellón 41%
31%28%41%
41%
Castellón Win
51%
Under 2.5 goals
54%
BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Burgos

Burgos come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at FC Andorra. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Granada CF.

  • WFC Andorra 2-3 BurgosSegunda División
  • WBurgos 1-0 SabadellSegunda División
  • LBurgos 0-1 Granada CFSegunda División
  • LAlmeria 2-1 BurgosSegunda División
  • WBurgos 1-0 EldenseSegunda División
Castellón

Castellón come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 2. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Sporting Gijon. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at FC Andorra.

  • WCastellón 4-0 Sporting GijonSegunda División
  • WLas Palmas 0-3 CastellónSegunda División
  • LFC Andorra 1-0 CastellónSegunda División
  • DCastellón 1-1 AD Ceuta FCSegunda División
  • WLeganes 0-2 CastellónSegunda División

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Burgos at 31% to win and Castellón at 41%, with the draw at 28%. The bookmaker market makes a Castellón win the most likely outcome.

Selection Market % Odds
Castellón Win 41% @ 2.25
Burgos Win 31% @ 3.00
Draw 28% @ 3.30

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Castellón or Draw at 1.36 (69% market).

Selection Market % Odds
Castellón or Draw 69% @ 1.36
Burgos or Draw 59% @ 1.62

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.2-1.4 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 51% probability.

Selection Market % Odds
Over 1.5 73% @ 1.28
Under 3.5 72% @ 1.30
Under 2.5 51% @ 1.85
Over 2.5 49% @ 1.95
Over 3.5 28% @ 3.40
Under 1.5 27% @ 3.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 54%.

Selection Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 54% @ 1.73
BTTS No 46% @ 2.00

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Burgos vs Castellón?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Castellón win is the most likely result at 41%.

Who is the favourite for Burgos vs Castellón?

Our model makes a Castellón win the most likely result at 41%. It projects an expected 1.2-1.4 scoreline for Burgos vs Castellón.

What is the predicted score for Burgos vs Castellón?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.20 for Burgos and 1.40 for Castellón. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Burgos and Castellón play?

Kick-off is Sunday 01 November 2026, 17:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.