Wed 28 Oct17:30Upcoming

⚽ Serie A

Parma vs Udinese Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Parma vs Udinese in the Serie A. Kick-off Wednesday 28 October 2026, 17:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Parma face Udinese in the Serie A, kicking off Wednesday 28 October 2026, 17:30 UTC. Recent form: Parma have 1 win from their last 5, while Udinese have no wins from their last 5. In their last 4 meetings, Parma won 1, Udinese won 3. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Parma win the most likely result at 41%, projecting a 1.1-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Parma vs Udinese with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.25

78%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.09 – 1.31 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.1%	11.9%	7.8%	3.4%	1.1%
1	9.9%	13.0%	8.5%	3.7%	1.2%
2	5.4%	7.1%	4.6%	2.0%	0.7%
3	2.0%	2.6%	1.7%	0.7%	0.2%
4	0.5%	0.7%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Parma winDrawUdinese win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Parma vs Udinese comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.25, with a 78% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Parma win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 41%. Goals lean under 2.5 (57%), both teams to score points no (52%).

📊 Key numbers

Parma 41%Draw 25%Udinese 34%

41%25%34%

41%

Parma Win

57%

Under 2.5 goals

52%

BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 4 meetings between Parma and Udinese. Wins shown from Parma’s perspective: Parma 1 · Udinese 3.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-04-18	Udinese	0 – 1	Parma	W
2025-11-29	Parma	0 – 2	Udinese	L
2025-03-01	Udinese	1 – 0	Parma	L
2024-09-16	Parma	2 – 3	Udinese	L

📈 Recent form

Parma

Parma come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Genoa. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Lazio.

LLazio 2-1 ParmaSerie A
LParma 0-3 TorinoSerie A
LInter 3-0 ParmaSerie A
WParma 2-1 GenoaSerie A
LComo 2-1 ParmaSerie A

Udinese

Udinese come into this game with no wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 12. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at home to Lecce.

LUdinese 0-3 LecceSerie A
LTorino 2-1 UdineseSerie A
DPogon Szczecin 1-1 UdineseFriendlies Clubs
LUdinese 0-1 CagliariSerie A
LInter 5-3 UdineseSerie A

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Parma at 41% to win and Udinese at 34%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes a Parma win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Parma Win	41%	31%	@ 3.00
Udinese Win	34%	39%	@ 2.40
Draw	25%	29%	@ 3.20

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Parma or Draw at 1.53 (67% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Parma or Draw	67%	61%	@ 1.53
Udinese or Draw	59%	69%	@ 1.36

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.1-1.3 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 57% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	78%	76%	@ 1.25
Over 1.5	69%	68%	@ 1.40
Under 2.5	57%	57%	@ 1.67
Over 2.5	43%	43%	@ 2.20
Under 1.5	31%	32%	@ 3.00
Over 3.5	22%	24%	@ 4.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 52%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	52%	50%	@ 1.91
BTTS Yes	48%	50%	@ 1.91

📈 How the market moved

Parma 32%Draw 30%Udinese 39%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Parma vs Udinese?

Our model's pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.25, with a 78% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 76%.

Who is the favourite for Parma vs Udinese?

Our model makes a Parma win the most likely result at 41%. It projects an expected 1.1-1.3 scoreline for Parma vs Udinese.

What is the predicted score for Parma vs Udinese?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.09 for Parma and 1.31 for Udinese. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Parma and Udinese play?

Kick-off is Wednesday 28 October 2026, 17:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.