Sutjeska
Kairat Almaty⚽ UEFA Champions League
Sutjeska vs Kairat Almaty Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Sutjeska vs Kairat Almaty in the UEFA Champions League. Kick-off Wednesday 15 July 2026, 19:00 UTC.
Result: Sutjeska 0-2 Kairat Almaty
Sutjeska vs Kairat Almaty finished 0-2. Kairat Almaty won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Our pre-match best bet, Sutjeska Asian Handicap with a +1.75 start at 1.33, was a half-loss.
Sutjeska face Kairat Almaty in the upcoming UEFA Champions League tips, kicking off Wednesday 15 July 2026, 19:00 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Kairat Almaty won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Sutjeska win the most likely result at 49%, projecting a 2.1-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Sutjeska vs Kairat Almaty with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 8.2% | 9.4% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| 2 | 8.6% | 9.8% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| 3 | 6.0% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Sutjeska vs Kairat Almaty comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Sutjeska Asian Handicap with a +1.75 start at odds 1.33, with a 92% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Sutjeska win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 49%. Goals lean over 2.5 (63%), both teams to score points yes (60%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 2 meetings between Sutjeska and Kairat Almaty. Wins shown from Sutjeska’s perspective: Kairat Almaty 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | Sutjeska | 0 – 2 | Kairat Almaty | L |
| 2026-07-08 | Kairat Almaty | 2 – 1 | Sutjeska | L |
📈 Recent form
Sutjeska come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 1. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 5-1 at home to Mladost DG.
- WArsenal Tivat 0-2 SutjeskaFirst League
- WSutjeska 2-0 DečićFirst League
- WSutjeska 1-0 MornarFirst League
- DPetrovac 0-0 SutjeskaFirst League
- WSutjeska 5-1 Mladost DGFirst League
Kairat Almaty come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Zhenys. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at FC Astana.
- LFC Astana 1-0 Kairat AlmatyPremier League
- LKairat Almaty 1-4 FK Tobol KostanayPremier League
- WKairat Almaty 3-0 ZhenysPremier League
- WKaspiy 0-3 Kairat AlmatyPremier League
- WYelimay Semey 0-2 Kairat AlmatyPremier League
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Sutjeska at 49% to win and Kairat Almaty at 19%, with the draw at 32%. Our model makes a Sutjeska win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sutjeska Win | 49% | 20% | @ 4.70 |
| Draw | 32% | 24% | @ 3.80 |
| Kairat Almaty Win | 19% | 56% | @ 1.67 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Sutjeska or Draw at 2.07 (74% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sutjeska or Draw | 74% | 44% | @ 2.07 |
| Kairat Almaty or Draw | 49% | 80% | @ 1.15 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.1-1.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 63% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 77% | @ 1.19 |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 56% | @ 1.64 |
| Under 3.5 | 59% | 65% | @ 1.42 |
| Over 3.5 | 41% | 35% | @ 2.60 |
| Under 2.5 | 37% | 44% | @ 2.10 |
| Under 1.5 | 17% | 23% | @ 4.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 60%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 56% | @ 1.63 |
| BTTS No | 40% | 44% | @ 2.10 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Sutjeska or Kairat Almaty is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sutjeska +2 | 93% | 78% | @ 1.21 |
| Sutjeska +1.75 | 92% | 71% | @ 1.33 |
| Sutjeska +1.5 | 90% | 66% | @ 1.42 |
| Sutjeska +1.25 | 86% | 61% | @ 1.53 |
| Sutjeska +1 | 82% | 56% | @ 1.69 |
| Sutjeska +0.75 | 78% | 48% | @ 1.97 |
| Sutjeska +0.5 | 74% | 44% | @ 2.15 |
| Sutjeska +0.25 | 68% | 37% | @ 2.58 |
| Kairat Almaty +1.25 | 66% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Sutjeska 0 | 63% | 27% | @ 3.44 |
| Kairat Almaty +1 | 61% | 85% | 1.12 |
| Sutjeska -0.25 | 57% | 27% | @ 3.52 |
| Kairat Almaty +0.75 | 55% | 83% | 1.15 |
| Sutjeska -0.5 | 51% | 23% | @ 4.10 |
| Kairat Almaty +0.5 | 49% | 77% | 1.21 |
| Sutjeska -0.75 | 45% | 17% | @ 5.50 |
| Kairat Almaty +0.25 | 43% | 73% | 1.28 |
| Sutjeska -1 | 39% | 15% | @ 6.40 |
| Kairat Almaty 0 | 37% | 73% | 1.30 |
| Sutjeska -1.25 | 34% | 14% | @ 7.00 |
| Kairat Almaty -0.25 | 32% | 63% | 1.49 |
| Kairat Almaty -0.5 | 26% | 56% | 1.66 |
| Kairat Almaty -0.75 | 22% | 52% | 1.84 |
| Kairat Almaty -1 | 18% | 44% | 2.13 |
| Kairat Almaty -1.25 | 14% | 39% | 2.44 |
| Kairat Almaty -1.5 | 10% | 34% | 2.74 |
| Kairat Almaty -1.75 | 8% | 29% | 3.21 |
| Kairat Almaty -2 | 7% | 22% | 4.25 |
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Sutjeska vs Kairat Almaty?
Our model's main pick is Sutjeska Asian Handicap with a +1.75 start at odds 1.33, with a 92% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.
Who is the favourite for Sutjeska vs Kairat Almaty?
Our model makes a Sutjeska win the most likely result at 49%. It projects an expected 2.1-1.1 scoreline for Sutjeska vs Kairat Almaty.
What is the predicted score for Sutjeska vs Kairat Almaty?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.10 for Sutjeska and 1.14 for Kairat Almaty. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Sutjeska and Kairat Almaty play?
Kick-off is Wednesday 15 July 2026, 19:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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