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⚽ Primeira Liga

Benfica vs Alverca Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Benfica vs Alverca in the Primeira Liga. Kick-off Monday 02 November 2026, 20:15 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Benfica face Alverca in the Primeira Liga, kicking off Monday 02 November 2026, 20:15 UTC. Recent form: Benfica have 4 wins from their last 5, while Alverca have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Benfica won 2. The bookmaker market makes a Benfica win the most likely result at 80%, implying a 2.8-0.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Benfica vs Alverca with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. One of the teams has fewer than three earlier matches in our data, too few for a reliable model view, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
Benfica win	80%
Draw	12%
Alverca win	7%
Over 2.5 goals	67%
Both teams to score	47%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 2.75 – 0.70 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.2%	2.2%	0.8%	0.2%	0.0%
1	8.7%	6.1%	2.1%	0.5%	0.1%
2	12.0%	8.4%	2.9%	0.7%	0.1%
3	11.0%	7.7%	2.7%	0.6%	0.1%
4	7.6%	5.3%	1.9%	0.4%	0.1%

Projected score: 2-0

Benfica winDrawAlverca win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Benfica vs Alverca. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Benfica win is the most likely result at 80%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 67%. Both teams to score: no at 53%.

📊 Key numbers

Benfica 80%Draw 12%Alverca 7%

80%12%

80%

Benfica Win

67%

Over 2.5 goals

53%

BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Benfica and Alverca. Wins shown from Benfica’s perspective: Benfica 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-02-08	Benfica	2 – 1	Alverca	W
2025-08-31	Alverca	1 – 2	Benfica	W

📈 Recent form

Benfica

Benfica come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 13 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at Omonia Nicosia. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-3 at FC Porto.

WSanta Clara 1-2 BenficaPrimeira Liga
WOmonia Nicosia 1-4 BenficaUEFA Europa League
WBenfica 4-1 CelticUEFA Europa League
WBenfica 2-0 Vitória SCPrimeira Liga
LFC Porto 3-1 BenficaPrimeira Liga

Alverca

Alverca come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 3. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at Famalicão. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at home to Arouca.

LAlverca 0-1 AroucaPrimeira Liga
DTondela 0-0 AlvercaTaça de Portugal
WFamalicão 1-4 AlvercaPrimeira Liga
WAlverca 1-0 Rio AvePrimeira Liga
WNacional 1-3 AlvercaPrimeira Liga

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Benfica at 80% to win and Alverca at 7%, with the draw at 12%. The bookmaker market makes a Benfica win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Benfica Win	80%	@ 1.17
Draw	13%	@ 7.50
Alverca Win	7%	@ 13.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Benfica or Draw at 1.04 (93% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
Benfica or Draw	93%	@ 1.04
Alverca or Draw	20%	@ 5.00

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 2.8-0.7 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 67% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	85%	@ 1.11
Over 2.5	67%	@ 1.40
Under 3.5	51%	@ 1.80
Over 3.5	49%	@ 1.91
Under 2.5	33%	@ 2.88
Under 1.5	15%	@ 6.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams not to score at 53%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	53%	@ 1.75
BTTS Yes	47%	@ 2.00

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Benfica vs Alverca?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Benfica win is the most likely result at 80%.

Who is the favourite for Benfica vs Alverca?

Our model makes a Benfica win the most likely result at 80%. It projects an expected 2.8-0.7 scoreline for Benfica vs Alverca.

What is the predicted score for Benfica vs Alverca?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 2-0, based on expected goals of 2.75 for Benfica and 0.70 for Alverca. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Benfica and Alverca play?

Kick-off is Monday 02 November 2026, 20:15 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this match we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. One of the teams has fewer than three earlier matches in our data, too few for a reliable model view, so we don't publish a model pick for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.