Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn
Wed 8 Jul2-3Finished
SaburtaloSaburtalo

⚽ UEFA Champions League

Flora Tallinn vs Saburtalo Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Flora Tallinn vs Saburtalo in the UEFA Champions League. Kick-off Wednesday 08 July 2026, 16:00 UTC.

Result: Flora Tallinn 2-3 Saburtalo

Flora Tallinn vs Saburtalo finished 2-3. Saburtalo won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Our pre-match best bet, Saburtalo DC X2 at 1.36, landed.

Flora Tallinn face Saburtalo in the upcoming UEFA Champions League tips, kicking off Wednesday 08 July 2026, 16:00 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Saburtalo won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Saburtalo win the most likely result at 57%, projecting a 1.3-4.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Flora Tallinn vs Saburtalo with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Saburtalo DC X2 @ 1.36
78%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.26 – 4.69 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 0.3% 1.2% 2.9% 4.5% 5.3%
1 0.3% 1.5% 3.6% 5.6% 6.6%
2 0.2% 1.0% 2.3% 3.6% 4.2%
3 0.1% 0.4% 1.0% 1.5% 1.8%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.6%
Projected score: 1-4
Flora Tallinn winDrawSaburtalo win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Flora Tallinn vs Saburtalo comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Saburtalo DC X2 at odds 1.36, with a 78% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Saburtalo win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 57%. Goals lean over 2.5 (91%), both teams to score points yes (56%).

📊 Key numbers

Flora Tallinn 22%Draw 21%Saburtalo 57%
22%21%57%
57%
Saburtalo Win
91%
Over 2.5 goals
56%
BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Flora Tallinn and Saburtalo. Wins shown from Flora Tallinn’s perspective: 1 drawn · Saburtalo 1.

Date Home Score Away Result
2026-07-14 Saburtalo 2 – 2 Flora Tallinn D
2026-07-08 Flora Tallinn 2 – 3 Saburtalo L

📈 Recent form

Flora Tallinn

Flora Tallinn come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 13 and conceding 9. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at home to Vaprus. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

  • WFlora Tallinn 3-2 VaprusMeistriliiga
  • WNõmme United 2-3 Flora TallinnMeistriliiga
  • DTrans Narva 2-2 Flora TallinnMeistriliiga
  • WFlora Tallinn 2-1 Kalju NommeMeistriliiga
  • WFlora Tallinn 3-2 TammekaMeistriliiga

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Flora Tallinn at 22% to win and Saburtalo at 57%, with the draw at 21%. Our model makes a Saburtalo win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Saburtalo Win 57% 40% @ 2.30
Flora Tallinn Win 22% 34% @ 2.70
Draw 21% 25% @ 3.70

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Flora Tallinn or Draw at 1.54 (66% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Flora Tallinn or Draw 66% 60% @ 1.54
Saburtalo or Draw 60% 66% @ 1.40

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.3-4.7 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 91% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Over 1.5 96% 73% @ 1.25
Over 2.5 91% 52% @ 1.78
Over 3.5 82% 30% @ 3.05
Under 3.5 18% 70% @ 1.30
Under 2.5 9% 48% @ 1.90
Under 1.5 4% 27% @ 3.45

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 56%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 56% 55% @ 1.66
BTTS No 44% 45% @ 2.06

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Flora Tallinn or Saburtalo is a clear favourite.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Flora Tallinn +1.75 87% 83% @ 1.15
Flora Tallinn +1.5 85% 78% @ 1.20
Saburtalo +1.5 80% – 1.12
Flora Tallinn +1.25 80% 75% @ 1.25
Flora Tallinn +1 75% 72% 1.30
Saburtalo +1.25 75% 82% 1.16
Flora Tallinn +0.75 70% 64% @ 1.46
Saburtalo +1 70% 80% 1.18
Flora Tallinn +0.5 66% 58% @ 1.61
Saburtalo +0.75 65% 72% 1.31
Saburtalo +0.5 60% 65% 1.42
Flora Tallinn +0.25 60% 52% @ 1.80
Flora Tallinn 0 53% 45% @ 2.08
Saburtalo +0.25 53% 61% 1.52
Flora Tallinn -0.25 47% 39% @ 2.40
Saburtalo 0 47% 55% 1.69
Flora Tallinn -0.5 41% 35% @ 2.65
Saburtalo -0.25 40% 48% 1.98
Flora Tallinn -0.75 35% 28% @ 3.32
Saburtalo -0.5 34% 42% 2.21
Flora Tallinn -1 30% 20% @ 4.65
Saburtalo -0.75 30% 36% 2.62
Flora Tallinn -1.25 25% 18% @ 5.25
Saburtalo -1 25% 28% 3.35
Saburtalo -1.25 20% 25% 3.80
Saburtalo -1.5 15% 22% 4.17
Saburtalo -1.75 13% 17% 5.50

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Flora Tallinn vs Saburtalo?

Our model's main pick is Saburtalo DC X2 at odds 1.36, with a 78% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 74%.

Who is the favourite for Flora Tallinn vs Saburtalo?

Our model makes a Saburtalo win the most likely result at 57%. It projects an expected 1.3-4.7 scoreline for Flora Tallinn vs Saburtalo.

What is the predicted score for Flora Tallinn vs Saburtalo?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-4, based on expected goals of 1.26 for Flora Tallinn and 4.69 for Saburtalo. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Flora Tallinn and Saburtalo play?

Kick-off is Wednesday 08 July 2026, 16:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.

Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.