Ararat-Armenia
Shamrock Rovers⚽ UEFA Champions League
Ararat-Armenia vs Shamrock Rovers Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Ararat-Armenia vs Shamrock Rovers in the UEFA Champions League. Kick-off Tuesday 21 July 2026, 16:00 UTC.
Result: Ararat-Armenia 2-0 Shamrock Rovers
Ararat-Armenia vs Shamrock Rovers finished 2-0. Ararat-Armenia won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Our pre-match best bet, Ararat-Armenia DC 1X at 1.34, landed.
Ararat-Armenia face Shamrock Rovers in the upcoming UEFA Champions League tips, kicking off Tuesday 21 July 2026, 16:00 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Ararat-Armenia won 1, Shamrock Rovers won 1. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Ararat-Armenia win the most likely result at 63%, projecting a 2.0-1.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Ararat-Armenia vs Shamrock Rovers with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 10.4% | 9.9% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| 2 | 10.4% | 9.9% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| 3 | 6.9% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Ararat-Armenia vs Shamrock Rovers comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Ararat-Armenia DC 1X at odds 1.34, with a 84% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an Ararat-Armenia win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 63%. Goals lean over 2.5 (57%), both teams to score points yes (53%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 2 meetings between Ararat-Armenia and Shamrock Rovers. Wins shown from Ararat-Armenia’s perspective: Ararat-Armenia 1 · Shamrock Rovers 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | Shamrock Rovers | 2 – 1 | Ararat-Armenia | L |
| 2026-07-21 | Ararat-Armenia | 2 – 0 | Shamrock Rovers | W |
📈 Recent form
Ararat-Armenia come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Syunik. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-4 at home to Sparta Praha.
- WShirak 1-3 Ararat-ArmeniaPremier League
- LArarat-Armenia 1-4 Sparta PrahaUEFA Europa League
- WArarat-Armenia 3-0 SyunikPremier League
- WArarat 0-1 Ararat-ArmeniaPremier League
- LPyunik Yerevan 2-1 Ararat-ArmeniaPremier League
Shamrock Rovers come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at home to Waterford. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at St Patrick's Athl..
- WShamrock Rovers 3-2 WaterfordPremier Division
- LSt Patrick's Athl. 2-0 Shamrock RoversPremier Division
- DShamrock Rovers 0-0 ShelbournePremier Division
- DDerry City 3-3 Shamrock RoversPremier Division
- LKuPS 1-0 Shamrock RoversUEFA Europa Conference
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Ararat-Armenia at 63% to win and Shamrock Rovers at 16%, with the draw at 22%. Our model makes an Ararat-Armenia win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ararat-Armenia Win | 63% | 41% | @ 2.28 |
| Draw | 22% | 28% | @ 3.30 |
| Shamrock Rovers Win | 16% | 31% | @ 2.95 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Ararat-Armenia or Draw at 1.34 (75% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ararat-Armenia or Draw | 75% | 69% | @ 1.34 |
| Shamrock Rovers or Draw | 50% | 59% | @ 1.54 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.0-1.0 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 57% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 70% | @ 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 | 66% | 74% | @ 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 46% | @ 1.98 |
| Under 2.5 | 43% | 54% | @ 1.70 |
| Over 3.5 | 34% | 26% | @ 3.50 |
| Under 1.5 | 20% | 30% | @ 3.05 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 53%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 51% | @ 1.78 |
| BTTS No | 47% | 49% | @ 1.89 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Ararat-Armenia or Shamrock Rovers is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ararat-Armenia +1.5 | 90% | 85% | @ 1.12 |
| Ararat-Armenia +1.25 | 86% | 83% | 1.14 |
| Ararat-Armenia +1 | 82% | 82% | 1.16 |
| Ararat-Armenia +0.75 | 78% | 73% | @ 1.29 |
| Shamrock Rovers +1.75 | 77% | 83% | 1.14 |
| Ararat-Armenia +0.5 | 75% | 68% | @ 1.37 |
| Shamrock Rovers +1.5 | 73% | 78% | 1.21 |
| Ararat-Armenia +0.25 | 68% | 63% | @ 1.49 |
| Shamrock Rovers +1.25 | 67% | 76% | 1.24 |
| Ararat-Armenia 0 | 62% | 57% | @ 1.66 |
| Shamrock Rovers +1 | 61% | 73% | 1.30 |
| Ararat-Armenia -0.25 | 56% | 49% | @ 1.93 |
| Shamrock Rovers +0.75 | 55% | 64% | 1.47 |
| Ararat-Armenia -0.5 | 50% | 43% | @ 2.18 |
| Shamrock Rovers +0.5 | 50% | 57% | 1.64 |
| Ararat-Armenia -0.75 | 45% | 36% | @ 2.65 |
| Shamrock Rovers +0.25 | 44% | 51% | 1.88 |
| Ararat-Armenia -1 | 39% | 27% | @ 3.44 |
| Shamrock Rovers 0 | 38% | 43% | 2.18 |
| Ararat-Armenia -1.25 | 33% | 24% | @ 3.90 |
| Shamrock Rovers -0.25 | 31% | 37% | 2.56 |
| Ararat-Armenia -1.5 | 27% | 22% | @ 4.25 |
| Shamrock Rovers -0.5 | 25% | 32% | 2.90 |
| Ararat-Armenia -1.75 | 23% | 17% | @ 5.75 |
| Shamrock Rovers -0.75 | 22% | 27% | 3.45 |
| Shamrock Rovers -1 | 18% | 18% | 5.25 |
| Shamrock Rovers -1.25 | 14% | 17% | 5.75 |
| Shamrock Rovers -1.5 | 10% | 15% | 6.25 |
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Ararat-Armenia vs Shamrock Rovers?
Our model's main pick is Ararat-Armenia DC 1X at odds 1.34, with a 84% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.
Who is the favourite for Ararat-Armenia vs Shamrock Rovers?
Our model makes an Ararat-Armenia win the most likely result at 63%. It projects an expected 2.0-1.0 scoreline for Ararat-Armenia vs Shamrock Rovers.
What is the predicted score for Ararat-Armenia vs Shamrock Rovers?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 2.00 for Ararat-Armenia and 0.96 for Shamrock Rovers. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Ararat-Armenia and Shamrock Rovers play?
Kick-off is Tuesday 21 July 2026, 16:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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