FC St. GallenFC St. Gallen
Sun 26 Jul2-1Finished
FC ZurichFC Zurich

⚽ Super League

FC St. Gallen vs FC Zurich Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for FC St. Gallen vs FC Zurich in the Super League. Kick-off Sunday 26 July 2026, 14:30 UTC.

Result: FC St. Gallen 2-1 FC Zurich

FC St. Gallen vs FC Zurich finished 2-1. FC St. Gallen won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Our pre-match best bet, FC Zurich Asian Handicap with a +1.75 start at 1.33, landed.

FC St. Gallen face FC Zurich in the Super League, kicking off Sunday 26 July 2026, 14:30 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, FC St. Gallen won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a FC St. Gallen win the most likely result at 52%, projecting a 1.4-1.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for FC St. Gallen vs FC Zurich with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
FC Zurich Asian Handicap +1.75 @ 1.33
80%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.35 – 0.99 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 9.6% 9.5% 4.7% 1.6% 0.4%
1 13.0% 12.9% 6.4% 2.1% 0.5%
2 8.8% 8.7% 4.3% 1.4% 0.4%
3 4.0% 3.9% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.3% 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
Projected score: 1-0
FC St. Gallen winDrawFC Zurich win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for FC St. Gallen vs FC Zurich comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is FC Zurich Asian Handicap with a +1.75 start at odds 1.33, with a 80% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a FC St. Gallen win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 52%. Goals lean under 2.5 (58%), both teams to score points no (53%).

📊 Key numbers

FC St. Gallen 52%Draw 36%FC Zurich 12%
52%36%12%
52%
FC St. Gallen Win
58%
Under 2.5 goals
53%
BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between FC St. Gallen and FC Zurich. Wins shown from FC St. Gallen’s perspective: FC St. Gallen 2.

Date Home Score Away Result
2026-07-26 FC St. Gallen 2 – 1 FC Zurich W
2026-04-06 FC St. Gallen 2 – 1 FC Zurich W

📈 Recent form

FC St. Gallen

FC St. Gallen come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at FC Basel 1893. Their most recent defeat was 1-4 at FC Lugano.

  • WFC Basel 1893 1-3 FC St. GallenSuper League
  • LFC Lugano 4-1 FC St. GallenSuper League
  • LFC St. Gallen 0-3 FC SionSuper League
  • WServette FC 0-2 FC St. GallenSuper League
  • LGrasshoppers 2-0 FC St. GallenSuper League
FC Zurich

FC Zurich come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 10. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to FC Vaduz. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-4 at home to BSC Young Boys.

  • DFC Sion 1-1 FC ZurichSuper League
  • WFC Zurich 2-1 FC VaduzSuper League
  • DGrasshoppers 2-2 FC ZurichSuper League
  • LFC Zurich 2-4 BSC Young BoysSuper League
  • WLausanne 2-3 FC ZurichSuper League

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices FC St. Gallen at 52% to win and FC Zurich at 12%, with the draw at 36%. Our model makes a FC St. Gallen win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
FC St. Gallen Win 52% 55% @ 1.70
Draw 36% 23% @ 4.06
FC Zurich Win 12% 22% @ 4.29

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is FC St. Gallen or Draw at 1.20 (72% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
FC St. Gallen or Draw 72% 78% @ 1.20
FC Zurich or Draw 54% 45% @ 2.10

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.0 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 58% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Under 3.5 79% 55% @ 1.71
Over 1.5 68% – @ 1.12
Under 2.5 58% 35% @ 2.72
Over 2.5 42% 65% @ 1.43
Over 3.5 21% 45% @ 2.08

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 53%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS No 53% 36% @ 2.57
BTTS Yes 47% 64% @ 1.44

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when FC St. Gallen or FC Zurich is a clear favourite.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
FC Zurich +2 84% – @ 1.25
FC St. Gallen +1 80% 86% 1.10
FC Zurich +1.75 80% 71% @ 1.33
FC Zurich +1.5 77% 65% @ 1.45
FC St. Gallen +0.75 76% 83% 1.15
FC St. Gallen +0.5 72% 77% 1.22
FC Zurich +1.25 71% 61% @ 1.55
FC St. Gallen +0.25 66% 75% 1.27
FC Zurich +1 65% 55% @ 1.72
FC Zurich +0.75 59% 50% @ 1.92
FC St. Gallen 0 59% 71% 1.33
FC Zurich +0.5 54% 44% @ 2.12
FC St. Gallen -0.25 53% 62% 1.53
FC Zurich +0.25 47% 38% @ 2.50
FC St. Gallen -0.5 46% 56% 1.69
FC Zurich 0 41% 29% @ 3.29
FC St. Gallen -0.75 41% 50% 1.92
FC St. Gallen -1 35% 45% 2.11
FC Zurich -0.25 34% 25% @ 3.73
FC St. Gallen -1.25 29% 39% 2.44
FC Zurich -0.5 28% 23% @ 4.15
FC Zurich -0.75 24% 17% @ 5.50
FC St. Gallen -1.5 23% 35% 2.64
FC St. Gallen -1.75 20% 29% 3.31
FC Zurich -1 20% 14% @ 6.80

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC St. Gallen vs FC Zurich?

Our model's main pick is FC Zurich Asian Handicap with a +1.75 start at odds 1.33, with a 80% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.

Who is the favourite for FC St. Gallen vs FC Zurich?

Our model makes a FC St. Gallen win the most likely result at 52%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.0 scoreline for FC St. Gallen vs FC Zurich.

What is the predicted score for FC St. Gallen vs FC Zurich?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.35 for FC St. Gallen and 0.99 for FC Zurich. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do FC St. Gallen and FC Zurich play?

Kick-off is Sunday 26 July 2026, 14:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.

Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.