Levski Sofia

Tue 4 Aug1-0Finished

Kairat Almaty

⚽ UEFA Champions League

Levski Sofia vs Kairat Almaty Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Levski Sofia vs Kairat Almaty in the UEFA Champions League. Kick-off Tuesday 04 August 2026, 17:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Levski Sofia 1-0 Kairat Almaty

Levski Sofia vs Kairat Almaty finished 1-0. Levski Sofia won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Our pre-match best bet, over 1.5 goals at 1.30, did not land.

Levski Sofia face Kairat Almaty in the upcoming UEFA Champions League tips, kicking off Tuesday 04 August 2026, 17:30 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Levski Sofia won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Levski Sofia win the most likely result at 48%, projecting a 1.8-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Levski Sofia vs Kairat Almaty with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.30

80%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.84 – 1.13 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.1%	5.8%	3.3%	1.2%	0.3%
1	9.4%	10.7%	6.0%	2.3%	0.6%
2	8.7%	9.8%	5.5%	2.1%	0.6%
3	5.3%	6.0%	3.4%	1.3%	0.4%
4	2.5%	2.8%	1.6%	0.6%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Levski Sofia winDrawKairat Almaty win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Levski Sofia vs Kairat Almaty comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.30, with a 80% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Levski Sofia win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 48%. Goals lean over 2.5 (57%), both teams to score points yes (57%).

📊 Key numbers

Levski Sofia 48%Draw 28%Kairat Almaty 24%

48%28%24%

48%

Levski Sofia Win

57%

Over 2.5 goals

57%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Levski Sofia and Kairat Almaty. Wins shown from Levski Sofia’s perspective: Levski Sofia 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-11	Kairat Almaty	0 – 1	Levski Sofia	W
2026-08-04	Levski Sofia	1 – 0	Kairat Almaty	W

📈 Recent form

Levski Sofia

Levski Sofia come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 6-0 at home to Spartak Varna. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Red Bull Salzburg.

LLevski Sofia 0-1 Red Bull SalzburgUEFA Europa League
LLevski Sofia 2-4 CSKA SofiaSuper Cup
WLevski Sofia 1-0 CSKA 1948First League
LAEK Athens FC 4-0 Levski SofiaUEFA Champions League
WLevski Sofia 6-0 Spartak VarnaFirst League

Kairat Almaty

Kairat Almaty come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Zhenys. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at FC Astana.

LFC Astana 1-0 Kairat AlmatyPremier League
LKairat Almaty 1-4 FK Tobol KostanayPremier League
WKairat Almaty 3-0 ZhenysPremier League
WKaspiy 0-3 Kairat AlmatyPremier League
WYelimay Semey 0-2 Kairat AlmatyPremier League

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Levski Sofia at 48% to win and Kairat Almaty at 24%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Levski Sofia win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Levski Sofia Win	48%	58%	@ 1.60
Draw	28%	25%	@ 3.70
Kairat Almaty Win	24%	17%	@ 5.40

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Levski Sofia or Draw at 1.11 (73% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Levski Sofia or Draw	73%	83%	@ 1.11
Kairat Almaty or Draw	51%	42%	@ 2.16

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-1.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 57% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	80%	70%	@ 1.30
Under 3.5	65%	73%	@ 1.26
Over 2.5	57%	47%	@ 1.96
Under 2.5	43%	53%	@ 1.72
Over 3.5	35%	27%	@ 3.40
Under 1.5	20%	30%	@ 3.10

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 57%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	57%	47%	@ 1.97
BTTS No	43%	53%	@ 1.72

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Levski Sofia or Kairat Almaty is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Kairat Almaty +2	81%	–	1.18
Kairat Almaty +1.75	78%	73%	@ 1.30
Kairat Almaty +1.5	74%	66%	@ 1.43
Levski Sofia +0.5	73%	–	1.13
Kairat Almaty +1.25	68%	61%	@ 1.56
Levski Sofia +0.25	67%	–	1.17
Kairat Almaty +1	62%	54%	@ 1.78
Levski Sofia 0	61%	79%	1.20
Kairat Almaty +0.75	57%	45%	@ 2.10
Levski Sofia -0.25	55%	69%	1.38
Kairat Almaty +0.5	51%	40%	@ 2.32
Levski Sofia -0.5	49%	60%	1.57
Kairat Almaty +0.25	45%	31%	@ 3.02
Levski Sofia -0.75	43%	55%	1.72
Kairat Almaty 0	39%	21%	@ 4.45
Levski Sofia -1	38%	46%	2.05
Levski Sofia -1.25	32%	39%	2.41
Levski Sofia -1.5	26%	34%	2.73
Levski Sofia -1.75	22%	27%	3.44

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Levski Sofia vs Kairat Almaty?

Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.30, with a 80% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 70%.

Who is the favourite for Levski Sofia vs Kairat Almaty?

Our model makes a Levski Sofia win the most likely result at 48%. It projects an expected 1.8-1.1 scoreline for Levski Sofia vs Kairat Almaty.

What is the predicted score for Levski Sofia vs Kairat Almaty?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.84 for Levski Sofia and 1.13 for Kairat Almaty. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Levski Sofia and Kairat Almaty play?

Kick-off is Tuesday 04 August 2026, 17:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.