vs
⚽ UEFA Champions League
Levski Sofia vs Kairat Almaty Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Levski Sofia vs Kairat Almaty in the UEFA Champions League. Kick-off Tuesday 04 August 2026, 17:30 UTC.
Result: Levski Sofia 1-0 Kairat Almaty
Levski Sofia vs Kairat Almaty finished 1-0. Levski Sofia won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Our pre-match best bet, over 1.5 goals at 1.30, did not land.
Levski Sofia face Kairat Almaty in the upcoming UEFA Champions League tips, kicking off Tuesday 04 August 2026, 17:30 UTC. Recent form: Levski Sofia have 2 wins from their last 4, while Kairat Almaty have 3 wins from their last 4. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Levski Sofia win the most likely result at 48%, projecting a 1.8-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Levski Sofia vs Kairat Almaty with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.1% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 9.4% | 10.7% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| 2 | 8.7% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| 3 | 5.3% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
Our prediction for Levski Sofia vs Kairat Almaty is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.30, the selection our model is most confident in at 80%. On the match result, the model rates a Levski Sofia win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 48%. Goals lean over 2.5 (57%), both teams to score points yes (57%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is over 2.5 goals at odds 2.10 (+19.7% model value).
Key numbers
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Levski Sofia at 48% to win and Kairat Almaty at 24%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Levski Sofia win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kairat Almaty Win | 24% | 5.70 | +39.4% |
| Draw | 28% | 3.65 | +1.7% |
| Levski Sofia Win | 48% | 1.62 | -22.7% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Kairat Almaty or Draw at 2.25 (52% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kairat Almaty or Draw | 52% | 2.25 | +17.7% |
| Levski Sofia or Draw | 76% | 1.13 | -14.6% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-1.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 57% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 | 35% | 3.85 | +33.2% |
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 2.10 | +19.7% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 1.38 | +9.9% |
| Under 3.5 | 65% | 1.25 | -18.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 43% | 1.70 | -26.9% |
| Under 1.5 | 20% | 3.00 | -38.9% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 57%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 2.05 | +16.5% |
| BTTS No | 43% | 1.67 | -27.9% |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Levski Sofia or Kairat Almaty is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kairat Almaty 0 | 39% | 4.45 | +73.0% |
| Kairat Almaty +0.25 | 45% | 3.02 | +35.5% |
| Kairat Almaty +0.75 | 57% | 2.10 | +18.8% |
| Kairat Almaty +0.5 | 51% | 2.32 | +18.4% |
| Kairat Almaty +1 | 62% | 1.78 | +11.1% |
| Kairat Almaty +1.25 | 68% | 1.56 | +6.3% |
| Kairat Almaty +1.5 | 74% | 1.43 | +5.4% |
| Kairat Almaty +1.75 | 78% | 1.30 | +0.9% |
| Kairat Almaty +2 | 81% | 1.18 | -4.4% |
| Levski Sofia +0.5 | 73% | 1.13 | -17.4% |
| Levski Sofia +0.25 | 67% | 1.17 | -21.5% |
| Levski Sofia -1.75 | 22% | 3.44 | -22.8% |
| Levski Sofia -1 | 38% | 2.05 | -22.9% |
| Levski Sofia -0.5 | 49% | 1.57 | -22.9% |
| Levski Sofia -1.25 | 32% | 2.41 | -23.2% |
| Levski Sofia -0.25 | 55% | 1.38 | -24.3% |
| Levski Sofia -0.75 | 43% | 1.72 | -25.5% |
| Levski Sofia 0 | 61% | 1.20 | -26.7% |
| Levski Sofia -1.5 | 26% | 2.73 | -28.7% |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Levski Sofia vs Kairat Almaty?
Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.30, with 80% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is over 2.5 goals at 2.10 (+19.7% value).
Who is the favourite for Levski Sofia vs Kairat Almaty?
Our model makes a Levski Sofia win the most likely result at 48%. It projects an expected 1.8-1.1 scoreline for Levski Sofia vs Kairat Almaty.
What is the predicted score for Levski Sofia vs Kairat Almaty?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.84 for Levski Sofia and 1.13 for Kairat Almaty. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Levski Sofia and Kairat Almaty play?
Kick-off is Tuesday 04 August 2026, 17:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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AnnecyAnalytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.