Sat 15 Aug2-1Finished

⚽ Championship

Bolton vs Preston Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Bolton vs Preston in the Championship. Kick-off Saturday 15 August 2026, 11:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Bolton 2-1 Preston

Bolton vs Preston finished 2-1. Bolton won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Bolton face Preston in the upcoming Championship tips, kicking off Saturday 15 August 2026, 11:30 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Bolton win the most likely result at 54%, projecting a 1.5-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Bolton vs Preston with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Bolton or Draw @ 1.30

82%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.49 – 1.05 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.9%	8.3%	4.3%	1.5%	0.4%
1	11.8%	12.3%	6.5%	2.3%	0.6%
2	8.8%	9.2%	4.8%	1.7%	0.4%
3	4.3%	4.6%	2.4%	0.8%	0.2%
4	1.6%	1.7%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Bolton winDrawPreston win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Bolton vs Preston comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Bolton or Draw at odds 1.30, with a 82% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Bolton win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 54%. Goals lean under 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points yes (50%).

📊 Key numbers

Bolton 54%Draw 35%Preston 11%

54%35%11%

54%

Bolton Win

53%

Under 2.5 goals

50%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Bolton

Bolton come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 13. Their biggest win in that run was 4-3 at Norwich. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at home to West Ham.

WNorwich 3-4 BoltonChampionship
WBolton 1-0 CardiffChampionship
LBolton 2-3 West HamChampionship
LMillwall 4-0 BoltonChampionship
LSheffield Utd 3-2 BoltonChampionship

Preston

Preston come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Blackburn. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Lincoln.

DQPR 2-2 PrestonChampionship
LPreston 0-1 LincolnChampionship
LWatford 2-1 PrestonChampionship
WPreston 2-1 BlackburnChampionship
LPreston 1-3 Bristol CityChampionship

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 5 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Bolton

R. RodriguesKnee Injury
X. SimonsSuspended (red card)

Preston

T. CarrollAnkle Injury
L. GibsonSuspended (red card)
B. PottsInjury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Bolton at 54% to win and Preston at 11%, with the draw at 35%. Our model makes a Bolton win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Bolton Win	54%	44%	@ 2.12
Draw	35%	28%	@ 3.35
Preston Win	11%	28%	@ 3.35

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Bolton or Draw at 1.30 (82% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Bolton or Draw	82%	72%	@ 1.30
Preston or Draw	40%	56%	@ 1.68

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.1 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 53% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	75%	72%	@ 1.29
Over 1.5	72%	73%	@ 1.27
Under 2.5	53%	51%	@ 1.83
Over 2.5	47%	49%	@ 1.92
Under 1.5	28%	27%	@ 3.45
Over 3.5	25%	28%	@ 3.30

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 50%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	50%	54%	@ 1.71
BTTS No	50%	46%	@ 2.02

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Bolton or Preston is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Bolton +1.5	94%	–	@ 1.08
Bolton +1.25	91%	86%	@ 1.11
Bolton +1	88%	84%	1.12
Bolton +0.75	85%	77%	@ 1.24
Bolton +0.5	82%	71%	@ 1.32
Bolton +0.25	77%	66%	@ 1.44
Bolton 0	71%	60%	@ 1.59
Preston +1.75	69%	83%	1.14
Bolton -0.25	66%	50%	@ 1.94
Preston +1.5	65%	–	1.21
Bolton -0.5	60%	43%	@ 2.16
Preston +1.25	58%	76%	1.25
Bolton -0.75	54%	36%	@ 2.66
Preston +1	52%	73%	1.30
Bolton -1	48%	27%	@ 3.52
Preston +0.75	46%	64%	1.49
Bolton -1.25	42%	24%	@ 3.94
Preston +0.5	40%	57%	1.67
Preston +0.25	34%	50%	1.93
Bolton -1.75	31%	17%	@ 5.75
Preston 0	29%	40%	2.35
Preston -0.25	23%	34%	2.81
Preston -0.5	18%	29%	3.23
Preston -0.75	15%	23%	4.13
Preston -1	12%	16%	6.00
Preston -1.25	9%	14%	6.60

📈 How the market moved

Bolton 43%Draw 29%Preston 29%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bolton vs Preston?

Our model's main pick is Bolton or Draw at odds 1.30, with a 82% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 72%.

Who is the favourite for Bolton vs Preston?

Our model makes a Bolton win the most likely result at 54%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.1 scoreline for Bolton vs Preston.

What is the predicted score for Bolton vs Preston?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.49 for Bolton and 1.05 for Preston. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Bolton and Preston play?

Kick-off is Saturday 15 August 2026, 11:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.