⚽ Championship
Norwich vs West Brom Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Norwich vs West Brom in the Championship. Kick-off Saturday 15 August 2026, 14:00 UTC.
Result: Norwich 1-2 West Brom
Norwich vs West Brom finished 1-2. West Brom won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Norwich face West Brom in the upcoming Championship tips, kicking off Saturday 15 August 2026, 14:00 UTC. In their last 5 meetings, Norwich won 2, West Brom won 2, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Norwich win the most likely result at 39%, projecting a 1.4-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Norwich vs West Brom with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.2% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 8.9% | 12.0% | 8.0% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| 2 | 6.4% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| 3 | 3.1% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Norwich vs West Brom comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is West Brom with a +1.5 start at odds 1.28, with a 82% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Norwich win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 39%. Goals lean over 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points yes (56%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Norwich and West Brom. Wins shown from Norwich’s perspective: Norwich 2 · 1 drawn · West Brom 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Norwich | 1 – 2 | West Brom | L |
| 2025-03-29 | Norwich | 1 – 0 | West Brom | W |
| 2024-11-23 | West Brom | 2 – 2 | Norwich | D |
| 2024-01-20 | Norwich | 2 – 0 | West Brom | W |
| 2023-12-26 | West Brom | 1 – 0 | Norwich | L |
📈 Recent form
Norwich come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 15. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at Sheffield Utd. Their most recent defeat was 3-4 at home to Bolton.
- LNorwich 3-4 BoltonChampionship
- LManchester City 5-0 NorwichLeague Cup
- LMiddlesbrough 4-3 NorwichChampionship
- WNorwich 2-1 BirminghamChampionship
- WSheffield Utd 1-3 NorwichChampionship
West Brom come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 3. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Derby. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at Wolves.
- LWolves 1-0 West BromChampionship
- DWest Brom 1-1 QPRChampionship
- WDerby 0-1 West BromChampionship
- WWest Brom 1-0 WatfordChampionship
- DWest Brom 1-1 CharltonChampionship
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 3 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- L. GibbsMuscle Injury
- J. MakamaFoot Injury
- T. BanyNot in squad
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Norwich at 39% to win and West Brom at 32%, with the draw at 29%. Our model makes a Norwich win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Norwich Win | 39% | 49% | @ 1.90 |
| West Brom Win | 32% | 24% | @ 3.85 |
| Draw | 29% | 27% | @ 3.50 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Norwich or Draw at 1.24 (66% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Norwich or Draw | 66% | 76% | @ 1.24 |
| West Brom or Draw | 60% | 51% | @ 1.86 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 53% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 76% | 74% | @ 1.26 |
| Under 3.5 | 70% | 71% | @ 1.32 |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 50% | @ 1.87 |
| Under 2.5 | 47% | 50% | @ 1.88 |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | 29% | @ 3.20 |
| Under 1.5 | 24% | 26% | @ 3.55 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 56%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 54% | @ 1.73 |
| BTTS No | 44% | 46% | @ 2.00 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Norwich or West Brom is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| West Brom +2 | 87% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Norwich +1.5 | 86% | 88% | 1.03 |
| West Brom +1.75 | 84% | 79% | @ 1.19 |
| West Brom +1.5 | 82% | 73% | @ 1.28 |
| West Brom +1.25 | 76% | 70% | @ 1.36 |
| Norwich +0.75 | 71% | 80% | 1.18 |
| West Brom +1 | 71% | 66% | @ 1.44 |
| Norwich +0.5 | 66% | 75% | 1.26 |
| West Brom +0.75 | 65% | 57% | @ 1.67 |
| West Brom +0.5 | 60% | 51% | @ 1.87 |
| Norwich +0.25 | 60% | 72% | 1.33 |
| West Brom +0.25 | 53% | 44% | @ 2.19 |
| Norwich 0 | 53% | 66% | 1.43 |
| West Brom 0 | 47% | 34% | @ 2.80 |
| Norwich -0.25 | 47% | 56% | 1.69 |
| West Brom -0.25 | 40% | 28% | @ 3.35 |
| Norwich -0.5 | 40% | 49% | 1.92 |
| Norwich -0.75 | 35% | 43% | 2.23 |
| West Brom -0.5 | 34% | 25% | @ 3.70 |
| Norwich -1 | 29% | 34% | 2.79 |
| West Brom -0.75 | 29% | 20% | @ 4.80 |
| Norwich -1.25 | 24% | 30% | 3.17 |
| Norwich -1.5 | 18% | 27% | 3.50 |
| Norwich -1.75 | 16% | 21% | 4.50 |
| West Brom -1.5 | 14% | 12% | @ 7.50 |
| Norwich -2 | 13% | 14% | 6.80 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Norwich vs West Brom?
Our model's main pick is West Brom with a +1.5 start at odds 1.28, with a 82% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 73%.
Who is the favourite for Norwich vs West Brom?
Our model makes a Norwich win the most likely result at 39%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.3 scoreline for Norwich vs West Brom.
What is the predicted score for Norwich vs West Brom?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.44 for Norwich and 1.34 for West Brom. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Norwich and West Brom play?
Kick-off is Saturday 15 August 2026, 14:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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