⚽ Championship
Middlesbrough vs Lincoln Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Middlesbrough vs Lincoln in the Championship. Kick-off Saturday 15 August 2026, 14:00 UTC.
Result: Middlesbrough 2-1 Lincoln
Middlesbrough vs Lincoln finished 2-1. Middlesbrough won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Middlesbrough face Lincoln in the upcoming Championship tips, kicking off Saturday 15 August 2026, 14:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a draw the most likely result at 67%, projecting a 1.4-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Middlesbrough vs Lincoln with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.8% | 9.3% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 12.1% | 12.8% | 6.8% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| 2 | 8.3% | 8.8% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| 3 | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Middlesbrough vs Lincoln comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Lincoln with a +2 start at odds 1.46, with a 88% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a draw the most likely 1X2 outcome at 67%. Goals lean under 2.5 (56%), both teams to score points no (51%).
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
Middlesbrough come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 10. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 4-3 at home to Norwich. Their only defeat in that run was 0-3 at Crystal Palace.
- DBirmingham 2-2 MiddlesbroughChampionship
- DMiddlesbrough 2-2 MillwallChampionship
- WMiddlesbrough 4-3 NorwichChampionship
- LCrystal Palace 3-0 MiddlesbroughLeague Cup
- WQPR 0-1 MiddlesbroughChampionship
Lincoln come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Bristol City. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Swansea.
- LLincoln 1-2 SwanseaChampionship
- WBristol City 0-1 LincolnChampionship
- WPreston 0-1 LincolnChampionship
- LBournemouth 4-0 LincolnLeague Cup
- DLincoln 1-1 SouthamptonChampionship
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 5 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- T. ConwayAnkle Injury
- A. MorrisInjury
- D. StrelecHealth problems
- S. BradleyKnock
- A. JacksonSurgery
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Middlesbrough at 18% to win and Lincoln at 15%, with the draw at 67%. Our model makes a draw the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 67% | 18% | @ 5.20 |
| Middlesbrough Win | 18% | 72% | @ 1.30 |
| Lincoln Win | 15% | 10% | @ 9.00 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Middlesbrough or Draw at 1.05 (65% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough or Draw | 65% | 90% | @ 1.05 |
| Lincoln or Draw | 62% | 28% | @ 3.35 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.1 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 56% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 77% | 63% | @ 1.48 |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 80% | @ 1.17 |
| Under 2.5 | 56% | 42% | @ 2.23 |
| Over 2.5 | 44% | 58% | @ 1.61 |
| Under 1.5 | 30% | 20% | @ 4.60 |
| Over 3.5 | 23% | 37% | @ 2.55 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 51%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 51% | 53% | @ 1.75 |
| BTTS Yes | 49% | 47% | @ 1.97 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Middlesbrough or Lincoln is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lincoln +2 | 88% | 66% | @ 1.46 |
| Lincoln +1.75 | 85% | 58% | @ 1.64 |
| Lincoln +1.5 | 82% | 52% | @ 1.83 |
| Lincoln +1.25 | 77% | 46% | @ 2.08 |
| Lincoln +1 | 72% | 37% | @ 2.55 |
| Lincoln +0.75 | 67% | 33% | @ 2.88 |
| Middlesbrough +0.5 | 65% | 86% | 1.06 |
| Lincoln +0.5 | 62% | 29% | @ 3.28 |
| Middlesbrough +0.25 | 58% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Lincoln +0.25 | 55% | 23% | @ 4.15 |
| Middlesbrough 0 | 52% | 85% | 1.12 |
| Lincoln 0 | 48% | 15% | @ 6.40 |
| Middlesbrough -0.25 | 45% | 77% | 1.22 |
| Lincoln -0.25 | 42% | 14% | @ 7.00 |
| Middlesbrough -0.5 | 39% | 71% | 1.32 |
| Lincoln -0.5 | 35% | 14% | @ 6.75 |
| Middlesbrough -0.75 | 33% | 67% | 1.42 |
| Middlesbrough -1 | 28% | 63% | 1.50 |
| Middlesbrough -1.25 | 23% | 54% | 1.75 |
| Middlesbrough -1.5 | 18% | 48% | 1.96 |
| Middlesbrough -1.75 | 15% | 42% | 2.29 |
| Middlesbrough -2 | 12% | 34% | 2.77 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Middlesbrough vs Lincoln?
Our model's main pick is Lincoln with a +2 start at odds 1.46, with a 88% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 66%.
Who is the favourite for Middlesbrough vs Lincoln?
Our model makes a draw the most likely result at 67%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.1 scoreline for Middlesbrough vs Lincoln.
What is the predicted score for Middlesbrough vs Lincoln?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.37 for Middlesbrough and 1.06 for Lincoln. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Middlesbrough and Lincoln play?
Kick-off is Saturday 15 August 2026, 14:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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