⚽ Championship
Sheffield Utd vs Birmingham Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Sheffield Utd vs Birmingham in the Championship. Kick-off Saturday 15 August 2026, 16:30 UTC.
Result: Sheffield Utd 0-0 Birmingham
Sheffield Utd vs Birmingham finished 0-0. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Sheffield Utd face Birmingham in the upcoming Championship tips, kicking off Saturday 15 August 2026, 16:30 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Sheffield Utd win the most likely result at 48%, projecting a 1.6-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Sheffield Utd vs Birmingham with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.4% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 10.2% | 11.8% | 6.8% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| 2 | 8.2% | 9.4% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| 3 | 4.4% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Sheffield Utd vs Birmingham comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Sheffield Utd with a +0.75 start at odds 1.27, with a 79% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Sheffield Utd win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 48%. Goals lean over 2.5 (52%), both teams to score points yes (54%).
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
Sheffield Utd come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Blackburn. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Stoke City.
- LStoke City 2-1 Sheffield UtdChampionship
- LFleetwood Town 1-0 Sheffield UtdLeague Cup
- LSheffield Utd 0-1 WolvesChampionship
- WBlackburn 1-2 Sheffield UtdChampionship
- LSheffield Utd 1-3 NorwichChampionship
Birmingham come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Derby. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Norwich.
- DBirmingham 2-2 MiddlesbroughChampionship
- WDerby 1-2 BirminghamChampionship
- LNorwich 2-1 BirminghamChampionship
- DBirmingham 2-2 WolvesChampionship
- DBirmingham 1-1 SouthamptonChampionship
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 6 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- K. PhillipsMuscle Injury
- J. ShackletonFoot Injury
- L. BuchananKnee Injury
- M. DuckschCalf Injury
- T. Gardner-HickmanInjury
- M. LeonardAchilles Tendon Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Sheffield Utd at 48% to win and Birmingham at 22%, with the draw at 29%. Our model makes a Sheffield Utd win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield Utd Win | 48% | 38% | @ 2.43 |
| Draw | 29% | 29% | @ 3.25 |
| Birmingham Win | 22% | 33% | @ 2.85 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Sheffield Utd or Draw at 1.41 (76% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield Utd or Draw | 76% | 67% | @ 1.41 |
| Birmingham or Draw | 49% | 62% | @ 1.53 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 52% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 76% | 71% | @ 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 | 70% | 74% | @ 1.26 |
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 47% | @ 2.00 |
| Under 2.5 | 48% | 53% | @ 1.76 |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | 26% | @ 3.55 |
| Under 1.5 | 24% | 29% | @ 3.25 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 54%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 53% | @ 1.75 |
| BTTS No | 46% | 47% | @ 1.97 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Sheffield Utd or Birmingham is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield Utd +1.5 | 91% | – | @ 1.11 |
| Sheffield Utd +1.25 | 87% | 84% | 1.13 |
| Sheffield Utd +1 | 83% | 82% | 1.16 |
| Sheffield Utd +0.75 | 79% | 74% | @ 1.27 |
| Birmingham +1.75 | 77% | 85% | 1.12 |
| Sheffield Utd +0.5 | 76% | 68% | @ 1.39 |
| Birmingham +1.5 | 73% | 80% | 1.17 |
| Sheffield Utd +0.25 | 69% | 63% | @ 1.51 |
| Birmingham +1.25 | 67% | 78% | 1.23 |
| Sheffield Utd 0 | 63% | 55% | @ 1.73 |
| Birmingham +1 | 61% | 75% | 1.26 |
| Sheffield Utd -0.25 | 57% | 47% | @ 2.07 |
| Birmingham +0.75 | 55% | 67% | 1.43 |
| Sheffield Utd -0.5 | 51% | 40% | @ 2.37 |
| Birmingham +0.5 | 49% | 60% | 1.56 |
| Sheffield Utd -0.75 | 45% | 33% | @ 2.85 |
| Birmingham +0.25 | 43% | 53% | 1.80 |
| Sheffield Utd -1 | 39% | 25% | @ 3.83 |
| Birmingham 0 | 37% | 45% | 2.11 |
| Sheffield Utd -1.25 | 33% | 22% | @ 4.31 |
| Birmingham -0.25 | 31% | 37% | 2.56 |
| Sheffield Utd -1.5 | 27% | 20% | @ 4.55 |
| Birmingham -0.5 | 24% | 32% | 2.90 |
| Sheffield Utd -1.75 | 23% | 15% | @ 6.25 |
| Birmingham -0.75 | 21% | 26% | 3.71 |
| Birmingham -1 | 17% | 18% | 5.46 |
| Birmingham -1.25 | 13% | 16% | 5.90 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Sheffield Utd vs Birmingham?
Our model's main pick is Sheffield Utd with a +0.75 start at odds 1.27, with a 79% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 74%.
Who is the favourite for Sheffield Utd vs Birmingham?
Our model makes a Sheffield Utd win the most likely result at 48%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.1 scoreline for Sheffield Utd vs Birmingham.
What is the predicted score for Sheffield Utd vs Birmingham?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.60 for Sheffield Utd and 1.15 for Birmingham. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Sheffield Utd and Birmingham play?
Kick-off is Saturday 15 August 2026, 16:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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