Fri 14 Aug2-2Finished

⚽ Championship

Wolves vs Blackburn Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Wolves vs Blackburn in the Championship. Kick-off Friday 14 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Result: Wolves 2-2 Blackburn

Wolves vs Blackburn finished 2-2. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Wolves face Blackburn in the upcoming Championship tips, kicking off Friday 14 August 2026, 19:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a draw the most likely result at 63%, projecting a 1.4-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Wolves vs Blackburn with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Blackburn +2 @ 1.25
89%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.42 – 1.13 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 7.8% 8.8% 5.0% 1.9% 0.5%
1 11.1% 12.5% 7.1% 2.7% 0.8%
2 7.9% 8.9% 5.0% 1.9% 0.5%
3 3.7% 4.2% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
4 1.3% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
Projected score: 1-1
Wolves winDrawBlackburn win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Wolves vs Blackburn comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Blackburn with a +2 start at odds 1.25, with a 89% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a draw the most likely 1X2 outcome at 63%. Goals lean under 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points yes (51%).

📊 Key numbers

Wolves 18%Draw 63%Blackburn 19%
18%63%19%
63%
Draw
53%
Under 2.5 goals
51%
BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Wolves

Wolves come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to West Brom. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Everton.

  • WWolves 1-0 West BromChampionship
  • LEverton 1-0 WolvesLeague Cup
  • WSheffield Utd 0-1 WolvesChampionship
  • DBirmingham 2-2 WolvesChampionship
  • LWest Ham 4-2 WolvesChampionship
Blackburn

Blackburn come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Millwall. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Sheffield Utd.

  • DPortsmouth 2-2 BlackburnChampionship
  • WBlackburn 3-1 MillwallChampionship
  • LBlackburn 1-2 Sheffield UtdChampionship
  • LPreston 2-1 BlackburnChampionship
  • DLincoln 0-0 BlackburnChampionship

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 10 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Wolves
  • J. BellegardeNot in squad
  • S. JohnstoneKnock
  • L. KrejciLacking Match Fitness
  • R. SaidNot in squad
Blackburn
  • M. BaradjiHamstring Injury
  • D. De NeveInjury
  • M. JorgensenInjury
  • A. KargboMuscle Injury
  • L. MillerAchilles Tendon Injury
  • S. WhartonAchilles Tendon Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Wolves at 18% to win and Blackburn at 19%, with the draw at 63%. Our model makes a draw the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Draw 63% 23% @ 4.10
Blackburn Win 19% 16% @ 5.80
Wolves Win 18% 61% @ 1.52

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Blackburn or Draw at 2.45 (63% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Blackburn or Draw 63% 39% @ 2.45
Wolves or Draw 63% 84% @ 1.12

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.1 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 53% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Under 3.5 75% 68% @ 1.38
Over 1.5 72% 76% @ 1.22
Under 2.5 53% 46% @ 2.02
Over 2.5 47% 54% @ 1.75
Under 1.5 28% 24% @ 3.95
Over 3.5 25% 32% @ 2.88

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 51%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 51% 51% @ 1.82
BTTS No 49% 49% @ 1.88

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Wolves or Blackburn is a clear favourite.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Blackburn +2 89% 76% @ 1.25
Blackburn +1.75 86% 68% @ 1.41
Blackburn +1.5 84% 61% @ 1.54
Blackburn +1.25 79% 56% @ 1.70
Blackburn +1 74% 49% @ 1.96
Blackburn +0.75 68% 43% @ 2.25
Blackburn +0.5 63% 38% @ 2.48
Wolves +0.5 63% – 1.12
Blackburn +0.25 57% 30% @ 3.17
Wolves +0.25 56% 83% 1.15
Blackburn 0 50% 21% @ 4.63
Wolves 0 50% 79% 1.20
Blackburn -0.25 44% 17% @ 5.50
Wolves -0.25 43% 70% 1.35
Wolves -0.5 37% 62% 1.51
Wolves -0.75 32% 57% 1.67
Wolves -1 26% 51% 1.87
Wolves -1.25 21% 44% 2.18
Wolves -1.5 16% 39% 2.41
Wolves -1.75 14% 32% 2.93
Wolves -2 11% 24% 3.91

📈 How the market moved

11%39%66%08/1008/1108/1208/1308/14

Wolves 62%Draw 23%Blackburn 15%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Wolves vs Blackburn?

Our model's main pick is Blackburn with a +2 start at odds 1.25, with a 89% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 76%.

Who is the favourite for Wolves vs Blackburn?

Our model makes a draw the most likely result at 63%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.1 scoreline for Wolves vs Blackburn.

What is the predicted score for Wolves vs Blackburn?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.42 for Wolves and 1.13 for Blackburn. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Wolves and Blackburn play?

Kick-off is Friday 14 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.

Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.