⚽ UEFA Champions League

Celje vs Ararat-Armenia Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Celje vs Ararat-Armenia in the UEFA Champions League. Kick-off Tuesday 11 August 2026, 18:15 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers All markets FAQ

Result: Celje 2-0 Ararat-Armenia

Celje vs Ararat-Armenia finished 2-0. Celje won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Our pre-match best bet, Ararat-Armenia Asian Handicap with a +2 start at 1.33, was void (stake returned).

Celje face Ararat-Armenia in the upcoming UEFA Champions League tips, kicking off Tuesday 11 August 2026, 18:15 UTC. Recent form: Celje have 1 win from their last 3, while Ararat-Armenia have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Ararat-Armenia won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Celje win the most likely result at 37%, projecting a 1.8-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Celje vs Ararat-Armenia with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Ararat-Armenia Asian Handicap +2.0 @ 1.33

84%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.82 – 1.36 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.2%	5.7%	3.8%	1.7%	0.6%
1	7.6%	10.3%	7.0%	3.2%	1.1%
2	6.9%	9.4%	6.4%	2.9%	1.0%
3	4.2%	5.7%	3.9%	1.8%	0.6%
4	1.9%	2.6%	1.8%	0.8%	0.3%

Projected score: 1-1

Celje winDrawArarat-Armenia win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Celje vs Ararat-Armenia is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Ararat-Armenia Asian Handicap with a +2 start at odds 1.33, the selection our model is most confident in at 84%. On the match result, the model rates a Celje win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 37%. Goals lean over 2.5 (62%), both teams to score points yes (62%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is Ararat-Armenia or Draw at odds 2.75 (+72.4% model value).

Best value

Ararat-Armenia or Draw at odds 2.75, 63% model probability, +72.4% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Celje 37%Draw 29%Ararat-Armenia 34%

37%29%34%

37%

Celje Win

62%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

BTTS yes

+72.4%

Best value: Ararat-Armenia or Draw

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Celje and Ararat-Armenia. Wins shown from Celje’s perspective: Ararat-Armenia 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-04	Ararat-Armenia	2 – 1	Celje	L
2020-09-24	Ararat-Armenia	1 – 0	Celje	L

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Celje at 37% to win and Ararat-Armenia at 34%, with the draw at 29%. Our model makes a Celje win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Ararat-Armenia Win	34%	7.50	+154.8%
Draw	29%	4.35	+25.0%
Celje Win	37%	1.41	-47.4%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Ararat-Armenia or Draw at 2.75 (63% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Ararat-Armenia or Draw	63%	2.75	+72.4%
Celje or Draw	66%	1.08	-28.7%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 62% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 3.5	39%	2.75	+8.1%
Over 2.5	62%	1.70	+4.7%
Over 1.5	83%	1.22	+0.8%
Under 3.5	61%	1.44	-12.6%
Under 2.5	38%	2.10	-19.3%
Under 1.5	17%	4.00	-30.5%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 62%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	62%	1.85	+15.2%
BTTS No	38%	1.83	-31.0%

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Celje or Ararat-Armenia is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Ararat-Armenia -0.25	38%	6.40	+142.6%
Ararat-Armenia +0.25	50%	3.62	+81.5%
Ararat-Armenia +0.5	56%	2.78	+56.2%
Ararat-Armenia +0.75	62%	2.49	+53.5%
Ararat-Armenia +1	67%	2.17	+45.5%
Ararat-Armenia +1.25	72%	1.85	+34.4%
Ararat-Armenia +1.5	78%	1.65	+28.2%
Ararat-Armenia +1.75	81%	1.50	+21.7%
Ararat-Armenia +2	84%	1.33	+12.7%
Celje +0.5	68%	1.09	-25.3%
Celje +0.25	62%	1.12	-30.4%
Celje 0	56%	1.16	-35.3%
Celje -0.25	50%	1.27	-36.4%
Celje -0.5	44%	1.40	-38.6%
Celje -0.75	38%	1.52	-41.7%
Celje -1	33%	1.67	-45.1%
Celje -1.25	28%	1.96	-46.0%
Celje -2	16%	3.21	-49.9%
Celje -1.75	19%	2.55	-51.8%
Celje -1.5	22%	2.17	-51.8%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Celje vs Ararat-Armenia?

Our main pick is Ararat-Armenia Asian Handicap with a +2 start at odds 1.33, with 84% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is Ararat-Armenia or Draw at 2.75 (+72.4% value).

Who is the favourite for Celje vs Ararat-Armenia?

Our model makes a Celje win the most likely result at 37%. It projects an expected 1.8-1.4 scoreline for Celje vs Ararat-Armenia.

What is the predicted score for Celje vs Ararat-Armenia?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.82 for Celje and 1.36 for Ararat-Armenia. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Celje and Ararat-Armenia play?

Kick-off is Tuesday 11 August 2026, 18:15 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.