Sun 16 Aug2-0Finished

⚽ Süper Lig

Başakşehir vs Kocaelispor Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Başakşehir vs Kocaelispor in the Süper Lig. Kick-off Sunday 16 August 2026, 16:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Başakşehir 2-0 Kocaelispor

Başakşehir vs Kocaelispor finished 2-0. Başakşehir won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Başakşehir face Kocaelispor in the upcoming Süper Lig tips, kicking off Sunday 16 August 2026, 16:00 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Başakşehir won 1, 1 drawn. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Başakşehir vs Kocaelispor with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.35

80%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.98 – 0.30 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.2%	3.1%	0.5%	0.0%	0.0%
1	20.3%	6.1%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%
2	20.0%	6.0%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%
3	13.2%	4.0%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
4	6.6%	2.0%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%

Projected score: 1-0

Başakşehir winDrawKocaelispor win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Başakşehir vs Kocaelispor comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.35, with a 80% model probability. Goals lean under 2.5 (60%), both teams to score points no (78%).

Limited model coverage

Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

60%

Under 2.5 goals

78%

BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Başakşehir and Kocaelispor. Wins shown from Başakşehir’s perspective: Başakşehir 1 · 1 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-16	Başakşehir	2 – 0	Kocaelispor	W
2026-04-06	Kocaelispor	0 – 0	Başakşehir	D

📈 Recent form

Başakşehir

Başakşehir come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Gençlerbirliği. Their most recent defeat was 0-5 at Amed.

WBaşakşehir 4-0 GençlerbirliğiSüper Lig
LAmed 5-0 BaşakşehirSüper Lig
LBaşakşehir 2-3 GalatasaraySüper Lig
DBaşakşehir 1-1 KasımpaşaSüper Lig
LTrabzonspor 2-1 BaşakşehirSüper Lig

Kocaelispor

Kocaelispor come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 2. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Gaziantep FK. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at Galatasaray.

WKocaelispor 2-0 Gaziantep FKSüper Lig
LGalatasaray 1-0 KocaelisporSüper Lig
WKocaelispor 1-0 SamsunsporSüper Lig
WKonyaspor 1-2 KocaelisporSüper Lig
WKocaelispor 2-0 AmedSüper Lig

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 2 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Başakşehir

No absentees reported.

Kocaelispor

A. JovanovicKnee Injury
B. PetkovicHamstring Injury

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Başakşehir or Draw at 1.09 (93% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Başakşehir or Draw	93%	85%	@ 1.09
Kocaelispor or Draw	21%	38%	@ 2.35

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.0-0.3 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 60% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	80%	68%	@ 1.35
Over 1.5	66%	75%	@ 1.23
Under 2.5	60%	48%	@ 1.93
Over 2.5	40%	52%	@ 1.75
Under 1.5	34%	25%	@ 3.60
Over 3.5	20%	32%	@ 2.85

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 78%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	78%	51%	@ 1.81
BTTS Yes	22%	49%	@ 1.86

📈 How the market moved

Başakşehir 62%Draw 23%Kocaelispor 15%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Başakşehir vs Kocaelispor?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.35, with a 80% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 68%.

What is the predicted score for Başakşehir vs Kocaelispor?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.98 for Başakşehir and 0.30 for Kocaelispor. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Başakşehir and Kocaelispor play?

Kick-off is Sunday 16 August 2026, 16:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.