vs
⚽ 2. Bundesliga
1. FC Nürnberg vs Arminia Bielefeld Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for 1. FC Nürnberg vs Arminia Bielefeld in the 2. Bundesliga. Kick-off Saturday 29 August 2026, 18:30 UTC.
Result: 1. FC Nürnberg 4-1 Arminia Bielefeld
1. FC Nürnberg vs Arminia Bielefeld finished 4-1. 1. FC Nürnberg won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Our pre-match best bet, 1. FC Nürnberg DC 1X at 1.32, landed.
1. FC Nürnberg face Arminia Bielefeld in the 2. Bundesliga, kicking off Saturday 29 August 2026, 18:30 UTC. Recent form: 1. FC Nürnberg have 3 wins from their last 5, while Arminia Bielefeld have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, 1. FC Nürnberg won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a 1. FC Nürnberg win the most likely result at 68%, projecting a 2.7-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for 1. FC Nürnberg vs Arminia Bielefeld with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| 2 | 7.1% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| 3 | 6.3% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| 4 | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for 1. FC Nürnberg vs Arminia Bielefeld is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is 1. FC Nürnberg DC 1X at odds 1.32, the selection our model is most confident in at 86%. On the match result, the model rates a 1. FC Nürnberg win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 68%. Goals lean over 2.5 (75%), both teams to score points yes (63%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is over 3.5 goals at odds 2.70 (+48.0% model value).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 2 meetings between 1. FC Nürnberg and Arminia Bielefeld. Wins shown from 1. FC Nürnberg’s perspective: 1. FC Nürnberg 1 · 1 drawn.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 4 – 1 | Arminia Bielefeld | W |
| 2026-04-18 | Arminia Bielefeld | 1 – 1 | 1. FC Nürnberg | D |
📈 Recent form
1. FC Nürnberg come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 14 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to Arminia Bielefeld. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.
- W1. FC Nürnberg 4-1 Arminia Bielefeld2. Bundesliga
- DFC Viktoria Köln 1-1 1. FC NürnbergDFB Pokal
- WSpVgg Greuther Fürth 2-4 1. FC Nürnberg2. Bundesliga
- W1. FC Nürnberg 3-0 Dynamo Dresden2. Bundesliga
- W1. FC Nürnberg 2-1 OviedoFriendlies Clubs
Arminia Bielefeld come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Energie Cottbus. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-4 at 1. FC Nürnberg.
- L1. FC Nürnberg 4-1 Arminia Bielefeld2. Bundesliga
- DSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 2-2 Arminia BielefeldDFB Pokal
- WArminia Bielefeld 3-0 Energie Cottbus2. Bundesliga
- LKarlsruher SC 2-1 Arminia Bielefeld2. Bundesliga
- DArminia Bielefeld 1-1 MSV DuisburgFriendlies Clubs
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices 1. FC Nürnberg at 68% to win and Arminia Bielefeld at 16%, with the draw at 16%. Our model makes a 1. FC Nürnberg win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Nürnberg Win | 68% | @ 2.15 | +46.4% |
| Draw | 16% | @ 3.70 | -39.4% |
| Arminia Bielefeld Win | 16% | @ 2.95 | -54.3% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is 1. FC Nürnberg or Draw at 1.38 (86% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Nürnberg or Draw | 86% | @ 1.38 | +18.8% |
| Arminia Bielefeld or Draw | 34% | @ 1.65 | -44.3% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.7-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 75% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 | 55% | @ 2.70 | +48.0% |
| Over 2.5 | 75% | @ 1.67 | +24.9% |
| Over 1.5 | 90% | @ 1.20 | +8.1% |
| Under 3.5 | 45% | @ 1.45 | -34.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 25% | @ 2.15 | -45.8% |
| Under 1.5 | 10% | @ 4.33 | -57.2% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 63%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 63% | @ 1.55 | -3.0% |
| BTTS No | 37% | @ 2.25 | -15.8% |
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for 1. FC Nürnberg vs Arminia Bielefeld?
Our main pick is 1. FC Nürnberg DC 1X at odds 1.32, with 86% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is over 3.5 goals at 2.70 (+48.0% value).
Who is the favourite for 1. FC Nürnberg vs Arminia Bielefeld?
Our model makes a 1. FC Nürnberg win the most likely result at 68%. It projects an expected 2.7-1.2 scoreline for 1. FC Nürnberg vs Arminia Bielefeld.
What is the predicted score for 1. FC Nürnberg vs Arminia Bielefeld?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.66 for 1. FC Nürnberg and 1.25 for Arminia Bielefeld. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do 1. FC Nürnberg and Arminia Bielefeld play?
Kick-off is Saturday 29 August 2026, 18:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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