1. FC Nürnberg

Sat 29 Aug4-1Finished

Arminia Bielefeld

⚽ 2. Bundesliga

1. FC Nürnberg vs Arminia Bielefeld Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for 1. FC Nürnberg vs Arminia Bielefeld in the 2. Bundesliga. Kick-off Saturday 29 August 2026, 18:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: 1. FC Nürnberg 4-1 Arminia Bielefeld

1. FC Nürnberg vs Arminia Bielefeld finished 4-1. 1. FC Nürnberg won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Our pre-match best bet, 1. FC Nürnberg DC 1X at 1.32, landed.

1. FC Nürnberg face Arminia Bielefeld in the 2. Bundesliga, kicking off Saturday 29 August 2026, 18:30 UTC. Recent form: 1. FC Nürnberg have 3 wins from their last 5, while Arminia Bielefeld have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, 1. FC Nürnberg won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a 1. FC Nürnberg win the most likely result at 68%, projecting a 2.7-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for 1. FC Nürnberg vs Arminia Bielefeld with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

1. FC Nürnberg DC 1X @ 1.32

86%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.66 – 1.25 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	2.0%	2.5%	1.6%	0.7%	0.2%
1	5.3%	6.7%	4.2%	1.7%	0.5%
2	7.1%	8.9%	5.5%	2.3%	0.7%
3	6.3%	7.9%	4.9%	2.0%	0.6%
4	4.2%	5.2%	3.3%	1.4%	0.4%

Projected score: 2-1

1. FC Nürnberg winDrawArminia Bielefeld win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for 1. FC Nürnberg vs Arminia Bielefeld comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is 1. FC Nürnberg DC 1X at odds 1.32, with a 86% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a 1. FC Nürnberg win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 68%. Goals lean over 2.5 (75%), both teams to score points yes (63%).

📊 Key numbers

1. FC Nürnberg 68%Draw 16%Arminia Bielefeld 16%

68%16%16%

68%

1. FC Nürnberg Win

75%

Over 2.5 goals

63%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between 1. FC Nürnberg and Arminia Bielefeld. Wins shown from 1. FC Nürnberg’s perspective: 1. FC Nürnberg 1 · 1 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-29	1. FC Nürnberg	4 – 1	Arminia Bielefeld	W
2026-04-18	Arminia Bielefeld	1 – 1	1. FC Nürnberg	D

📈 Recent form

1. FC Nürnberg

1. FC Nürnberg come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to Arminia Bielefeld. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WKarlsruher SC 0-1 1. FC Nürnberg2. Bundesliga
W1. FC Nürnberg 2-1 Hannover 962. Bundesliga
DHolstein Kiel 2-2 1. FC Nürnberg2. Bundesliga
W1. FC Nürnberg 4-1 Arminia Bielefeld2. Bundesliga
DFC Viktoria Köln 1-1 1. FC NürnbergDFB Pokal

Arminia Bielefeld

Arminia Bielefeld come into this game with no wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 12. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at SV Darmstadt 98.

DArminia Bielefeld 2-2 1. FC Heidenheim2. Bundesliga
LSV Darmstadt 98 2-1 Arminia Bielefeld2. Bundesliga
DArminia Bielefeld 2-2 FC St. Pauli2. Bundesliga
L1. FC Nürnberg 4-1 Arminia Bielefeld2. Bundesliga
DSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 2-2 Arminia BielefeldDFB Pokal

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices 1. FC Nürnberg at 68% to win and Arminia Bielefeld at 16%, with the draw at 16%. Our model makes a 1. FC Nürnberg win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
1. FC Nürnberg Win	68%	43%	@ 2.16
Draw	16%	26%	@ 3.60
Arminia Bielefeld Win	16%	31%	@ 3.05

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is 1. FC Nürnberg or Draw at 1.32 (86% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
1. FC Nürnberg or Draw	86%	69%	@ 1.32
Arminia Bielefeld or Draw	34%	57%	@ 1.62

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.7-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 75% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	90%	76%	@ 1.20
Over 2.5	75%	55%	@ 1.67
Over 3.5	55%	35%	@ 2.65
Under 3.5	45%	65%	@ 1.40
Under 2.5	25%	45%	@ 2.02
Under 1.5	10%	24%	@ 3.85

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 63%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	63%	59%	@ 1.54
BTTS No	37%	41%	@ 2.23

📈 How the market moved

1. FC Nürnberg 43%Draw 26%Arminia Bielefeld 31%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for 1. FC Nürnberg vs Arminia Bielefeld?

Our model's main pick is 1. FC Nürnberg DC 1X at odds 1.32, with a 86% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 76%.

Who is the favourite for 1. FC Nürnberg vs Arminia Bielefeld?

Our model makes a 1. FC Nürnberg win the most likely result at 68%. It projects an expected 2.7-1.2 scoreline for 1. FC Nürnberg vs Arminia Bielefeld.

What is the predicted score for 1. FC Nürnberg vs Arminia Bielefeld?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.66 for 1. FC Nürnberg and 1.25 for Arminia Bielefeld. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do 1. FC Nürnberg and Arminia Bielefeld play?

Kick-off is Saturday 29 August 2026, 18:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.