⚽ Super League 1

AEK Athens FC vs Iraklis 1908 Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for AEK Athens FC vs Iraklis 1908 in the Super League 1. Kick-off Saturday 22 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

AEK Athens FC face Iraklis 1908 in the Super League 1, kicking off Saturday 22 August 2026, 17:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an AEK Athens FC win the most likely result at 61%, projecting a 1.8-0.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for AEK Athens FC vs Iraklis 1908 with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.62

72%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.84 – 0.83 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.9%	5.7%	2.4%	0.7%	0.1%
1	12.7%	10.6%	4.4%	1.2%	0.3%
2	11.7%	9.7%	4.0%	1.1%	0.2%
3	7.2%	6.0%	2.5%	0.7%	0.1%
4	3.3%	2.7%	1.1%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-0

AEK Athens FC winDrawIraklis 1908 win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for AEK Athens FC vs Iraklis 1908 is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.62, the selection our model is most confident in at 72%. On the match result, the model rates an AEK Athens FC win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 61%. Goals lean under 2.5 (50%), both teams to score points no (53%).

📊 Key numbers

AEK Athens FC 61%Draw 22%Iraklis 1908 16%

61%22%16%

61%

AEK Athens FC Win

50%

Under 2.5 goals

53%

BTTS no

📈 Recent form

AEK Athens FC

AEK Athens FC come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to St. Truiden. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at home to Samsunspor.

DLevski Sofia 0-0 AEK Athens FCUEFA Champions League
DAEK Athens FC 2-2 OFISuper Cup
WAEK Athens FC 3-0 St. TruidenFriendlies Clubs
LAEK Athens FC 1-2 SamsunsporFriendlies Clubs
WPEC Zwolle 2-3 AEK Athens FCFriendlies Clubs

Iraklis 1908

Iraklis 1908 come into this game with 0 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 8. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at home to Volos NFC.

LIraklis 1908 1-3 Volos NFCCup
DParma 1-1 Iraklis 1908Friendlies Clubs
DPalermo 1-1 Iraklis 1908Friendlies Clubs
LBologna 2-0 Iraklis 1908Friendlies Clubs
LKalamata 1-0 Iraklis 1908Super League 2

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices AEK Athens FC at 61% to win and Iraklis 1908 at 16%, with the draw at 22%. Our model makes an AEK Athens FC win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
AEK Athens FC Win	61%	@ 1.16	n/a
Draw	22%	@ 6.00	n/a
Iraklis 1908 Win	16%	@ 16.00	n/a

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-0.8 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 50% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 1.5	75%	@ 1.15	n/a
Under 1.5	25%	@ 5.00	n/a
Over 2.5	50%	@ 1.50	n/a
Under 2.5	50%	@ 2.50	n/a
Over 3.5	28%	@ 2.20	n/a
Under 3.5	72%	@ 1.62	n/a

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 53%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	47%	@ 2.15	n/a
BTTS No	53%	@ 1.57	n/a

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	61%

Our models are divided on this match. This pick rests on the ensemble weighting rather than on consensus.

Expected goals: 1.91 for the home side, 0.88 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-0 (13%), 2-0 (12%), 1-1 (11%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for AEK Athens FC vs Iraklis 1908?

Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.62, with 72% model confidence.

Who is the favourite for AEK Athens FC vs Iraklis 1908?

Our model makes an AEK Athens FC win the most likely result at 61%. It projects an expected 1.8-0.8 scoreline for AEK Athens FC vs Iraklis 1908.

What is the predicted score for AEK Athens FC vs Iraklis 1908?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.84 for AEK Athens FC and 0.83 for Iraklis 1908. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do AEK Athens FC and Iraklis 1908 play?

Kick-off is Saturday 22 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.