Sat 12 Sep2-2Finished

⚽ Süper Lig

Alanyaspor vs Göztepe Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Alanyaspor vs Göztepe in the Süper Lig. Kick-off Saturday 12 September 2026, 17:00 UTC.

Result: Alanyaspor 2-2 Göztepe

Alanyaspor vs Göztepe finished 2-2. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Our pre-match best bet, over 1.5 goals at 1.40, landed.

Alanyaspor face Göztepe in the upcoming Süper Lig tips, kicking off Saturday 12 September 2026, 17:00 UTC. Recent form: Alanyaspor have 1 win from their last 3, while Göztepe have no wins from their last 3. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Göztepe win the most likely result at 40%, projecting a 1.6-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Alanyaspor vs Göztepe with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Over 1.5 @ 1.40
83%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.60 – 1.64 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 3.9% 6.4% 5.3% 2.9% 1.2%
1 6.3% 10.3% 8.4% 4.6% 1.9%
2 5.0% 8.2% 6.7% 3.7% 1.5%
3 2.7% 4.4% 3.6% 2.0% 0.8%
4 1.1% 1.8% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3%
Projected score: 1-1
Alanyaspor winDrawGöztepe win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Alanyaspor vs Göztepe comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.40, with a 83% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Göztepe win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 40%. Goals lean over 2.5 (63%), both teams to score points yes (63%).

📊 Key numbers

Alanyaspor 38%Draw 22%Göztepe 40%
38%22%40%
40%
Göztepe Win
63%
Over 2.5 goals
63%
BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Alanyaspor

Alanyaspor come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Çorum FK. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Eyüpspor.

  • WÇorum FK 1-2 AlanyasporSüper Lig
  • DAlanyaspor 2-2 GöztepeSüper Lig
  • WRizespor 0-1 AlanyasporSüper Lig
  • LEyüpspor 2-1 AlanyasporSüper Lig
  • WAlanyaspor 1-0 BeşiktaşSüper Lig
Göztepe

Göztepe come into this game with no wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 12. Their most recent defeat was 2-4 at home to Gaziantep FK.

  • DGöztepe 2-2 RizesporSüper Lig
  • DAlanyaspor 2-2 GöztepeSüper Lig
  • LGöztepe 2-4 Gaziantep FKSüper Lig
  • LGalatasaray 3-2 GöztepeSüper Lig
  • LGöztepe 0-1 GençlerbirliğiSüper Lig

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 7 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Alanyaspor
  • MaestroNot in squad
Göztepe
  • F. BayirNot in squad
  • O. BayrakSuspended (red card)
  • G. BayrakdarNot in squad
  • I. SabraAnkle Injury
  • N. Sonko SundbergNot in squad
  • Allan GodoiInjury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Alanyaspor at 38% to win and Göztepe at 40%, with the draw at 22%. Our model makes a Göztepe win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Göztepe Win 40% 32% @ 2.90
Alanyaspor Win 38% 37% @ 2.50
Draw 22% 30% @ 3.10

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Göztepe or Draw at 1.46 (64% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Göztepe or Draw 64% 63% @ 1.46
Alanyaspor or Draw 62% 68% @ 1.35

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 63% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Over 1.5 83% 66% @ 1.40
Over 2.5 63% 40% @ 2.30
Under 3.5 59% 79% @ 1.17
Over 3.5 41% 21% @ 4.40
Under 2.5 37% 60% @ 1.54
Under 1.5 17% 34% @ 2.70

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 63%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 63% 48% @ 1.92
BTTS No 37% 52% @ 1.76

📈 How the market moved

24%36%47%09/0809/0909/1009/1109/12

Alanyaspor 43%Draw 28%Göztepe 29%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Alanyaspor vs Göztepe?

Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.40, with a 83% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 66%.

Who is the favourite for Alanyaspor vs Göztepe?

Our model makes a Göztepe win the most likely result at 40%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.6 scoreline for Alanyaspor vs Göztepe.

What is the predicted score for Alanyaspor vs Göztepe?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.60 for Alanyaspor and 1.64 for Göztepe. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Alanyaspor and Göztepe play?

Kick-off is Saturday 12 September 2026, 17:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.