Fri 23 Oct17:00Upcoming

⚽ Süper Lig

Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor in the Süper Lig. Kick-off Friday 23 October 2026, 17:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Alanyaspor face Kocaelispor in the Süper Lig, kicking off Friday 23 October 2026, 17:00 UTC. Recent form: Alanyaspor have 2 wins from their last 5, while Kocaelispor have 3 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Alanyaspor win the most likely result at 37%, projecting a 1.0-0.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 2.5 @ 1.60

73%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 0.96 – 0.84 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	16.5%	13.9%	5.8%	1.6%	0.3%
1	15.9%	13.3%	5.6%	1.6%	0.3%
2	7.6%	6.4%	2.7%	0.8%	0.2%
3	2.4%	2.0%	0.9%	0.2%	0.1%
4	0.6%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

Projected score: 0-0

Alanyaspor winDrawKocaelispor win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is under 2.5 goals at odds 1.60, with a 73% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an Alanyaspor win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 37%. Goals lean under 2.5 (73%), both teams to score points no (67%).

📊 Key numbers

Alanyaspor 37%Draw 32%Kocaelispor 31%

37%32%31%

37%

Alanyaspor Win

73%

Under 2.5 goals

67%

BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Alanyaspor

Alanyaspor come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Çorum FK. Their only defeat in that run was 0-3 at Fenerbahçe.

LFenerbahçe 3-0 AlanyasporSüper Lig
DAlanyaspor 0-0 Erzurumspor FKSüper Lig
WÇorum FK 1-2 AlanyasporSüper Lig
DAlanyaspor 2-2 GöztepeSüper Lig
WRizespor 0-1 AlanyasporSüper Lig

Kocaelispor

Kocaelispor come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Gaziantep FK. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Göztepe.

LKocaelispor 1-2 GöztepeSüper Lig
LBeşiktaş 2-1 KocaelisporSüper Lig
WKocaelispor 2-0 Gaziantep FKSüper Lig
LGalatasaray 1-0 KocaelisporSüper Lig
WKocaelispor 1-0 SamsunsporSüper Lig

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 5 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Alanyaspor

P. FernandesInjury

Kocaelispor

M. HaidaraMuscle Injury
A. JovanovicCoach's decision
B. PetkovicHamstring Injury
T. ZoukrouMuscle Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Alanyaspor at 37% to win and Kocaelispor at 31%, with the draw at 32%. Our model makes an Alanyaspor win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Alanyaspor Win	37%	47%	@ 1.95
Draw	32%	29%	@ 3.10
Kocaelispor Win	31%	24%	@ 3.80

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Alanyaspor or Draw at 1.22 (66% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Alanyaspor or Draw	66%	76%	@ 1.22
Kocaelispor or Draw	60%	53%	@ 1.73

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.0-0.8 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 73% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	89%	78%	@ 1.20
Under 2.5	73%	59%	@ 1.60
Over 1.5	54%	66%	@ 1.40
Under 1.5	46%	34%	@ 2.75
Over 2.5	27%	41%	@ 2.30
Over 3.5	11%	22%	@ 4.33

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 67%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	67%	51%	@ 1.80
BTTS Yes	33%	49%	@ 1.91

📈 How the market moved

Alanyaspor 47%Draw 30%Kocaelispor 23%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor?

Our model's pick is under 2.5 goals at odds 1.60, with a 73% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 59%.

Who is the favourite for Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor?

Our model makes an Alanyaspor win the most likely result at 37%. It projects an expected 1.0-0.8 scoreline for Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor.

What is the predicted score for Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-0, based on expected goals of 0.96 for Alanyaspor and 0.84 for Kocaelispor. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Alanyaspor and Kocaelispor play?

Kick-off is Friday 23 October 2026, 17:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.