AlbaceteAlbacete
Sat 29 Aug0-1Finished
OviedoOviedo

⚽ Segunda División

Albacete vs Oviedo Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Albacete vs Oviedo in the Segunda División. Kick-off Saturday 29 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

Result: Albacete 0-1 Oviedo

Albacete vs Oviedo finished 0-1. Oviedo won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Albacete face Oviedo in the Segunda División, kicking off Saturday 29 August 2026, 17:00 UTC. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Albacete vs Oviedo with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Over 1.5 @ 1.44
85%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.75 – 1.63 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 3.4% 5.5% 4.5% 2.5% 1.0%
1 6.0% 9.7% 7.9% 4.3% 1.8%
2 5.2% 8.5% 6.9% 3.8% 1.5%
3 3.0% 5.0% 4.0% 2.2% 0.9%
4 1.3% 2.2% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4%
Projected score: 1-1
Albacete winDrawOviedo win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Albacete vs Oviedo comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.44, with a 85% model probability. Goals lean over 2.5 (66%), both teams to score points yes (66%).

Limited model coverage
Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

66%
Over 2.5 goals
66%
BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Albacete

Albacete come into this game with no wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 8. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Cordoba.

  • LAlbacete 1-2 CordobaSegunda División
  • DGranada CF 1-1 AlbaceteSegunda División
  • LCastellón 2-0 AlbaceteSegunda División
  • LAlbacete 0-1 OviedoSegunda División
  • LLas Palmas 2-1 AlbaceteSegunda División
Oviedo

Oviedo come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Valladolid. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at Sabadell.

  • LSabadell 3-1 OviedoSegunda División
  • WValladolid 0-3 OviedoSegunda División
  • DOviedo 0-0 BurgosSegunda División
  • WAlbacete 0-1 OviedoSegunda División
  • LOviedo 0-1 LeganesSegunda División

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Albacete or Draw at 1.30 (66% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Albacete or Draw 66% 70% @ 1.30
Oviedo or Draw 61% 61% @ 1.50

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-1.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 66% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Over 1.5 85% 63% @ 1.44
Over 2.5 66% 39% @ 2.38
Under 3.5 56% 79% @ 1.16
Over 3.5 44% 21% @ 4.35
Under 2.5 34% 61% @ 1.49
Under 1.5 15% 37% @ 2.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 66%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 66% 46% @ 2.00
BTTS No 34% 54% @ 1.68

📈 How the market moved

26%35%43%08/2508/2608/2708/2808/29

Albacete 39%Draw 30%Oviedo 31%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Albacete vs Oviedo?

Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.44, with a 85% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 63%.

What is the predicted score for Albacete vs Oviedo?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.75 for Albacete and 1.63 for Oviedo. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Albacete and Oviedo play?

Kick-off is Saturday 29 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.

Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.