⚽ Segunda División

Almeria vs Eldense Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Almeria vs Eldense in the Segunda División. Kick-off Monday 17 August 2026, 19:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers All markets FAQ

Almeria face Eldense in the Segunda División, kicking off Monday 17 August 2026, 19:30 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Almeria win the most likely result at 56%, projecting a 2.2-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Almeria vs Eldense with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

BTTS Yes @ 1.95

67%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.22 – 1.41 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	2.7%	3.7%	2.6%	1.2%	0.4%
1	5.9%	8.3%	5.9%	2.8%	1.0%
2	6.5%	9.2%	6.5%	3.1%	1.1%
3	4.8%	6.8%	4.8%	2.3%	0.8%
4	2.7%	3.8%	2.7%	1.3%	0.4%

Projected score: 2-1

Almeria winDrawEldense win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Almeria vs Eldense is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is both teams to score at odds 1.95, the selection our model is most confident in at 67%. On the match result, the model rates an Almeria win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 56%. Goals lean over 2.5 (70%), both teams to score points yes (67%).

Best value

BTTS Yes at odds 1.95, 67% model probability, +31.3% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Almeria 56%Draw 20%Eldense 24%

56%20%24%

56%

Almeria Win

70%

Over 2.5 goals

67%

BTTS yes

+31.3%

Best value: BTTS Yes

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Almeria at 56% to win and Eldense at 24%, with the draw at 20%. Our model makes an Almeria win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Eldense Win	24%	@ 8.25	+96.3%
Draw	20%	@ 5.10	+2.9%
Almeria Win	56%	@ 1.33	-25.5%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Eldense or Draw at 3.20 (46% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Eldense or Draw	46%	@ 3.20	+47.0%
Almeria or Draw	78%	@ 1.07	-16.5%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.2-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 70% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 3.5	49%	@ 2.70	+32.6%
Over 2.5	70%	@ 1.65	+15.9%
Over 1.5	88%	@ 1.20	+5.3%
Under 3.5	51%	@ 1.45	-26.2%
Under 2.5	30%	@ 2.20	-34.5%
Under 1.5	12%	@ 4.33	-46.8%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 67%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	67%	@ 1.95	+31.3%
BTTS No	33%	@ 1.73	-43.5%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	56%

Our models are divided on this match. This pick rests on the ensemble weighting rather than on consensus.

Expected goals: 1.70 for the home side, 0.99 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 3-1 (7%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Almeria vs Eldense?

Our main pick is both teams to score at odds 1.95, with 67% model confidence.

Who is the favourite for Almeria vs Eldense?

Our model makes an Almeria win the most likely result at 56%. It projects an expected 2.2-1.4 scoreline for Almeria vs Eldense.

What is the predicted score for Almeria vs Eldense?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.22 for Almeria and 1.41 for Eldense. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Almeria and Eldense play?

Kick-off is Monday 17 August 2026, 19:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.