Sun 13 Sep5-0Finished

⚽ Süper Lig

Amed vs Başakşehir Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Amed vs Başakşehir in the Süper Lig. Kick-off Sunday 13 September 2026, 17:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Amed 5-0 Başakşehir

Amed vs Başakşehir finished 5-0. Amed won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, under 3.5 goals at 1.36, did not land.

Amed face Başakşehir in the upcoming Süper Lig tips, kicking off Sunday 13 September 2026, 17:00 UTC. Recent form: Amed have 2 wins from their last 4, while Başakşehir have 1 win from their last 4. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Amed vs Başakşehir with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.36

74%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.51 – 1.09 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.4%	8.1%	4.4%	1.6%	0.4%
1	11.2%	12.2%	6.7%	2.4%	0.7%
2	8.5%	9.2%	5.0%	1.8%	0.5%
3	4.3%	4.6%	2.5%	0.9%	0.3%
4	1.6%	1.8%	1.0%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Amed winDrawBaşakşehir win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Amed vs Başakşehir comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.36, with a 74% model probability. Goals lean under 2.5 (52%), both teams to score points yes (52%).

Limited model coverage

Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

52%

Under 2.5 goals

52%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Amed

Amed come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at home to Başakşehir. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at Kocaelispor.

WAmed 3-2 BeşiktaşSüper Lig
WAmed 5-0 BaşakşehirSüper Lig
DKasımpaşa 2-2 AmedSüper Lig
WAmed 2-1 TrabzonsporSüper Lig
LKocaelispor 2-0 AmedSüper Lig

Başakşehir

Başakşehir come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Gençlerbirliği. Their most recent defeat was 0-5 at Amed.

WBaşakşehir 4-0 GençlerbirliğiSüper Lig
LAmed 5-0 BaşakşehirSüper Lig
LBaşakşehir 2-3 GalatasaraySüper Lig
DBaşakşehir 1-1 KasımpaşaSüper Lig
LTrabzonspor 2-1 BaşakşehirSüper Lig

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 3 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Amed

Y. SorInjury

Başakşehir

U. BozokSuspended (red card)
E. ViscaNot in squad

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Amed or Draw at 1.50 (72% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Amed or Draw	72%	64%	@ 1.50
Başakşehir or Draw	53%	63%	@ 1.50

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.1 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 52% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	74%	69%	@ 1.36
Over 1.5	73%	75%	@ 1.25
Under 2.5	52%	47%	@ 2.00
Over 2.5	48%	53%	@ 1.80
Under 1.5	27%	25%	@ 3.75
Over 3.5	26%	31%	@ 3.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 52%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	52%	58%	@ 1.62
BTTS No	48%	42%	@ 2.20

📈 How the market moved

Amed 37%Draw 27%Başakşehir 36%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Amed vs Başakşehir?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.36, with a 74% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 69%.

What is the predicted score for Amed vs Başakşehir?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.51 for Amed and 1.09 for Başakşehir. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Amed and Başakşehir play?

Kick-off is Sunday 13 September 2026, 17:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.