Sun 16 Aug3-0Finished

⚽ Süper Lig

Amed vs Erzurumspor FK Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Amed vs Erzurumspor FK in the Süper Lig. Kick-off Sunday 16 August 2026, 18:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Amed 3-0 Erzurumspor FK

Amed vs Erzurumspor FK finished 3-0. Amed won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Amed face Erzurumspor FK in the upcoming Süper Lig tips, kicking off Sunday 16 August 2026, 18:30 UTC. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Amed vs Erzurumspor FK with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.25

79%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.80 – 1.12 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.4%	6.0%	3.4%	1.3%	0.4%
1	9.7%	10.9%	6.1%	2.3%	0.6%
2	8.7%	9.8%	5.5%	2.0%	0.6%
3	5.2%	5.9%	3.3%	1.2%	0.3%
4	2.4%	2.6%	1.5%	0.6%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Amed winDrawErzurumspor FK win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Amed vs Erzurumspor FK comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.25, with a 79% model probability. Goals lean over 2.5 (56%), both teams to score points yes (56%).

Limited model coverage

Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

56%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Amed

Amed come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at home to Başakşehir. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at Kocaelispor.

WAmed 3-2 BeşiktaşSüper Lig
WAmed 5-0 BaşakşehirSüper Lig
DKasımpaşa 2-2 AmedSüper Lig
WAmed 2-1 TrabzonsporSüper Lig
LKocaelispor 2-0 AmedSüper Lig

Erzurumspor FK

Erzurumspor FK come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Samsunspor. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at Beşiktaş.

WErzurumspor FK 1-0 SamsunsporSüper Lig
LBeşiktaş 3-0 Erzurumspor FKSüper Lig
WErzurumspor FK 1-0 KonyasporSüper Lig
DGençlerbirliği 1-1 Erzurumspor FKSüper Lig
LErzurumspor FK 0-4 GalatasaraySüper Lig

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 1 player listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Amed

No absentees reported.

Erzurumspor FK

E. YigitSuspended

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Amed or Draw at 1.40 (77% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Amed or Draw	77%	68%	@ 1.40
Erzurumspor FK or Draw	48%	58%	@ 1.67

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-1.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 56% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	79%	75%	@ 1.25
Under 3.5	66%	69%	@ 1.36
Over 2.5	56%	53%	@ 1.80
Under 2.5	44%	47%	@ 2.00
Over 3.5	34%	31%	@ 3.00
Under 1.5	21%	25%	@ 3.75

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 56%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	56%	56%	@ 1.67
BTTS No	44%	44%	@ 2.10

📈 How the market moved

Amed 41%Draw 27%Erzurumspor FK 32%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Amed vs Erzurumspor FK?

Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.25, with a 79% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.

What is the predicted score for Amed vs Erzurumspor FK?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.80 for Amed and 1.12 for Erzurumspor FK. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Amed and Erzurumspor FK play?

Kick-off is Sunday 16 August 2026, 18:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.