⚽ Süper Lig

Amed vs Erzurumspor FK Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Amed vs Erzurumspor FK in the Süper Lig. Kick-off Sunday 16 August 2026, 18:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers All markets FAQ

Amed face Erzurumspor FK in the Süper Lig, kicking off Sunday 16 August 2026, 18:30 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Amed win the most likely result at 53%, projecting a 1.8-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Amed vs Erzurumspor FK with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.25

79%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.80 – 1.12 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.4%	6.0%	3.4%	1.3%	0.4%
1	9.7%	10.9%	6.1%	2.3%	0.6%
2	8.7%	9.8%	5.5%	2.0%	0.6%
3	5.2%	5.9%	3.3%	1.2%	0.3%
4	2.4%	2.6%	1.5%	0.6%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Amed winDrawErzurumspor FK win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Amed vs Erzurumspor FK is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.25, the selection our model is most confident in at 79%. On the match result, the model rates an Amed win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 53%. Goals lean over 2.5 (56%), both teams to score points yes (56%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is an Amed win at odds 2.28 (+21.6% model value).

Best value

Amed Win at odds 2.28, 53% model probability, +21.6% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Amed 53%Draw 23%Erzurumspor FK 24%

53%23%24%

53%

Amed Win

56%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

BTTS yes

+21.6%

Best value: Amed Win

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Amed at 53% to win and Erzurumspor FK at 24%, with the draw at 23%. Our model makes an Amed win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Amed Win	53%	@ 2.28	+21.6%
Draw	23%	@ 3.55	-17.9%
Erzurumspor FK Win	24%	@ 2.85	-32.9%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Amed or Draw at 1.40 (77% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Amed or Draw	77%	@ 1.40	+7.9%
Erzurumspor FK or Draw	47%	@ 1.60	-24.3%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-1.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 56% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 2.5	56%	@ 1.80	+0.6%
Over 3.5	34%	@ 3.00	+0.4%
Over 1.5	79%	@ 1.25	-1.4%
Under 3.5	66%	@ 1.38	-8.2%
Under 2.5	44%	@ 2.00	-11.7%
Under 1.5	21%	@ 3.85	-18.6%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 56%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	44%	@ 2.15	-6.0%
BTTS Yes	56%	@ 1.62	-8.8%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	53%

Our models are divided on this match. This pick rests on the ensemble weighting rather than on consensus.

Expected goals: 1.66 for the home side, 1.01 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (10%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Amed vs Erzurumspor FK?

Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.25, with 79% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is an Amed win at 2.28 (+21.6% value).

Who is the favourite for Amed vs Erzurumspor FK?

Our model makes an Amed win the most likely result at 53%. It projects an expected 1.8-1.1 scoreline for Amed vs Erzurumspor FK.

What is the predicted score for Amed vs Erzurumspor FK?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.80 for Amed and 1.12 for Erzurumspor FK. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Amed and Erzurumspor FK play?

Kick-off is Sunday 16 August 2026, 18:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.