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⚽ Premier League

Arsenal vs Everton Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Arsenal vs Everton in the Premier League. Kick-off Saturday 24 October 2026, 14:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Arsenal face Everton in the Premier League, kicking off Saturday 24 October 2026, 14:00 UTC. Recent form: Arsenal have 4 wins from their last 5, while Everton have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Arsenal won 3, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Arsenal win the most likely result at 70%, projecting a 1.7-0.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Arsenal vs Everton with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.40

76%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.74 – 0.74 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.4%	6.2%	2.3%	0.6%	0.1%
1	14.6%	10.8%	4.0%	1.0%	0.2%
2	12.7%	9.4%	3.5%	0.9%	0.2%
3	7.4%	5.4%	2.0%	0.5%	0.1%
4	3.2%	2.4%	0.9%	0.2%	0.0%

Projected score: 1-0

Arsenal winDrawEverton win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Arsenal vs Everton comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.40, with a 76% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an Arsenal win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 70%. Goals lean under 2.5 (55%), both teams to score points no (56%).

📊 Key numbers

Arsenal 70%Draw 19%Everton 11%

70%19%11%

70%

Arsenal Win

55%

Under 2.5 goals

56%

BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Arsenal and Everton. Wins shown from Arsenal’s perspective: Arsenal 3 · 2 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-03-14	Arsenal	2 – 0	Everton	W
2025-12-20	Everton	0 – 1	Arsenal	W
2025-04-05	Everton	1 – 1	Arsenal	D
2024-12-14	Arsenal	0 – 0	Everton	D
2024-05-19	Arsenal	2 – 1	Everton	W

📈 Recent form

Arsenal

Arsenal come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Lille. Their only defeat in that run was 0-3 at Brighton.

WNottingham Forest 0-1 ArsenalPremier League
WArsenal 3-0 LilleUEFA Champions League
WArsenal 2-1 LeedsPremier League
LBrighton 3-0 ArsenalPremier League
WIpswich 2-4 ArsenalLeague Cup

Everton

Everton come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Ipswich. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at home to Chelsea.

LEverton 0-2 ChelseaPremier League
DHull City 2-2 EvertonPremier League
WEverton 1-0 IpswichPremier League
WEverton 1-0 WolvesLeague Cup
DTottenham 0-0 EvertonPremier League

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Arsenal at 70% to win and Everton at 11%, with the draw at 19%. Our model makes an Arsenal win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Arsenal Win	70%	68%	@ 1.36
Draw	19%	20%	@ 4.75
Everton Win	11%	12%	@ 7.50

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Arsenal or Draw at 1.10 (88% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Arsenal or Draw	88%	88%	@ 1.10
Everton or Draw	30%	32%	@ 3.00

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-0.7 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 55% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	76%	68%	@ 1.40
Over 1.5	71%	76%	@ 1.25
Under 2.5	55%	47%	@ 2.00
Over 2.5	45%	53%	@ 1.80
Under 1.5	29%	24%	@ 4.00
Over 3.5	24%	32%	@ 3.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 56%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	56%	56%	@ 1.67
BTTS Yes	44%	44%	@ 2.10

📈 How the market moved

Arsenal 68%Draw 20%Everton 12%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Arsenal vs Everton?

Our model's pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.40, with a 76% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 68%.

Who is the favourite for Arsenal vs Everton?

Our model makes an Arsenal win the most likely result at 70%. It projects an expected 1.7-0.7 scoreline for Arsenal vs Everton.

What is the predicted score for Arsenal vs Everton?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.74 for Arsenal and 0.74 for Everton. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Arsenal and Everton play?

Kick-off is Saturday 24 October 2026, 14:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.