⚽ Super League 1

Asteras Tripolis vs AEK Athens FC Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Asteras Tripolis vs AEK Athens FC in the Super League 1. Kick-off Sunday 13 September 2026, 16:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Asteras Tripolis face AEK Athens FC in the Super League 1, kicking off Sunday 13 September 2026, 16:00 UTC. Recent form: Asteras Tripolis have 1 win from their last 5, while AEK Athens FC have 2 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an AEK Athens FC win the most likely result at 48%, projecting a 0.8-1.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Asteras Tripolis vs AEK Athens FC with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.34

80%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 0.80 – 1.48 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.2%	15.1%	11.2%	5.5%	2.0%
1	8.2%	12.1%	9.0%	4.4%	1.6%
2	3.3%	4.8%	3.6%	1.8%	0.7%
3	0.9%	1.3%	1.0%	0.5%	0.2%
4	0.2%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

Projected score: 0-1

Asteras Tripolis winDrawAEK Athens FC win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Asteras Tripolis vs AEK Athens FC is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.34, the selection our model is most confident in at 80%. On the match result, the model rates an AEK Athens FC win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 48%. Goals lean under 2.5 (60%), both teams to score points no (60%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is under 2.5 goals at odds 1.93 (+16.1% model value).

Best value

Under 2.5 at odds 1.93, 60% model probability, +16.1% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Asteras Tripolis 22%Draw 30%AEK Athens FC 48%

22%30%48%

48%

AEK Athens FC Win

60%

Under 2.5 goals

60%

BTTS no

+16.1%

Best value: Under 2.5

📈 Recent form

Asteras Tripolis

Asteras Tripolis come into this game with 0 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 1 and conceding 8. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to Iraklis 1908.

LAsteras Tripolis 0-2 Iraklis 1908Super League 1
LAsteras Tripolis 0-1 Olympiakos PiraeusSuper League 1
LPanetolikos 3-1 Asteras TripolisSuper League 1
LLevadiakos 2-0 Asteras TripolisCup
DADO Den Haag 0-0 Asteras TripolisFriendlies Clubs

AEK Athens FC

AEK Athens FC come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 13 and conceding 1. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at home to Aris Thessalonikis. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WAEK Athens FC 1-0 Lask LinzUEFA Champions League
WAEK Athens FC 5-0 Aris ThessalonikisSuper League 1
WNestos Chrisoupolis 0-2 AEK Athens FCCup
DKifisia 1-1 AEK Athens FCSuper League 1
WAEK Athens FC 4-0 Levski SofiaUEFA Champions League

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Asteras Tripolis at 22% to win and AEK Athens FC at 48%, with the draw at 30%. Our model makes an AEK Athens FC win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Asteras Tripolis Win	22%	@ 7.00	+55.5%
Draw	30%	@ 4.50	+34.3%
AEK Athens FC Win	48%	@ 1.42	-31.9%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Asteras Tripolis or Draw at 2.63 (50% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Asteras Tripolis or Draw	50%	@ 2.63	+30.4%
AEK Athens FC or Draw	75%	@ 1.07	-19.4%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.8-1.5 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 60% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 1.5	34%	@ 3.75	+25.8%
Under 2.5	60%	@ 1.93	+16.1%
Under 3.5	80%	@ 1.34	+7.7%
Over 1.5	66%	@ 1.22	-18.9%
Over 2.5	40%	@ 1.75	-30.2%
Over 3.5	20%	@ 2.95	-42.0%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 60%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	60%	@ 1.71	+3.4%
BTTS Yes	40%	@ 1.97	-22.2%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Asteras Tripolis vs AEK Athens FC?

Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.34, with 80% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is under 2.5 goals at 1.93 (+16.1% value).

Who is the favourite for Asteras Tripolis vs AEK Athens FC?

Our model makes an AEK Athens FC win the most likely result at 48%. It projects an expected 0.8-1.5 scoreline for Asteras Tripolis vs AEK Athens FC.

What is the predicted score for Asteras Tripolis vs AEK Athens FC?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-1, based on expected goals of 0.80 for Asteras Tripolis and 1.48 for AEK Athens FC. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Asteras Tripolis and AEK Athens FC play?

Kick-off is Sunday 13 September 2026, 16:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.