Asteras Tripolis

Sun 13 Sep1-1Finished

AEK Athens FC

⚽ Super League 1

Asteras Tripolis vs AEK Athens FC Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Asteras Tripolis vs AEK Athens FC in the Super League 1. Kick-off Sunday 13 September 2026, 16:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Asteras Tripolis 1-1 AEK Athens FC

Asteras Tripolis vs AEK Athens FC finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, under 3.5 goals at 1.34, landed.

Asteras Tripolis face AEK Athens FC in the Super League 1, kicking off Sunday 13 September 2026, 16:00 UTC. Recent form: Asteras Tripolis have 1 win from their last 5, while AEK Athens FC have 2 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an AEK Athens FC win the most likely result at 58%, projecting a 0.7-1.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Asteras Tripolis vs AEK Athens FC with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.34

73%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 0.69 – 1.95 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.1%	13.9%	13.6%	8.8%	4.3%
1	4.9%	9.6%	9.4%	6.1%	3.0%
2	1.7%	3.3%	3.2%	2.1%	1.0%
3	0.4%	0.8%	0.7%	0.5%	0.2%
4	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%

Projected score: 0-1

Asteras Tripolis winDrawAEK Athens FC win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Asteras Tripolis vs AEK Athens FC comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.34, with a 73% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an AEK Athens FC win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 58%. Goals lean under 2.5 (51%), both teams to score points no (63%).

📊 Key numbers

Asteras Tripolis 17%Draw 25%AEK Athens FC 58%

17%25%58%

58%

AEK Athens FC Win

51%

Under 2.5 goals

63%

BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Asteras Tripolis

Asteras Tripolis come into this game with no wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 3. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to Iraklis 1908.

DOFI 2-2 Asteras TripolisSuper League 1
DAsteras Tripolis 1-1 AEK Athens FCSuper League 1
DAsteras Tripolis 1-1 Aris ThessalonikisCup
LAsteras Tripolis 0-2 Iraklis 1908Super League 1
LAsteras Tripolis 0-1 Olympiakos PiraeusSuper League 1

AEK Athens FC

AEK Athens FC come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 2. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at home to Aris Thessalonikis. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WVolos NFC 1-2 AEK Athens FCSuper League 1
DAsteras Tripolis 1-1 AEK Athens FCSuper League 1
WAEK Athens FC 1-0 Lask LinzUEFA Champions League
WAEK Athens FC 5-0 Aris ThessalonikisSuper League 1
WNestos Chrisoupolis 0-2 AEK Athens FCCup

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Asteras Tripolis at 17% to win and AEK Athens FC at 58%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes an AEK Athens FC win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
AEK Athens FC Win	58%	66%	@ 1.42
Draw	25%	21%	@ 4.50
Asteras Tripolis Win	17%	13%	@ 7.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is AEK Athens FC or Draw at 1.07 (82% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
AEK Athens FC or Draw	82%	87%	@ 1.07
Asteras Tripolis or Draw	41%	34%	@ 2.63

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.7-1.9 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 51% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	74%	75%	@ 1.22
Under 3.5	73%	69%	@ 1.34
Under 2.5	51%	48%	@ 1.93
Over 2.5	49%	52%	@ 1.75
Over 3.5	27%	31%	@ 2.95
Under 1.5	26%	25%	@ 3.75

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 63%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	63%	54%	@ 1.71
BTTS Yes	37%	46%	@ 1.97

📈 How the market moved

Asteras Tripolis 11%Draw 21%AEK Athens FC 68%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Asteras Tripolis vs AEK Athens FC?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.34, with a 73% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 69%.

Who is the favourite for Asteras Tripolis vs AEK Athens FC?

Our model makes an AEK Athens FC win the most likely result at 58%. It projects an expected 0.7-1.9 scoreline for Asteras Tripolis vs AEK Athens FC.

What is the predicted score for Asteras Tripolis vs AEK Athens FC?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-1, based on expected goals of 0.69 for Asteras Tripolis and 1.95 for AEK Athens FC. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Asteras Tripolis and AEK Athens FC play?

Kick-off is Sunday 13 September 2026, 16:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.