AtromitosAtromitos
Sun 30 Aug1-2Finished
PAOKPAOK

⚽ Super League 1

Atromitos vs PAOK Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Atromitos vs PAOK in the Super League 1. Kick-off Sunday 30 August 2026, 17:15 UTC.

Result: Atromitos 1-2 PAOK

Atromitos vs PAOK finished 1-2. PAOK won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Atromitos face PAOK in the Super League 1, kicking off Sunday 30 August 2026, 17:15 UTC. Recent form: Atromitos have 2 wins from their last 5, while PAOK have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, PAOK won 2. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Atromitos vs PAOK with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Atromitos or Draw @ 2.10
89%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.54 – 0.95 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 3.1% 2.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
1 7.7% 7.4% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3%
2 9.8% 9.3% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3%
3 8.3% 7.9% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3%
4 5.3% 5.0% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
Projected score: 2-0
Atromitos winDrawPAOK win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Atromitos vs PAOK comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Atromitos or Draw at odds 2.10, with a 89% model probability. Goals lean over 2.5 (68%), both teams to score points yes (57%).

Limited model coverage
Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

68%
Over 2.5 goals
57%
BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Atromitos and PAOK. Wins shown from Atromitos’s perspective: PAOK 2.

Date Home Score Away Result
2026-09-16 Atromitos 0 – 1 PAOK L
2026-08-30 Atromitos 1 – 2 PAOK L

📈 Recent form

Atromitos

Atromitos come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Panserraikos. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Kifisia.

  • LAtromitos 1-2 KifisiaSuper League 1
  • LAtromitos 0-1 PAOKCup
  • DIraklis 1908 1-1 AtromitosSuper League 1
  • DAtromitos 1-1 KalamataSuper League 1
  • WPanserraikos 0-1 AtromitosCup
PAOK

PAOK come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at Panetolikos. Their only defeat in that run was 1-3 at Panathinaikos.

  • WPanetolikos 1-3 PAOKSuper League 1
  • WAtromitos 0-1 PAOKCup
  • WPAOK 2-0 Aris ThessalonikisSuper League 1
  • LPanathinaikos 3-1 PAOKSuper League 1
  • DPAOK 0-0 OFICup

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Atromitos or Draw at 2.10 (89% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Atromitos or Draw 89% 43% @ 2.10
PAOK or Draw 29% 81% @ 1.13

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.5-0.9 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 68% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Over 1.5 86% 74% @ 1.24
Over 2.5 68% 52% @ 1.78
Under 3.5 54% 68% @ 1.34
Over 3.5 46% 32% @ 2.90
Under 2.5 32% 48% @ 1.90
Under 1.5 14% 26% @ 3.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 57%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 57% 52% @ 1.77
BTTS No 43% 48% @ 1.91

📈 How the market moved

13%38%64%08/2508/2608/2708/2808/2908/30

Atromitos 20%Draw 25%PAOK 56%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atromitos vs PAOK?

Our model's main pick is Atromitos or Draw at odds 2.10, with a 89% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 43%.

What is the predicted score for Atromitos vs PAOK?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-0, based on expected goals of 2.54 for Atromitos and 0.95 for PAOK. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Atromitos and PAOK play?

Kick-off is Sunday 30 August 2026, 17:15 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.