Benevento

Fri 11 Sep3-1Finished

Hellas Verona

⚽ Serie B

Benevento vs Hellas Verona Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Benevento vs Hellas Verona in the Serie B. Kick-off Friday 11 September 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Benevento 3-1 Hellas Verona

Benevento vs Hellas Verona finished 3-1. Benevento won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, Benevento or Draw at 1.53, landed.

Benevento face Hellas Verona in the Serie B, kicking off Friday 11 September 2026, 19:00 UTC. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Benevento vs Hellas Verona with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Benevento +0.75 @ 1.38

77%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.47 – 1.04 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.1%	8.5%	4.4%	1.5%	0.4%
1	11.9%	12.4%	6.5%	2.2%	0.6%
2	8.8%	9.1%	4.7%	1.6%	0.4%
3	4.3%	4.5%	2.3%	0.8%	0.2%
4	1.6%	1.6%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Benevento winDrawHellas Verona win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Benevento vs Hellas Verona comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Benevento with a +0.75 start at odds 1.38, with a 77% model probability. Goals lean under 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points no (50%).

Limited model coverage

Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

54%

Under 2.5 goals

50%

BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Benevento

Benevento come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Hellas Verona. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Ascoli.

WCarrarese 0-1 BeneventoSerie B
WBenevento 3-1 Hellas VeronaSerie B
LAscoli 1-0 BeneventoSerie B
DBenevento 1-1 SudtirolSerie B
LBenevento 1-2 ModenaSerie B

Hellas Verona

Hellas Verona come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at home to Arezzo. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-3 at Benevento.

WHellas Verona 2-1 Vicenza VirtusSerie B
LBenevento 3-1 Hellas VeronaSerie B
WHellas Verona 5-0 ArezzoSerie B
WCagliari 1-2 Hellas VeronaCoppa Italia
DPadova 1-1 Hellas VeronaSerie B

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Benevento or Draw at 1.53 (73% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Benevento or Draw	73%	60%	@ 1.53
Hellas Verona or Draw	53%	69%	@ 1.32

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.0 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 54% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	76%	75%	@ 1.23
Over 1.5	72%	70%	@ 1.32
Under 2.5	54%	54%	@ 1.68
Over 2.5	46%	46%	@ 2.00
Under 1.5	28%	30%	@ 3.10
Over 3.5	24%	25%	@ 3.70

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 50%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	50%	49%	@ 1.87
BTTS Yes	50%	51%	@ 1.77

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Benevento or Hellas Verona is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Benevento +1.75	91%	86%	1.10
Benevento +1.5	90%	82%	1.16
Benevento +1.25	85%	80%	1.19
Benevento +1	81%	78%	1.22
Benevento +0.75	77%	69%	1.38
Hellas Verona +1.5	76%	84%	1.13
Benevento +0.5	73%	62%	1.52
Hellas Verona +1.25	70%	83%	1.15
Benevento +0.25	66%	56%	1.70
Hellas Verona +1	64%	–	1.17
Benevento 0	60%	47%	2.06
Hellas Verona +0.75	58%	74%	1.29
Benevento -0.25	54%	39%	2.45
Hellas Verona +0.5	53%	66%	1.44
Benevento -0.5	47%	34%	2.84
Hellas Verona +0.25	46%	61%	1.57
Benevento -0.75	42%	26%	3.62
Hellas Verona 0	40%	53%	1.79
Hellas Verona -0.25	34%	44%	2.18
Benevento -1.25	30%	17%	5.50
Hellas Verona -0.5	27%	38%	2.51
Benevento -1.5	24%	16%	5.90
Hellas Verona -0.75	23%	31%	3.10
Hellas Verona -1	19%	22%	4.34
Hellas Verona -1.25	15%	20%	4.72
Hellas Verona -1.5	10%	18%	5.25
Hellas Verona -1.75	9%	14%	7.00

📈 How the market moved

Benevento 33%Draw 30%Hellas Verona 37%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Benevento vs Hellas Verona?

Our model's main pick is Benevento with a +0.75 start at odds 1.38, with a 77% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 69%.

What is the predicted score for Benevento vs Hellas Verona?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.47 for Benevento and 1.04 for Hellas Verona. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Benevento and Hellas Verona play?

Kick-off is Friday 11 September 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.