Benevento vs Modena Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Benevento vs Modena in the Serie B. Kick-off Saturday 22 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.

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Result: Benevento 1-2 Modena

Benevento vs Modena finished 1-2. Modena won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Benevento face Modena in the Serie B, kicking off Saturday 22 August 2026, 19:00 UTC. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Benevento vs Modena with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Benevento or Draw @ 1.30

79%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.58 – 0.85 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.8%	7.5%	3.2%	0.9%	0.2%
1	13.9%	11.8%	5.0%	1.4%	0.3%
2	11.0%	9.3%	4.0%	1.1%	0.2%
3	5.8%	4.9%	2.1%	0.6%	0.1%
4	2.3%	1.9%	0.8%	0.2%	0.0%

Projected score: 1-0

Benevento winDrawModena win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Benevento vs Modena comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Benevento or Draw at odds 1.30, with a 79% model probability. Goals lean under 2.5 (56%), both teams to score points no (55%).

Limited model coverage

Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

56%

Under 2.5 goals

55%

BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Benevento

Benevento come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Hellas Verona. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Ascoli.

WCarrarese 0-1 BeneventoSerie B
WBenevento 3-1 Hellas VeronaSerie B
LAscoli 1-0 BeneventoSerie B
DBenevento 1-1 SudtirolSerie B
LBenevento 1-2 ModenaSerie B

Modena

Modena come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Cremonese. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at home to Avellino.

WModena 2-1 EmpoliSerie B
DSudtirol 1-1 ModenaSerie B
LModena 0-1 AvellinoSerie B
WCremonese 0-3 ModenaSerie B
WBenevento 1-2 ModenaSerie B

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Benevento or Draw at 1.30 (79% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Benevento or Draw	79%	70%	@ 1.30
Modena or Draw	45%	58%	@ 1.57

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-0.8 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 56% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	77%	71%	@ 1.29
Over 1.5	70%	73%	@ 1.26
Under 2.5	56%	51%	@ 1.81
Over 2.5	44%	49%	@ 1.86
Under 1.5	30%	27%	@ 3.35
Over 3.5	23%	29%	@ 3.15

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 55%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	55%	45%	@ 2.02
BTTS Yes	45%	55%	@ 1.66

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Benevento vs Modena?

Our model's main pick is Benevento or Draw at odds 1.30, with a 79% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 70%.

What is the predicted score for Benevento vs Modena?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.58 for Benevento and 0.85 for Modena. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Benevento and Modena play?

Kick-off is Saturday 22 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.