⚽ Serie B

Benevento vs Modena Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Benevento vs Modena in the Serie B. Kick-off Saturday 22 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Benevento face Modena in the Serie B, kicking off Saturday 22 August 2026, 19:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Benevento win the most likely result at 54%, projecting a 1.6-0.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Benevento vs Modena with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Benevento or Draw @ 1.36

79%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.58 – 0.85 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.8%	7.5%	3.2%	0.9%	0.2%
1	13.9%	11.8%	5.0%	1.4%	0.3%
2	11.0%	9.3%	4.0%	1.1%	0.2%
3	5.8%	4.9%	2.1%	0.6%	0.1%
4	2.3%	1.9%	0.8%	0.2%	0.0%

Projected score: 1-0

Benevento winDrawModena win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Benevento vs Modena is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Benevento or Draw at odds 1.36, the selection our model is most confident in at 79%. On the match result, the model rates a Benevento win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 54%. Goals lean under 2.5 (56%), both teams to score points no (55%).

📊 Key numbers

Benevento 54%Draw 25%Modena 20%

54%25%20%

54%

Benevento Win

56%

Under 2.5 goals

55%

BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Benevento

Benevento come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 15 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to Fiorentina. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WBenevento 4-1 FiorentinaCoppa Italia
WBenevento 5-3 RavennaCoppa Italia
DFrosinone 2-2 BeneventoFriendlies Clubs
WVis Pesaro 1-2 BeneventoFriendlies Clubs
WOstia Mare 0-2 BeneventoFriendlies Clubs

Modena

Modena come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at home to Virtus Bolzano. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at Venezia.

LVenezia 3-2 ModenaCoppa Italia
WTrento 0-1 ModenaFriendlies Clubs
LCagliari 1-0 ModenaFriendlies Clubs
WModena 5-0 Virtus BolzanoFriendlies Clubs
LModena 0-1 Juve StabiaSerie B

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Benevento at 54% to win and Modena at 20%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes a Benevento win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Benevento Win	54%	@ 2.26	n/a
Draw	25%	@ 3.35	n/a
Modena Win	20%	@ 3.00	n/a

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Benevento or Draw at 1.36 (79% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Benevento or Draw	79%	@ 1.36	n/a
Modena or Draw	45%	@ 1.60	n/a

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-0.8 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 56% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 1.5	70%	@ 1.30	n/a
Under 1.5	30%	@ 3.35	n/a
Over 2.5	44%	@ 1.95	n/a
Under 2.5	56%	@ 1.83	n/a
Over 3.5	23%	@ 3.40	n/a
Under 3.5	77%	@ 1.30	n/a

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 55%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	45%	@ 1.73	n/a
BTTS No	55%	@ 1.95	n/a

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	55%

Our models are divided on this match. This pick rests on the ensemble weighting rather than on consensus.

Expected goals: 1.73 for the home side, 0.97 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (11%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Benevento vs Modena?

Our main pick is Benevento or Draw at odds 1.36, with 79% model confidence.

Who is the favourite for Benevento vs Modena?

Our model makes a Benevento win the most likely result at 54%. It projects an expected 1.6-0.8 scoreline for Benevento vs Modena.

What is the predicted score for Benevento vs Modena?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.58 for Benevento and 0.85 for Modena. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Benevento and Modena play?

Kick-off is Saturday 22 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.