Benevento

Sun 30 Aug1-1Finished

Sudtirol

⚽ Serie B

Benevento vs Sudtirol Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Benevento vs Sudtirol in the Serie B. Kick-off Sunday 30 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Benevento 1-1 Sudtirol

Benevento vs Sudtirol finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Benevento face Sudtirol in the Serie B, kicking off Sunday 30 August 2026, 19:00 UTC. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Benevento vs Sudtirol with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.44

72%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.84 – 0.67 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.1%	5.4%	1.8%	0.4%	0.1%
1	15.0%	10.0%	3.4%	0.7%	0.1%
2	13.8%	9.2%	3.1%	0.7%	0.1%
3	8.4%	5.7%	1.9%	0.4%	0.1%
4	3.9%	2.6%	0.9%	0.2%	0.0%

Projected score: 1-0

Benevento winDrawSudtirol win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Benevento vs Sudtirol comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.44, with a 72% model probability. Goals lean under 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points no (59%).

Limited model coverage

Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

54%

Under 2.5 goals

59%

BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Benevento

Benevento come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Hellas Verona. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Ascoli.

WCarrarese 0-1 BeneventoSerie B
WBenevento 3-1 Hellas VeronaSerie B
LAscoli 1-0 BeneventoSerie B
DBenevento 1-1 SudtirolSerie B
LBenevento 1-2 ModenaSerie B

Sudtirol

Sudtirol come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at Arezzo. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at Genoa.

WArezzo 1-4 SudtirolSerie B
LGenoa 1-0 SudtirolCoppa Italia
DSudtirol 1-1 ModenaSerie B
WSudtirol 2-0 CatanzaroSerie B
DBenevento 1-1 SudtirolSerie B

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Benevento or Draw at 1.23 (86% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Benevento or Draw	86%	74%	@ 1.23
Sudtirol or Draw	34%	56%	@ 1.64

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-0.7 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 54% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	76%	80%	@ 1.15
Over 1.5	72%	64%	@ 1.44
Under 2.5	54%	62%	@ 1.50
Over 2.5	46%	38%	@ 2.40
Under 1.5	28%	36%	@ 2.55
Over 3.5	24%	20%	@ 4.70

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 59%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	59%	55%	@ 1.66
BTTS Yes	41%	45%	@ 2.02

📈 How the market moved

Benevento 44%Draw 30%Sudtirol 26%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Benevento vs Sudtirol?

Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.44, with a 72% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 64%.

What is the predicted score for Benevento vs Sudtirol?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.84 for Benevento and 0.67 for Sudtirol. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Benevento and Sudtirol play?

Kick-off is Sunday 30 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.