⚽ Primeira Liga

Benfica vs GIL Vicente Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Benfica vs GIL Vicente in the Primeira Liga. Kick-off Sunday 13 September 2026, 17:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Benfica face GIL Vicente in the Primeira Liga, kicking off Sunday 13 September 2026, 17:00 UTC. Recent form: Benfica have 3 wins from their last 4, while GIL Vicente have 2 wins from their last 4. In their last 5 meetings, Benfica won 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Benfica win the most likely result at 80%, projecting a 2.3-0.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Benfica vs GIL Vicente with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.61

63%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.33 – 0.74 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.6%	3.4%	1.3%	0.3%	0.1%
1	10.8%	8.0%	3.0%	0.7%	0.1%
2	12.6%	9.3%	3.5%	0.9%	0.2%
3	9.8%	7.2%	2.7%	0.7%	0.1%
4	5.7%	4.2%	1.6%	0.4%	0.1%

Projected score: 2-0

Benfica winDrawGIL Vicente win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Benfica vs GIL Vicente is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.61, the selection our model is most confident in at 63%. On the match result, the model rates a Benfica win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 80%. Goals lean over 2.5 (59%), both teams to score points no (53%).

Best value

Under 3.5 at odds 1.61, 63% model probability, +1.7% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Benfica 80%Draw 14%GIL Vicente 7%

80%14%

80%

Benfica Win

59%

Over 2.5 goals

53%

BTTS no

+1.7%

Best value: Under 3.5

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Benfica and GIL Vicente. Wins shown from Benfica’s perspective: Benfica 5.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-03-02	GIL Vicente	1 – 2	Benfica	W
2025-09-26	Benfica	2 – 1	GIL Vicente	W
2025-03-28	GIL Vicente	0 – 3	Benfica	W
2024-09-28	Benfica	5 – 1	GIL Vicente	W
2024-02-04	Benfica	3 – 0	GIL Vicente	W

📈 Recent form

Benfica

Benfica come into this game with 5 wins from their last 5, scoring 15 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at Moreirense. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WMoreirense 0-4 BenficaPrimeira Liga
WMaritimo 0-3 BenficaPrimeira Liga
WBenfica 2-1 EstorilPrimeira Liga
WAarhus 1-3 BenficaUEFA Europa League
WBenfica 3-1 AarhusUEFA Europa League

GIL Vicente

GIL Vicente come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Casa Pia. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at home to Academico Viseu.

LGIL Vicente 0-1 Academico ViseuPrimeira Liga
DFamalicao 0-0 GIL VicentePrimeira Liga
WGIL Vicente 2-0 Casa PiaPrimeira Liga
WGIL Vicente 1-0 Rio AvePrimeira Liga
DGIL Vicente 2-2 MoreirenseFriendlies Clubs

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Benfica at 80% to win and GIL Vicente at 7%, with the draw at 14%. Our model makes a Benfica win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
GIL Vicente Win	7%	@ 16.00	+8.6%
Draw	14%	@ 7.50	+1.5%
Benfica Win	80%	@ 1.16	-7.6%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Benfica or Draw at 1.01 (93% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Benfica or Draw	93%	@ 1.01	-6.5%
GIL Vicente or Draw	21%	@ 4.30	-9.8%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.3-0.7 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 59% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 1.5	19%	@ 5.50	+4.0%
Under 2.5	41%	@ 2.55	+4.0%
Under 3.5	63%	@ 1.61	+1.7%
Over 1.5	81%	@ 1.11	-10.0%
Over 2.5	59%	@ 1.43	-15.3%
Over 3.5	37%	@ 2.15	-20.8%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 53%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	47%	@ 2.23	+5.1%
BTTS No	53%	@ 1.56	-17.5%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Benfica vs GIL Vicente?

Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.61, with 63% model confidence.

Who is the favourite for Benfica vs GIL Vicente?

Our model makes a Benfica win the most likely result at 80%. It projects an expected 2.3-0.7 scoreline for Benfica vs GIL Vicente.

What is the predicted score for Benfica vs GIL Vicente?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-0, based on expected goals of 2.33 for Benfica and 0.74 for GIL Vicente. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Benfica and GIL Vicente play?

Kick-off is Sunday 13 September 2026, 17:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.