Fri 11 Sep3-0Finished

⚽ Süper Lig

Beşiktaş vs Erzurumspor FK Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Beşiktaş vs Erzurumspor FK in the Süper Lig. Kick-off Friday 11 September 2026, 17:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Beşiktaş 3-0 Erzurumspor FK

Beşiktaş vs Erzurumspor FK finished 3-0. Beşiktaş won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, over 2.5 goals at 1.61, landed.

Beşiktaş face Erzurumspor FK in the upcoming Süper Lig tips, kicking off Friday 11 September 2026, 17:00 UTC. Recent form: Beşiktaş have 3 wins from their last 4, while Erzurumspor FK have 1 win from their last 4. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Beşiktaş vs Erzurumspor FK with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Erzurumspor FK +2 @ 1.75

76%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.20 – 1.22 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.3%	4.0%	2.4%	1.0%	0.3%
1	7.2%	8.8%	5.4%	2.2%	0.7%
2	7.9%	9.7%	5.9%	2.4%	0.7%
3	5.8%	7.1%	4.3%	1.8%	0.5%
4	3.2%	3.9%	2.4%	1.0%	0.3%

Projected score: 2-1

Beşiktaş winDrawErzurumspor FK win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Beşiktaş vs Erzurumspor FK comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Erzurumspor FK with a +2 start at odds 1.75, with a 76% model probability. Goals lean over 2.5 (66%), both teams to score points yes (63%).

Limited model coverage

Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

66%

Over 2.5 goals

63%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Beşiktaş

Beşiktaş come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 17 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 6-2 at home to Çorum FK. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at Amed.

LAmed 3-2 BeşiktaşSüper Lig
WBeşiktaş 4-1 MarseilleUEFA Europa League
WBeşiktaş 3-0 Erzurumspor FKSüper Lig
WFenerbahçe 1-2 BeşiktaşSüper Lig
WBeşiktaş 6-2 Çorum FKSüper Lig

Erzurumspor FK

Erzurumspor FK come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Samsunspor. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at Beşiktaş.

WErzurumspor FK 1-0 SamsunsporSüper Lig
LBeşiktaş 3-0 Erzurumspor FKSüper Lig
WErzurumspor FK 1-0 KonyasporSüper Lig
DGençlerbirliği 1-1 Erzurumspor FKSüper Lig
LErzurumspor FK 0-4 GalatasaraySüper Lig

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 2 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Beşiktaş

D. VlahovicSuspended
R. YilmazNot in squad

Erzurumspor FK

No absentees reported.

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Beşiktaş or Draw at 1.04 (81% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Beşiktaş or Draw	81%	91%	@ 1.04
Erzurumspor FK or Draw	42%	26%	@ 3.30

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.2-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 66% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	86%	79%	@ 1.16
Over 2.5	66%	57%	@ 1.61
Under 3.5	55%	64%	@ 1.44
Over 3.5	45%	36%	@ 2.55
Under 2.5	34%	43%	@ 2.15
Under 1.5	14%	21%	@ 4.40

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 63%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	63%	44%	@ 2.08
BTTS No	37%	56%	@ 1.64

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Beşiktaş or Erzurumspor FK is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Erzurumspor FK +2	76%	55%	1.75
Erzurumspor FK +1.75	71%	48%	2.00
Beşiktaş 0	70%	86%	1.10
Erzurumspor FK +1.5	67%	43%	2.22
Beşiktaş -0.25	64%	83%	1.14
Erzurumspor FK +1.25	60%	37%	2.58
Beşiktaş -0.5	58%	76%	1.25
Erzurumspor FK +1	54%	28%	3.40
Beşiktaş -0.75	52%	–	1.27
Beşiktaş -1	46%	72%	1.32
Erzurumspor FK +0.5	42%	24%	4.00
Beşiktaş -1.25	40%	63%	1.50
Erzurumspor FK +0.25	36%	17%	5.75
Beşiktaş -1.5	33%	57%	1.68
Erzurumspor FK 0	30%	14%	6.80
Beşiktaş -1.75	29%	52%	1.85
Beşiktaş -2	24%	45%	2.10

📈 How the market moved

Beşiktaş 77%Draw 15%Erzurumspor FK 8%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Beşiktaş vs Erzurumspor FK?

Our model's main pick is Erzurumspor FK with a +2 start at odds 1.75, with a 76% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 55%.

What is the predicted score for Beşiktaş vs Erzurumspor FK?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.20 for Beşiktaş and 1.22 for Erzurumspor FK. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Beşiktaş and Erzurumspor FK play?

Kick-off is Friday 11 September 2026, 17:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.