This page was published before our methodology update of 17 September 2026. It may show labels such as "value", "expected value" or "AI Confidence", which we no longer use: in our own testing the bookmaker market was a better forecast than our model. Read the update
Betting Tips 16 May 2026
Accumulator picks, 16 May 2026
- Over 1.5 @ 1.36
- Arouca DC 1X @ 1.64
- Over 2.5 @ 1.51
Combined odds: 3.37
Model is our estimated probability, Market is the probability implied by the odds, and Value is the difference between the two. A higher model probability does not always mean higher value.
🎯 Accumulator picks: high probability
These 3 selections together form the accumulator above.
Atletico-MG vs 
MirassolBrazilian Série A · Kickoff 21:30 UTC
@ 1.36Over 1.5
81% High AI Confidence
Model 80.8%Market 73.5%Value +9.9%
Value: +7.1%
Arouca vs 
TondelaPrimeira Liga · Kickoff 17:00 UTC
@ 1.64Arouca DC 1X
77% High AI Confidence
Model 76.8%Market 61.0%Value +26.0%
Value: +15.6%
Orlando City SC vs 
Atlanta United FCMajor League Soccer · Kickoff 23:30 UTC
@ 1.51Over 2.5
68% High AI Confidence
Model 68.4%Market 66.2%Value +3.3%
Value: +2.0%
📌 Extra value picks
Separate single bets, not part of the accumulator. Higher variance than the accumulator, selected purely on odds versus model probability.
Philadelphia Union vs 
Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer · Kickoff 23:30 UTC
@ 1.73Over 2.5
68% High AI Confidence
Model 68.0%Market 57.8%Value +17.6%
Value: +10.1%
Moreirense vs 
AVSPrimeira Liga · Kickoff 14:30 UTC
@ 1.82Over 2.5
64% High AI Confidence
Model 63.6%Market 54.9%Value +15.8%
Value: +8.8%
Internacional vs 
Vasco DA GamaBrazilian Série A · Kickoff 21:30 UTC
@ 2.06Over 2.5 Goals
49% Medium AI Confidence
Model 49.3%Market 48.5%Value +1.6%
Best available value at 7.9% with attacking H2H history despite missing form data.
Results for 16 May 2026
| Atletico-MG vs Mirassol | Over 1.5 | 3-1 | Won |
| Arouca vs Tondela | Arouca DC 1X | 3-1 | Won |
| Orlando City SC vs Atlanta United FC | Over 2.5 | 1-1 | Lost |
| Philadelphia Union vs Columbus Crew | Over 2.5 | 1-1 | Lost |
| Moreirense vs AVS | Over 2.5 | 0-0 | Lost |
| Internacional vs Vasco DA Gama | Over 2.5 Goals | 4-1 | Won |
Net result: -0.94 units
Accumulator: did not land
All selections are generated by our own prediction models. Odds shown were available at publication and can move. 18+ only, gamble responsibly.
Written by
Daily Sport Pick
Daily Sport Pick provides free daily football betting tips powered by AI analysis and statistical data. Our picks combine league form, head-to-head records, and value assessment to bring you the best selections every day.