⚽ Championship
Blackburn vs Middlesbrough Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Blackburn vs Middlesbrough in the Championship. Kick-off Saturday 22 August 2026, 14:00 UTC.
Result: Blackburn 2-1 Middlesbrough
Blackburn vs Middlesbrough finished 2-1. Blackburn won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Blackburn face Middlesbrough in the upcoming Championship tips, kicking off Saturday 22 August 2026, 14:00 UTC. In their last 5 meetings, Blackburn won 3, Middlesbrough won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Blackburn win the most likely result at 35%, projecting a 1.2-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Blackburn vs Middlesbrough with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.6% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| 1 | 9.2% | 12.6% | 8.5% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| 2 | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| 3 | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Blackburn vs Middlesbrough comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Blackburn with a +1.25 start at odds 1.30, with a 79% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Blackburn win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 35%. Goals lean under 2.5 (52%), both teams to score points yes (52%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Blackburn and Middlesbrough. Wins shown from Blackburn’s perspective: Blackburn 3 · 1 drawn · Middlesbrough 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Blackburn | 2 – 1 | Middlesbrough | W |
| 2025-04-04 | Blackburn | 0 – 2 | Middlesbrough | L |
| 2024-11-27 | Middlesbrough | 0 – 1 | Blackburn | W |
| 2024-03-16 | Middlesbrough | 0 – 0 | Blackburn | D |
| 2023-09-16 | Blackburn | 2 – 1 | Middlesbrough | W |
📈 Recent form
Blackburn come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Millwall. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Sheffield Utd.
- DPortsmouth 2-2 BlackburnChampionship
- WBlackburn 3-1 MillwallChampionship
- LBlackburn 1-2 Sheffield UtdChampionship
- LPreston 2-1 BlackburnChampionship
- DLincoln 0-0 BlackburnChampionship
Middlesbrough come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 10. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 4-3 at home to Norwich. Their only defeat in that run was 0-3 at Crystal Palace.
- DBirmingham 2-2 MiddlesbroughChampionship
- DMiddlesbrough 2-2 MillwallChampionship
- WMiddlesbrough 4-3 NorwichChampionship
- LCrystal Palace 3-0 MiddlesbroughLeague Cup
- WQPR 0-1 MiddlesbroughChampionship
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 10 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- M. BaradjiHamstring Injury
- D. De NeveInjury
- A. KargboMuscle Injury
- M. LitherlandMuscle Injury
- L. MillerAchilles Tendon Injury
- S. WhartonAchilles Tendon Injury
- A. BanguraCoach's decision
- T. ConwayAnkle Injury
- A. PhillipsLacking Match Fitness
- D. StrelecTransfer negotiations
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Blackburn at 35% to win and Middlesbrough at 35%, with the draw at 29%. Our model makes a Blackburn win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackburn Win | 35% | 27% | @ 3.40 |
| Middlesbrough Win | 35% | 45% | @ 2.08 |
| Draw | 29% | 28% | @ 3.35 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Blackburn or Draw at 1.71 (63% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackburn or Draw | 63% | 55% | @ 1.71 |
| Middlesbrough or Draw | 63% | 73% | @ 1.30 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.2-1.4 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 52% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 74% | 72% | @ 1.29 |
| Over 1.5 | 73% | 73% | @ 1.27 |
| Under 2.5 | 52% | 51% | @ 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 | 48% | 49% | @ 1.92 |
| Under 1.5 | 27% | 27% | @ 3.45 |
| Over 3.5 | 26% | 28% | @ 3.30 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 52%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 54% | @ 1.72 |
| BTTS No | 48% | 46% | @ 2.00 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Blackburn or Middlesbrough is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackburn +1.75 | 86% | 82% | @ 1.16 |
| Middlesbrough +1.5 | 84% | 86% | 1.09 |
| Blackburn +1.5 | 84% | 75% | @ 1.24 |
| Middlesbrough +1.25 | 79% | 84% | 1.12 |
| Blackburn +1.25 | 79% | 73% | @ 1.30 |
| Middlesbrough +1 | 74% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Blackburn +1 | 74% | 70% | @ 1.36 |
| Middlesbrough +0.75 | 68% | 79% | 1.21 |
| Blackburn +0.75 | 68% | 61% | @ 1.57 |
| Middlesbrough +0.5 | 63% | – | 1.31 |
| Blackburn +0.5 | 63% | 54% | @ 1.75 |
| Middlesbrough +0.25 | 57% | 69% | 1.39 |
| Blackburn +0.25 | 57% | 47% | @ 2.07 |
| Blackburn 0 | 50% | 38% | @ 2.50 |
| Middlesbrough 0 | 50% | 62% | 1.52 |
| Blackburn -0.25 | 43% | 31% | @ 3.06 |
| Middlesbrough -0.25 | 43% | 53% | 1.81 |
| Middlesbrough -0.5 | 37% | 46% | 2.06 |
| Middlesbrough -0.75 | 32% | 39% | 2.42 |
| Blackburn -0.75 | 32% | 21% | @ 4.53 |
| Middlesbrough -1 | 27% | 30% | 3.12 |
| Blackburn -1 | 26% | 14% | @ 6.80 |
| Blackburn -1.25 | 21% | 16% | @ 6.00 |
| Middlesbrough -1.25 | 21% | 27% | 3.52 |
| Blackburn -1.5 | 16% | 14% | @ 6.55 |
| Middlesbrough -1.5 | 16% | 25% | 3.75 |
| Middlesbrough -1.75 | 14% | 18% | 5.25 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Blackburn vs Middlesbrough?
Our model's main pick is Blackburn with a +1.25 start at odds 1.30, with a 79% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 73%.
Who is the favourite for Blackburn vs Middlesbrough?
Our model makes a Blackburn win the most likely result at 35%. It projects an expected 1.2-1.4 scoreline for Blackburn vs Middlesbrough.
What is the predicted score for Blackburn vs Middlesbrough?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.22 for Blackburn and 1.36 for Middlesbrough. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Blackburn and Middlesbrough play?
Kick-off is Saturday 22 August 2026, 14:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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