⚽ Championship
Blackburn vs Millwall Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Blackburn vs Millwall in the Championship. Kick-off Saturday 12 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.
Result: Blackburn 3-1 Millwall
Blackburn vs Millwall finished 3-1. Blackburn won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
The model's best bet on this page, under 3.5 goals at 1.28, did not land.
Blackburn face Millwall in the upcoming Championship tips, kicking off Saturday 12 September 2026, 14:00 UTC. Recent form: Blackburn have 1 win from their last 5, while Millwall have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Blackburn won 3, Millwall won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Blackburn win the most likely result at 38%, projecting a 1.1-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Blackburn vs Millwall with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.1% | 11.9% | 6.3% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 12.5% | 13.4% | 7.2% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| 2 | 7.1% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| 3 | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Blackburn vs Millwall comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.28, with a 82% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Blackburn win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 38%. Goals lean under 2.5 (62%), both teams to score points no (55%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Blackburn and Millwall. Wins shown from Blackburn’s perspective: Blackburn 3 · 1 drawn · Millwall 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Blackburn | 3 – 1 | Millwall | W |
| 2025-04-18 | Blackburn | 4 – 1 | Millwall | W |
| 2024-12-21 | Millwall | 1 – 0 | Blackburn | L |
| 2024-03-05 | Blackburn | 1 – 1 | Millwall | D |
| 2023-10-24 | Millwall | 1 – 2 | Blackburn | W |
📈 Recent form
Blackburn come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Millwall. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Sheffield Utd.
- DPortsmouth 2-2 BlackburnChampionship
- WBlackburn 3-1 MillwallChampionship
- LBlackburn 1-2 Sheffield UtdChampionship
- LPreston 2-1 BlackburnChampionship
- DLincoln 0-0 BlackburnChampionship
Millwall come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Bolton. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at Blackburn.
- DMillwall 2-2 West HamChampionship
- DMiddlesbrough 2-2 MillwallChampionship
- LBlackburn 3-1 MillwallChampionship
- LMillwall 0-1 NewcastleLeague Cup
- WMillwall 4-0 BoltonChampionship
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 16 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- M. JorgensenHamstring Injury
- A. KargboMuscle Injury
- M. LitherlandMuscle Injury
- L. MillerAchilles Tendon Injury
- Y. OhashiNot in squad
- S. WhartonAchilles Tendon Injury
- J. CoburnMuscle Injury
- T. CramaAnkle Injury
- L. CundleNot in squad
- C. De NorreInjury
- A. DoughtyHamstring Injury
- M. IvanovicHamstring Injury
- L. JensenInjury
- K. LisbieInjury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Blackburn at 38% to win and Millwall at 34%, with the draw at 29%. Our model makes a Blackburn win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackburn Win | 38% | 31% | @ 2.95 |
| Millwall Win | 34% | 40% | @ 2.30 |
| Draw | 29% | 28% | @ 3.30 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Blackburn or Draw at 1.58 (65% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackburn or Draw | 65% | 60% | @ 1.58 |
| Millwall or Draw | 61% | 69% | @ 1.37 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.1-1.1 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 62% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 82% | 73% | @ 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 | 64% | 73% | @ 1.28 |
| Under 2.5 | 62% | 52% | @ 1.79 |
| Over 2.5 | 38% | 48% | @ 1.93 |
| Under 1.5 | 36% | 27% | @ 3.40 |
| Over 3.5 | 18% | 27% | @ 3.40 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 55%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 55% | 46% | @ 2.02 |
| BTTS Yes | 45% | 54% | @ 1.71 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Blackburn or Millwall is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackburn +1.75 | 88% | 85% | 1.12 |
| Blackburn +1.5 | 85% | 80% | @ 1.18 |
| Millwall +1.5 | 82% | 83% | 1.14 |
| Blackburn +1.25 | 80% | 79% | 1.21 |
| Millwall +1.25 | 77% | 82% | 1.16 |
| Blackburn +1 | 75% | 77% | 1.24 |
| Millwall +1 | 72% | 80% | 1.19 |
| Blackburn +0.75 | 70% | 69% | 1.39 |
| Millwall +0.75 | 66% | 73% | 1.31 |
| Blackburn +0.5 | 65% | 62% | @ 1.54 |
| Millwall +0.5 | 61% | 66% | 1.45 |
| Blackburn +0.25 | 59% | 55% | @ 1.72 |
| Millwall +0.25 | 54% | 61% | 1.57 |
| Blackburn 0 | 52% | 47% | @ 2.06 |
| Millwall 0 | 48% | 53% | 1.81 |
| Blackburn -0.25 | 46% | 39% | @ 2.42 |
| Millwall -0.25 | 41% | 45% | 2.14 |
| Blackburn -0.5 | 39% | 34% | @ 2.79 |
| Millwall -0.5 | 35% | 38% | 2.47 |
| Blackburn -0.75 | 34% | 27% | @ 3.48 |
| Millwall -0.75 | 30% | 31% | 3.03 |
| Blackburn -1 | 28% | 20% | @ 4.82 |
| Millwall -1 | 25% | 23% | @ 4.07 |
| Blackburn -1.25 | 23% | 18% | @ 5.25 |
| Millwall -1.25 | 20% | 21% | 4.43 |
| Blackburn -1.5 | 18% | 17% | @ 5.75 |
| Millwall -1.5 | 15% | 20% | 4.80 |
| Millwall -1.75 | 12% | 15% | 6.40 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Blackburn vs Millwall?
Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.28, with a 82% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 73%.
Who is the favourite for Blackburn vs Millwall?
Our model makes a Blackburn win the most likely result at 38%. It projects an expected 1.1-1.1 scoreline for Blackburn vs Millwall.
What is the predicted score for Blackburn vs Millwall?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.13 for Blackburn and 1.07 for Millwall. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Blackburn and Millwall play?
Kick-off is Saturday 12 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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