Sat 29 Aug1-2Finished

⚽ Championship

Blackburn vs QPR Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Blackburn vs QPR in the Championship. Kick-off Saturday 29 August 2026, 14:00 UTC.

Result: Blackburn 1-2 QPR

Blackburn vs QPR finished 1-2. QPR won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Blackburn face QPR in the upcoming Championship tips, kicking off Saturday 29 August 2026, 14:00 UTC. Recent form: Blackburn have 2 wins from their last 5, while QPR have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Blackburn won 2, QPR won 3. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Blackburn win the most likely result at 40%, projecting a 1.2-1.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Blackburn vs QPR with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Under 3.5 @ 1.26
80%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.25 – 1.04 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 10.1% 10.5% 5.5% 1.9% 0.5%
1 12.7% 13.2% 6.8% 2.4% 0.6%
2 7.9% 8.2% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4%
3 3.3% 3.4% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.0% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
Projected score: 1-1
Blackburn winDrawQPR win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Blackburn vs QPR comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.26, with a 80% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Blackburn win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 40%. Goals lean under 2.5 (60%), both teams to score points no (53%).

📊 Key numbers

Blackburn 40%Draw 30%QPR 30%
40%30%30%
40%
Blackburn Win
60%
Under 2.5 goals
53%
BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Blackburn and QPR. Wins shown from Blackburn’s perspective: Blackburn 2 · QPR 3.

Date Home Score Away Result
2026-08-29 Blackburn 1 – 2 QPR L
2025-02-04 QPR 2 – 1 Blackburn L
2024-09-28 Blackburn 2 – 0 QPR W
2024-02-03 Blackburn 1 – 2 QPR L
2023-10-07 QPR 0 – 4 Blackburn W

📈 Recent form

Blackburn

Blackburn come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Millwall. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Sheffield Utd.

  • DPortsmouth 2-2 BlackburnChampionship
  • WBlackburn 3-1 MillwallChampionship
  • LBlackburn 1-2 Sheffield UtdChampionship
  • LPreston 2-1 BlackburnChampionship
  • DLincoln 0-0 BlackburnChampionship
QPR

QPR come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Cardiff. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at home to Middlesbrough.

  • DQPR 2-2 PrestonChampionship
  • DWest Brom 1-1 QPRChampionship
  • DCharlton 0-0 QPRChampionship
  • LQPR 0-1 MiddlesbroughChampionship
  • WQPR 2-1 CardiffChampionship

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 10 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Blackburn
  • M. BaradjiHamstring Injury
  • M. JorgensenHamstring Injury
  • A. KargboMuscle Injury
  • M. LitherlandMuscle Injury
  • L. MillerAchilles Tendon Injury
  • Y. OhashiNot in squad
  • S. WhartonAchilles Tendon Injury
QPR
  • K. DembeleKnee Injury
  • B. KemperAnkle Injury
  • J. ObikwuNot in squad

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Blackburn at 40% to win and QPR at 30%, with the draw at 30%. Our model makes a Blackburn win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Blackburn Win 40% 40% @ 2.35
Draw 30% 28% @ 3.30
QPR Win 30% 32% @ 2.95

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Blackburn or Draw at 1.38 (68% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Blackburn or Draw 68% 68% @ 1.38
QPR or Draw 58% 60% @ 1.57

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.2-1.0 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 60% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Under 3.5 80% 74% @ 1.26
Over 1.5 67% 71% @ 1.32
Under 2.5 60% 53% @ 1.74
Over 2.5 40% 47% @ 2.00
Under 1.5 33% 29% @ 3.20
Over 3.5 20% 26% @ 3.60

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 53%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS No 53% 48% @ 1.93
BTTS Yes 47% 52% @ 1.78

📈 How the market moved

24%36%47%08/2408/2508/2608/2708/2808/29

Blackburn 39%Draw 28%QPR 33%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Blackburn vs QPR?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.26, with a 80% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 74%.

Who is the favourite for Blackburn vs QPR?

Our model makes a Blackburn win the most likely result at 40%. It projects an expected 1.2-1.0 scoreline for Blackburn vs QPR.

What is the predicted score for Blackburn vs QPR?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.25 for Blackburn and 1.04 for QPR. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Blackburn and QPR play?

Kick-off is Saturday 29 August 2026, 14:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.

Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.