⚽ Championship

Blackburn vs QPR Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Blackburn vs QPR in the Championship. Kick-off Saturday 29 August 2026, 14:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Blackburn face QPR in the Championship, kicking off Saturday 29 August 2026, 14:00 UTC. Recent form: Blackburn have 2 wins from their last 5, while QPR have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 4 meetings, Blackburn won 2, QPR won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Blackburn win the most likely result at 40%, projecting a 1.2-1.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Blackburn vs QPR with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.28

80%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.25 – 1.04 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.1%	10.5%	5.5%	1.9%	0.5%
1	12.7%	13.2%	6.8%	2.4%	0.6%
2	7.9%	8.2%	4.3%	1.5%	0.4%
3	3.3%	3.4%	1.8%	0.6%	0.2%
4	1.0%	1.1%	0.6%	0.2%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Blackburn winDrawQPR win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Blackburn vs QPR is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.28, the selection our model is most confident in at 80%. On the match result, the model rates a Blackburn win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 40%. Goals lean under 2.5 (60%), both teams to score points no (53%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is under 2.5 goals at odds 1.80 (+7.8% model value).

Best value

Under 2.5 at odds 1.80, 60% model probability, +7.8% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Blackburn 40%Draw 30%QPR 30%

40%30%30%

40%

Blackburn Win

60%

Under 2.5 goals

53%

BTTS no

+7.8%

Best value: Under 2.5

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 4 meetings between Blackburn and QPR. Wins shown from Blackburn’s perspective: Blackburn 2 · QPR 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2025-02-04	QPR	2 – 1	Blackburn	L
2024-09-28	Blackburn	2 – 0	QPR	W
2024-02-03	Blackburn	1 – 2	QPR	L
2023-10-07	QPR	0 – 4	Blackburn	W

📈 Recent form

Blackburn

Blackburn come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Middlesbrough. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at home to Sheffield Utd.

LBlackburn 1-2 Sheffield UtdLeague Cup
WBlackburn 2-1 MiddlesbroughChampionship
DWolves 2-2 BlackburnChampionship
WBurton Albion 1-2 BlackburnLeague Cup
DHuddersfield 1-1 BlackburnFriendlies Clubs

QPR

QPR come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 16 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 7-0 at Bromley.

DQPR 0-0 BoltonChampionship
WPortsmouth 1-3 QPRChampionship
WAFC Wimbledon 2-3 QPRFriendlies Clubs
WBromley 0-7 QPRFriendlies Clubs
WQPR 3-2 FiorentinaFriendlies Clubs

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 9 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Blackburn

M. BaradjiHamstring Injury
M. JorgensenHamstring Injury
A. KargboMuscle Injury
L. MillerAchilles Tendon Injury
M. LitherlandMuscle Injury
S. WhartonAchilles Tendon Injury

QPR

K. DembeleKnee Injury
R. KolliCoach's decision
B. KemperAnkle Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Blackburn at 40% to win and QPR at 30%, with the draw at 30%. Our model makes a Blackburn win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Draw	30%	@ 3.30	-0.3%
QPR Win	30%	@ 3.15	-6.0%
Blackburn Win	40%	@ 2.22	-11.3%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is QPR or Draw at 1.62 (58% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
QPR or Draw	58%	@ 1.62	-5.9%
Blackburn or Draw	68%	@ 1.35	-8.0%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.2-1.0 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 60% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 1.5	33%	@ 3.25	+8.3%
Under 2.5	60%	@ 1.80	+7.8%
Under 3.5	80%	@ 1.28	+2.6%
Over 1.5	67%	@ 1.33	-11.3%
Over 2.5	40%	@ 2.00	-19.7%
Over 3.5	20%	@ 3.55	-29.5%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 53%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	53%	@ 1.95	+3.8%
BTTS Yes	47%	@ 1.80	-15.8%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	40%
Dixon-Coles	Home	41%
GradientBoosting	Home	40%

All three of our models point the same way. This is our strongest confidence signal.

Expected goals: 1.41 for the home side, 1.19 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Blackburn vs QPR?

Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.28, with 80% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is under 2.5 goals at 1.80 (+7.8% value).

Who is the favourite for Blackburn vs QPR?

Our model makes a Blackburn win the most likely result at 40%. It projects an expected 1.2-1.0 scoreline for Blackburn vs QPR.

What is the predicted score for Blackburn vs QPR?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.25 for Blackburn and 1.04 for QPR. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Blackburn and QPR play?

Kick-off is Saturday 29 August 2026, 14:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.