Sat 29 Aug0-1Finished

⚽ Championship

Bolton vs Lincoln Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Bolton vs Lincoln in the Championship. Kick-off Saturday 29 August 2026, 14:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Bolton 0-1 Lincoln

Bolton vs Lincoln finished 0-1. Lincoln won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Bolton face Lincoln in the upcoming Championship tips, kicking off Saturday 29 August 2026, 14:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a draw the most likely result at 70%, projecting a 1.4-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Bolton vs Lincoln with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.27

74%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.45 – 1.12 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.7%	8.6%	4.8%	1.8%	0.5%
1	11.1%	12.4%	7.0%	2.6%	0.7%
2	8.0%	9.0%	5.0%	1.9%	0.5%
3	3.9%	4.4%	2.4%	0.9%	0.3%
4	1.4%	1.6%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Bolton winDrawLincoln win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Bolton vs Lincoln comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.27, with a 74% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a draw the most likely 1X2 outcome at 70%. Goals lean under 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points yes (52%).

📊 Key numbers

Bolton 15%Draw 70%Lincoln 15%

15%70%15%

70%

Draw

53%

Under 2.5 goals

52%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Bolton

Bolton come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 13. Their biggest win in that run was 4-3 at Norwich. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at home to West Ham.

WNorwich 3-4 BoltonChampionship
WBolton 1-0 CardiffChampionship
LBolton 2-3 West HamChampionship
LMillwall 4-0 BoltonChampionship
LSheffield Utd 3-2 BoltonChampionship

Lincoln

Lincoln come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Bristol City. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Swansea.

LLincoln 1-2 SwanseaChampionship
WBristol City 0-1 LincolnChampionship
WPreston 0-1 LincolnChampionship
LBournemouth 4-0 LincolnLeague Cup
DLincoln 1-1 SouthamptonChampionship

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 5 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Bolton

R. RodriguesKnee Injury
X. SimonsSuspended (red card)

Lincoln

S. BradleyKnock
J. CollinsKnee Injury
T. DarikwaKnee Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Bolton at 15% to win and Lincoln at 15%, with the draw at 70%. Our model makes a draw the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Draw	70%	29%	@ 3.20
Lincoln Win	15%	33%	@ 2.80
Bolton Win	15%	38%	@ 2.48

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Lincoln or Draw at 1.50 (63% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Lincoln or Draw	63%	62%	@ 1.50
Bolton or Draw	63%	67%	@ 1.41

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.1 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 53% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	74%	73%	@ 1.27
Over 1.5	73%	72%	@ 1.29
Under 2.5	53%	53%	@ 1.77
Over 2.5	47%	47%	@ 2.00
Under 1.5	27%	28%	@ 3.30
Over 3.5	26%	27%	@ 3.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 52%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	52%	54%	@ 1.72
BTTS No	48%	46%	@ 2.00

📈 How the market moved

Bolton 38%Draw 29%Lincoln 33%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bolton vs Lincoln?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.27, with a 74% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 73%.

Who is the favourite for Bolton vs Lincoln?

Our model makes a draw the most likely result at 70%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.1 scoreline for Bolton vs Lincoln.

What is the predicted score for Bolton vs Lincoln?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.45 for Bolton and 1.12 for Lincoln. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Bolton and Lincoln play?

Kick-off is Saturday 29 August 2026, 14:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.