⚽ Championship

Bolton vs Lincoln Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Bolton vs Lincoln in the Championship. Kick-off Saturday 29 August 2026, 14:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Bolton face Lincoln in the Championship, kicking off Saturday 29 August 2026, 14:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a draw the most likely result at 70%, projecting a 1.4-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Bolton vs Lincoln with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.30

74%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.45 – 1.12 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.7%	8.6%	4.8%	1.8%	0.5%
1	11.1%	12.4%	7.0%	2.6%	0.7%
2	8.0%	9.0%	5.0%	1.9%	0.5%
3	3.9%	4.4%	2.4%	0.9%	0.3%
4	1.4%	1.6%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Bolton winDrawLincoln win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Bolton vs Lincoln is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.30, the selection our model is most confident in at 74%. On the match result, the model rates a draw the most likely 1X2 outcome at 70%. Goals lean under 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points yes (52%).

Best value

Under 2.5 at odds 1.85, 53% model probability, -2.7% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Bolton 15%Draw 70%Lincoln 15%

15%70%15%

70%

Draw

53%

Under 2.5 goals

52%

BTTS yes

-2.7%

Best value: Under 2.5

📈 Recent form

Bolton

Bolton come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Preston. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at Sheffield Wednesday.

DQPR 0-0 BoltonChampionship
WBolton 2-1 PrestonChampionship
LSheffield Wednesday 1-0 BoltonLeague Cup
WBolton 1-0 NAC BredaFriendlies Clubs
DFleetwood Town 1-1 BoltonFriendlies Clubs

Lincoln

Lincoln come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at Blackpool. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at home to Portsmouth.

WBlackpool 1-4 LincolnLeague Cup
LLincoln 1-3 PortsmouthChampionship
LMiddlesbrough 2-1 LincolnChampionship
WDerby 1-2 LincolnLeague Cup
LBarnsley 3-0 LincolnFriendlies Clubs

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 4 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Bolton

R. RodriguesKnee Injury

Lincoln

S. BradleyKnock
J. CollinsKnee Injury
T. DarikwaKnee Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Bolton at 15% to win and Lincoln at 15%, with the draw at 70%. Our model makes a draw the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Draw	70%	@ 3.35	+133.4%
Lincoln Win	15%	@ 2.68	-58.9%
Bolton Win	15%	@ 2.52	-62.1%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Lincoln or Draw at 1.50 (63% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Lincoln or Draw	63%	@ 1.50	-4.9%
Bolton or Draw	63%	@ 1.45	-8.5%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.1 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 53% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 2.5	53%	@ 1.85	-2.7%
Under 3.5	74%	@ 1.30	-3.5%
Over 1.5	73%	@ 1.30	-5.5%
Under 1.5	27%	@ 3.40	-7.1%
Over 2.5	47%	@ 1.93	-8.5%
Over 3.5	26%	@ 3.40	-12.5%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 52%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	48%	@ 2.05	-0.8%
BTTS Yes	52%	@ 1.73	-10.7%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	45%
GradientBoosting	Draw	84%

Our models are divided on this match. This pick rests on the ensemble weighting rather than on consensus.

Expected goals: 1.29 for the home side, 1.30 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (11%), 2-1 (9%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bolton vs Lincoln?

Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.30, with 74% model confidence.

Who is the favourite for Bolton vs Lincoln?

Our model makes a draw the most likely result at 70%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.1 scoreline for Bolton vs Lincoln.

What is the predicted score for Bolton vs Lincoln?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.45 for Bolton and 1.12 for Lincoln. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Bolton and Lincoln play?

Kick-off is Saturday 29 August 2026, 14:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.