Sat 12 Sep2-2Finished

⚽ Premier League

Bournemouth vs Brentford Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Bournemouth vs Brentford in the Premier League. Kick-off Saturday 12 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Bournemouth 2-2 Brentford

Bournemouth vs Brentford finished 2-2. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, Bournemouth or Draw at 1.50, landed.

Bournemouth face Brentford in the upcoming Premier League tips, kicking off Saturday 12 September 2026, 14:00 UTC. Recent form: Bournemouth have no wins from their last 3, while Brentford have 1 win from their last 3. In their last 5 meetings, Brentford won 3, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Bournemouth win the most likely result at 47%, projecting a 1.5-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Bournemouth vs Brentford with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Bournemouth +0.75 @ 1.34

77%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.47 – 1.30 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.3%	8.1%	5.3%	2.3%	0.7%
1	9.2%	12.0%	7.8%	3.4%	1.1%
2	6.8%	8.8%	5.7%	2.5%	0.8%
3	3.3%	4.3%	2.8%	1.2%	0.4%
4	1.2%	1.6%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Bournemouth winDrawBrentford win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Bournemouth vs Brentford comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Bournemouth with a +0.75 start at odds 1.34, with a 77% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Bournemouth win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 47%. Goals lean over 2.5 (52%), both teams to score points yes (57%).

📊 Key numbers

Bournemouth 47%Draw 27%Brentford 26%

47%27%26%

47%

Bournemouth Win

52%

Over 2.5 goals

57%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Bournemouth and Brentford. Wins shown from Bournemouth’s perspective: 2 drawn · Brentford 3.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-09-12	Bournemouth	2 – 2	Brentford	D
2026-03-03	Bournemouth	0 – 0	Brentford	D
2025-12-27	Brentford	4 – 1	Bournemouth	L
2025-03-15	Bournemouth	1 – 2	Brentford	L
2024-11-09	Brentford	3 – 2	Bournemouth	L

📈 Recent form

Bournemouth

Bournemouth come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Lincoln. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at home to Liverpool.

LBournemouth 0-1 LiverpoolPremier League
WReal Sociedad 1-2 BournemouthUEFA Europa League
DBournemouth 2-2 BrentfordPremier League
WBournemouth 4-0 LincolnLeague Cup
DNewcastle 2-2 BournemouthPremier League

Brentford

Brentford come into this game with 2 wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Chelsea. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WBrentford 3-0 ChelseaPremier League
WReading 1-2 BrentfordLeague Cup
DBournemouth 2-2 BrentfordPremier League
DBrentford 1-1 SunderlandPremier League
DLeeds 1-1 BrentfordPremier League

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 9 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Bournemouth

A. AdliCalf Injury
J. AraujoThigh Injury
E. J. KroupiFoot Injury
V. MilosavljevicInjury

Brentford

N. CollinsInjury
J. DasilvaInjury
M. JensenMuscle Injury
A. MilamboKnee Injury
S. van den BergInjury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Bournemouth at 47% to win and Brentford at 26%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes a Bournemouth win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Bournemouth Win	47%	38%	@ 2.55
Draw	27%	27%	@ 3.60
Brentford Win	26%	36%	@ 2.70

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Bournemouth or Draw at 1.44 (73% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Bournemouth or Draw	73%	64%	@ 1.44
Brentford or Draw	52%	62%	@ 1.50

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 52% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	76%	79%	@ 1.20
Under 3.5	70%	62%	@ 1.53
Over 2.5	52%	59%	@ 1.62
Under 2.5	48%	41%	@ 2.30
Over 3.5	30%	38%	@ 2.50
Under 1.5	24%	21%	@ 4.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 57%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	57%	62%	@ 1.50
BTTS No	43%	38%	@ 2.50

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Bournemouth or Brentford is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Bournemouth +1.75	92%	86%	@ 1.10
Bournemouth +1.5	90%	82%	@ 1.16
Bournemouth +1.25	86%	80%	@ 1.18
Bournemouth +1	82%	78%	1.23
Brentford +1.75	79%	84%	1.13
Bournemouth +0.75	77%	71%	@ 1.34
Brentford +1.5	76%	79%	1.19
Bournemouth +0.5	73%	64%	@ 1.49
Brentford +1.25	70%	77%	1.22
Bournemouth +0.25	67%	59%	@ 1.63
Brentford +1	64%	–	1.26
Bournemouth 0	61%	51%	@ 1.90
Brentford +0.75	58%	68%	1.40
Bournemouth -0.25	54%	44%	@ 2.17
Brentford +0.5	52%	62%	1.55
Bournemouth -0.5	48%	38%	@ 2.48
Brentford +0.25	46%	56%	1.71
Bournemouth -0.75	42%	32%	@ 2.97
Brentford 0	39%	49%	1.99
Brentford -0.25	33%	41%	2.32
Bournemouth -1.25	30%	23%	@ 4.15
Brentford -0.5	27%	36%	2.68
Bournemouth -1.5	24%	21%	@ 4.50
Brentford -0.75	23%	29%	3.27
Bournemouth -1.75	21%	16%	@ 5.90
Brentford -1	18%	22%	4.33
Brentford -1.25	14%	20%	4.65
Brentford -1.5	10%	18%	5.25
Brentford -1.75	8%	14%	6.80

📈 How the market moved

Bournemouth 38%Draw 27%Brentford 36%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bournemouth vs Brentford?

Our model's main pick is Bournemouth with a +0.75 start at odds 1.34, with a 77% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 71%.

Who is the favourite for Bournemouth vs Brentford?

Our model makes a Bournemouth win the most likely result at 47%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.3 scoreline for Bournemouth vs Brentford.

What is the predicted score for Bournemouth vs Brentford?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.47 for Bournemouth and 1.30 for Brentford. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Bournemouth and Brentford play?

Kick-off is Saturday 12 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.