Sat 5 Sep1-1Finished

⚽ Premier League

Brentford vs Sunderland Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Brentford vs Sunderland in the Premier League. Kick-off Saturday 05 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Brentford 1-1 Sunderland

Brentford vs Sunderland finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Brentford face Sunderland in the upcoming Premier League tips, kicking off Saturday 05 September 2026, 14:00 UTC. Recent form: Brentford have 1 win from their last 5, while Sunderland have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 3 meetings, Brentford won 1, Sunderland won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Brentford win the most likely result at 46%, projecting a 1.7-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Brentford vs Sunderland with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Sunderland +1.75 @ 1.32

80%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.68 – 1.13 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.0%	6.8%	3.8%	1.4%	0.4%
1	10.1%	11.4%	6.5%	2.4%	0.7%
2	8.5%	9.6%	5.4%	2.0%	0.6%
3	4.8%	5.4%	3.0%	1.1%	0.3%
4	2.0%	2.3%	1.3%	0.5%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Brentford winDrawSunderland win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Brentford vs Sunderland comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Sunderland with a +1.75 start at odds 1.32, with a 80% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Brentford win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 46%. Goals lean over 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points yes (56%).

📊 Key numbers

Brentford 46%Draw 27%Sunderland 27%

46%27%27%

46%

Brentford Win

53%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 3 meetings between Brentford and Sunderland. Wins shown from Brentford’s perspective: Brentford 1 · 1 drawn · Sunderland 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-09-05	Brentford	1 – 1	Sunderland	D
2026-01-07	Brentford	3 – 0	Sunderland	W
2025-08-30	Sunderland	2 – 1	Brentford	L

📈 Recent form

Brentford

Brentford come into this game with 2 wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Chelsea. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WBrentford 3-0 ChelseaPremier League
WReading 1-2 BrentfordLeague Cup
DBournemouth 2-2 BrentfordPremier League
DBrentford 1-1 SunderlandPremier League
DLeeds 1-1 BrentfordPremier League

Sunderland

Sunderland come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to AZ Alkmaar. Their most recent defeat was 3-5 at Manchester City.

LManchester City 5-3 SunderlandPremier League
WSunderland 1-0 AZ AlkmaarUEFA Europa League
LSunderland 0-2 ArsenalPremier League
WSunderland 1-0 Hull CityLeague Cup
DBrentford 1-1 SunderlandPremier League

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 5 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Brentford

J. DasilvaInjury
M. JensenMuscle Injury
A. MilamboKnee Injury
S. van den BergInjury

Sunderland

H. DiarraHamstring Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Brentford at 46% to win and Sunderland at 27%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes a Brentford win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Brentford Win	46%	58%	@ 1.66
Draw	27%	25%	@ 3.85
Sunderland Win	27%	18%	@ 5.40

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Brentford or Draw at 1.15 (72% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Brentford or Draw	72%	82%	@ 1.15
Sunderland or Draw	53%	42%	@ 2.20

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 53% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	77%	75%	@ 1.25
Under 3.5	69%	69%	@ 1.37
Over 2.5	53%	52%	@ 1.82
Under 2.5	47%	48%	@ 1.96
Over 3.5	31%	31%	@ 3.05
Under 1.5	23%	25%	@ 3.85

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 56%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	56%	52%	@ 1.79
BTTS No	44%	48%	@ 1.94

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Brentford or Sunderland is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Sunderland +2	84%	79%	@ 1.21
Sunderland +1.75	80%	72%	@ 1.32
Sunderland +1.5	76%	66%	@ 1.45
Brentford +0.75	76%	86%	1.10
Brentford +0.5	72%	81%	1.17
Sunderland +1.25	71%	61%	@ 1.55
Brentford +0.25	66%	79%	1.21
Sunderland +1	65%	55%	@ 1.73
Brentford 0	60%	76%	1.26
Sunderland +0.75	59%	48%	@ 2.03
Sunderland +0.5	53%	42%	@ 2.28
Brentford -0.25	53%	66%	1.45
Sunderland +0.25	47%	34%	@ 2.79
Brentford -0.5	47%	58%	1.65
Brentford -0.75	41%	52%	1.84
Sunderland 0	40%	24%	@ 3.92
Brentford -1	35%	45%	2.13
Sunderland -0.25	34%	21%	@ 4.53
Brentford -1.25	29%	39%	2.46
Sunderland -0.5	28%	19%	@ 5.00
Brentford -1.5	24%	34%	2.79
Sunderland -0.75	24%	14%	@ 6.80
Brentford -1.75	20%	28%	3.44
Brentford -2	16%	21%	4.57

📈 How the market moved

Brentford 58%Draw 24%Sunderland 18%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Brentford vs Sunderland?

Our model's main pick is Sunderland with a +1.75 start at odds 1.32, with a 80% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 72%.

Who is the favourite for Brentford vs Sunderland?

Our model makes a Brentford win the most likely result at 46%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.1 scoreline for Brentford vs Sunderland.

What is the predicted score for Brentford vs Sunderland?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.68 for Brentford and 1.13 for Sunderland. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Brentford and Sunderland play?

Kick-off is Saturday 05 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.