Burgos

Sun 16 Aug3-2Finished

Cordoba

⚽ Segunda División

Burgos vs Cordoba Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Burgos vs Cordoba in the Segunda División. Kick-off Sunday 16 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Burgos 3-2 Cordoba

Burgos vs Cordoba finished 3-2. Burgos won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Burgos face Cordoba in the Segunda División, kicking off Sunday 16 August 2026, 17:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Burgos win the most likely result at 43%, projecting a 1.1-0.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Burgos vs Cordoba with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Burgos or Draw @ 1.30

72%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.15 – 0.79 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	14.4%	11.4%	4.5%	1.2%	0.2%
1	16.5%	13.1%	5.2%	1.4%	0.3%
2	9.5%	7.5%	3.0%	0.8%	0.2%
3	3.6%	2.9%	1.1%	0.3%	0.1%
4	1.0%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%

Projected score: 1-0

Burgos winDrawCordoba win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Burgos vs Cordoba comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Burgos or Draw at odds 1.30, with a 72% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Burgos win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 43%. Goals lean under 2.5 (69%), both teams to score points no (62%).

📊 Key numbers

Burgos 43%Draw 32%Cordoba 25%

43%32%25%

43%

Burgos Win

69%

Under 2.5 goals

62%

BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Burgos

Burgos come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to AD Ceuta FC. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at Sporting Gijon.

WLas Palmas 1-2 BurgosSegunda División
WBurgos 3-1 AD Ceuta FCSegunda División
DOviedo 0-0 BurgosSegunda División
LSporting Gijon 1-0 BurgosSegunda División
WBurgos 3-2 CordobaSegunda División

Cordoba

Cordoba come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Albacete. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to Almeria.

WAlbacete 1-2 CordobaSegunda División
LCordoba 0-2 AlmeriaSegunda División
LSabadell 3-2 CordobaSegunda División
LCordoba 1-3 Granada CFSegunda División
WCordoba 2-1 GironaSegunda División

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Burgos at 43% to win and Cordoba at 25%, with the draw at 32%. Our model makes a Burgos win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Burgos Win	43%	40%	@ 2.33
Draw	32%	30%	@ 3.10
Cordoba Win	25%	30%	@ 3.10

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Burgos or Draw at 1.30 (72% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Burgos or Draw	72%	70%	@ 1.30
Cordoba or Draw	54%	60%	@ 1.52

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.1-0.8 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 69% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	87%	77%	@ 1.19
Under 2.5	69%	58%	@ 1.57
Over 1.5	58%	66%	@ 1.38
Under 1.5	42%	34%	@ 2.70
Over 2.5	31%	42%	@ 2.20
Over 3.5	13%	23%	@ 4.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 62%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	62%	52%	@ 1.75
BTTS Yes	38%	48%	@ 1.89

📈 How the market moved

Burgos 39%Draw 30%Cordoba 30%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Burgos vs Cordoba?

Our model's main pick is Burgos or Draw at odds 1.30, with a 72% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 70%.

Who is the favourite for Burgos vs Cordoba?

Our model makes a Burgos win the most likely result at 43%. It projects an expected 1.1-0.8 scoreline for Burgos vs Cordoba.

What is the predicted score for Burgos vs Cordoba?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.15 for Burgos and 0.79 for Cordoba. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Burgos and Cordoba play?

Kick-off is Sunday 16 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.