Cadiz

Sat 12 Sep0-1Finished

Las Palmas

⚽ Segunda División

Cadiz vs Las Palmas Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Cadiz vs Las Palmas in the Segunda División. Kick-off Saturday 12 September 2026, 14:15 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Cadiz 0-1 Las Palmas

Cadiz vs Las Palmas finished 0-1. Las Palmas won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, over 1.5 goals at 1.28, did not land.

Cadiz face Las Palmas in the Segunda División, kicking off Saturday 12 September 2026, 14:15 UTC. Recent form: Cadiz have no wins from their last 4, while Las Palmas have 2 wins from their last 4. In their last 4 meetings, Las Palmas won 2, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Las Palmas win the most likely result at 52%, projecting a 1.2-1.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Cadiz vs Las Palmas with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.28

81%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.22 – 1.84 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.7%	8.6%	7.9%	4.9%	2.2%
1	5.7%	10.5%	9.7%	5.9%	2.7%
2	3.5%	6.4%	5.9%	3.6%	1.7%
3	1.4%	2.6%	2.4%	1.5%	0.7%
4	0.4%	0.8%	0.7%	0.4%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Cadiz winDrawLas Palmas win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Cadiz vs Las Palmas comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.28, with a 81% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Las Palmas win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 52%. Goals lean over 2.5 (59%), both teams to score points yes (57%).

📊 Key numbers

Cadiz 26%Draw 22%Las Palmas 52%

26%22%52%

52%

Las Palmas Win

59%

Over 2.5 goals

57%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 4 meetings between Cadiz and Las Palmas. Wins shown from Cadiz’s perspective: 2 drawn · Las Palmas 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-09-12	Cadiz	0 – 1	Las Palmas	L
2026-04-27	Cadiz	1 – 2	Las Palmas	L
2024-05-19	Cadiz	0 – 0	Las Palmas	D
2023-12-17	Las Palmas	1 – 1	Cadiz	D

📈 Recent form

Cadiz

Cadiz come into this game with no wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 9. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Girona.

LCadiz 1-2 GironaSegunda División
LCadiz 0-1 Las PalmasSegunda División
LAlmeria 3-2 CadizSegunda División
DCadiz 1-1 ValladolidSegunda División
DEldense 2-2 CadizSegunda División

Las Palmas

Las Palmas come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at AD Ceuta FC. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Burgos.

LLas Palmas 1-2 BurgosSegunda División
WCadiz 0-1 Las PalmasSegunda División
DLas Palmas 0-0 LeganesSegunda División
LGirona 5-2 Las PalmasSegunda División
WAD Ceuta FC 0-2 Las PalmasSegunda División

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Cadiz at 26% to win and Las Palmas at 52%, with the draw at 22%. Our model makes a Las Palmas win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Las Palmas Win	52%	35%	@ 2.60
Cadiz Win	26%	36%	@ 2.48
Draw	22%	29%	@ 3.15

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Las Palmas or Draw at 1.44 (75% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Las Palmas or Draw	75%	64%	@ 1.44
Cadiz or Draw	50%	65%	@ 1.40

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.2-1.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 59% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	81%	72%	@ 1.28
Under 3.5	63%	73%	@ 1.26
Over 2.5	59%	47%	@ 1.94
Under 2.5	41%	53%	@ 1.75
Over 3.5	37%	27%	@ 3.45
Under 1.5	19%	28%	@ 3.25

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 57%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	57%	53%	@ 1.70
BTTS No	43%	47%	@ 1.95

📈 How the market moved

Cadiz 34%Draw 29%Las Palmas 37%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cadiz vs Las Palmas?

Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.28, with a 81% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 72%.

Who is the favourite for Cadiz vs Las Palmas?

Our model makes a Las Palmas win the most likely result at 52%. It projects an expected 1.2-1.8 scoreline for Cadiz vs Las Palmas.

What is the predicted score for Cadiz vs Las Palmas?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.22 for Cadiz and 1.84 for Las Palmas. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Cadiz and Las Palmas play?

Kick-off is Saturday 12 September 2026, 14:15 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.