Castellón

Sun 6 Sep2-0Finished

Albacete

⚽ Segunda División

Castellón vs Albacete Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Castellón vs Albacete in the Segunda División. Kick-off Sunday 06 September 2026, 16:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Castellón 2-0 Albacete

Castellón vs Albacete finished 2-0. Castellón won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Castellón face Albacete in the Segunda División, kicking off Sunday 06 September 2026, 16:30 UTC. Recent form: Castellón have 2 wins from their last 3, while Albacete have no wins from their last 3. In their last 2 meetings, Castellón won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Castellón win the most likely result at 45%, projecting a 1.6-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Castellón vs Albacete with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.44

69%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.57 – 1.22 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.1%	7.5%	4.6%	1.9%	0.6%
1	9.6%	11.8%	7.2%	2.9%	0.9%
2	7.6%	9.2%	5.6%	2.3%	0.7%
3	4.0%	4.8%	2.9%	1.2%	0.4%
4	1.6%	1.9%	1.2%	0.5%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Castellón winDrawAlbacete win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Castellón vs Albacete comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.44, with a 69% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Castellón win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 45%. Goals lean over 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points yes (55%).

📊 Key numbers

Castellón 45%Draw 26%Albacete 29%

45%26%29%

45%

Castellón Win

53%

Over 2.5 goals

55%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Castellón and Albacete. Wins shown from Castellón’s perspective: Castellón 1 · 1 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-09-06	Castellón	2 – 0	Albacete	W
2026-03-28	Albacete	1 – 1	Castellón	D

📈 Recent form

Castellón

Castellón come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at home to Tenerife. Their only defeat in that run was 1-3 at home to Levante.

WCastellón 5-0 TenerifeSegunda División
WGirona 1-2 CastellónSegunda División
WCastellón 2-0 AlbaceteSegunda División
DCastellón 0-0 SabadellSegunda División
LCastellón 1-3 LevanteFriendlies Clubs

Albacete

Albacete come into this game with no wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 8. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Cordoba.

LAlbacete 1-2 CordobaSegunda División
DGranada CF 1-1 AlbaceteSegunda División
LCastellón 2-0 AlbaceteSegunda División
LAlbacete 0-1 OviedoSegunda División
LLas Palmas 2-1 AlbaceteSegunda División

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Castellón at 45% to win and Albacete at 29%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes a Castellón win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Castellón Win	45%	62%	@ 1.47
Albacete Win	29%	16%	@ 5.50
Draw	26%	22%	@ 4.10

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Castellón or Draw at 1.10 (71% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Castellón or Draw	71%	84%	@ 1.10
Albacete or Draw	55%	38%	@ 2.38

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 53% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	77%	79%	@ 1.17
Under 3.5	69%	64%	@ 1.44
Over 2.5	53%	57%	@ 1.60
Under 2.5	47%	43%	@ 2.16
Over 3.5	31%	36%	@ 2.55
Under 1.5	23%	21%	@ 4.40

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 55%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	55%	53%	@ 1.71
BTTS No	45%	47%	@ 1.95

📈 How the market moved

Castellón 61%Draw 23%Albacete 16%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Castellón vs Albacete?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.44, with a 69% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 64%.

Who is the favourite for Castellón vs Albacete?

Our model makes a Castellón win the most likely result at 45%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.2 scoreline for Castellón vs Albacete.

What is the predicted score for Castellón vs Albacete?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.57 for Castellón and 1.22 for Albacete. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Castellón and Albacete play?

Kick-off is Sunday 06 September 2026, 16:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.