Castellón

Sun 23 Aug0-0Finished

Sabadell

⚽ Segunda División

Castellón vs Sabadell Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Castellón vs Sabadell in the Segunda División. Kick-off Sunday 23 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Castellón 0-0 Sabadell

Castellón vs Sabadell finished 0-0. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Castellón face Sabadell in the Segunda División, kicking off Sunday 23 August 2026, 17:00 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Castellón won 1, 1 drawn. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Castellón vs Sabadell with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.40

68%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.71 – 1.15 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.7%	6.6%	3.8%	1.5%	0.4%
1	9.8%	11.3%	6.5%	2.5%	0.7%
2	8.4%	9.6%	5.5%	2.1%	0.6%
3	4.8%	5.5%	3.2%	1.2%	0.3%
4	2.0%	2.3%	1.3%	0.5%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Castellón winDrawSabadell win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Castellón vs Sabadell comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.40, with a 68% model probability. Goals lean over 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points yes (56%).

Limited model coverage

Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

54%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Castellón and Sabadell. Wins shown from Castellón’s perspective: Castellón 1 · 1 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-23	Castellón	0 – 0	Sabadell	D
2026-07-18	Castellón	2 – 0	Sabadell	W

📈 Recent form

Castellón

Castellón come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at home to Tenerife. Their only defeat in that run was 1-3 at home to Levante.

WCastellón 5-0 TenerifeSegunda División
WGirona 1-2 CastellónSegunda División
WCastellón 2-0 AlbaceteSegunda División
DCastellón 0-0 SabadellSegunda División
LCastellón 1-3 LevanteFriendlies Clubs

Sabadell

Sabadell come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Oviedo. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at Mallorca.

WSabadell 3-1 OviedoSegunda División
LMallorca 2-0 SabadellSegunda División
WSabadell 3-2 CordobaSegunda División
WSabadell 1-0 AlmeriaSegunda División
DCastellón 0-0 SabadellSegunda División

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Castellón or Draw at 1.11 (75% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Castellón or Draw	75%	83%	@ 1.11
Sabadell or Draw	50%	40%	@ 2.28

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 54% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	78%	76%	@ 1.20
Under 3.5	68%	65%	@ 1.40
Over 2.5	54%	55%	@ 1.67
Under 2.5	46%	45%	@ 2.04
Over 3.5	32%	35%	@ 2.65
Under 1.5	22%	24%	@ 3.90

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 56%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	56%	53%	@ 1.73
BTTS No	44%	47%	@ 1.92

📈 How the market moved

Castellón 61%Draw 23%Sabadell 16%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Castellón vs Sabadell?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.40, with a 68% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 65%.

What is the predicted score for Castellón vs Sabadell?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.71 for Castellón and 1.15 for Sabadell. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Castellón and Sabadell play?

Kick-off is Sunday 23 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.