⚽ Segunda División

Castellón vs Sabadell Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Castellón vs Sabadell in the Segunda División. Kick-off Sunday 23 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Castellón face Sabadell in the Segunda División, kicking off Sunday 23 August 2026, 17:00 UTC. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Castellón vs Sabadell with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.25

78%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.70 – 1.15 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.8%	6.7%	3.8%	1.5%	0.4%
1	9.8%	11.3%	6.5%	2.5%	0.7%
2	8.4%	9.6%	5.5%	2.1%	0.6%
3	4.7%	5.4%	3.1%	1.2%	0.3%
4	2.0%	2.3%	1.3%	0.5%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Castellón winDrawSabadell win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Castellón vs Sabadell is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.25, the selection our model is most confident in at 78%. Goals lean over 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points yes (56%).

Limited model coverage

Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

54%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Castellón

Castellón come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Sabadell. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at home to Levante.

LCastellón 1-3 LevanteFriendlies Clubs
LAlaves 3-0 CastellónFriendlies Clubs
DGirona 3-3 CastellónFriendlies Clubs
WValencia 1-2 CastellónFriendlies Clubs
WCastellón 2-0 SabadellFriendlies Clubs

Sabadell

Sabadell come into this game with 1 win and 4 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Olot.

DSporting Gijon 0-0 SabadellSegunda División
WOlot 0-3 SabadellFriendlies Clubs
DGirona 2-2 SabadellFriendlies Clubs
DFC Andorra 0-0 SabadellFriendlies Clubs
DEspanyol 1-1 SabadellFriendlies Clubs

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Castellón or Draw at 1.08 (75% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Castellón or Draw	75%	@ 1.08	n/a
Sabadell or Draw	50%	@ 2.55	n/a

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 54% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 1.5	78%	@ 1.25	n/a
Under 1.5	22%	@ 3.85	n/a
Over 2.5	54%	@ 1.77	n/a
Under 2.5	46%	@ 2.00	n/a
Over 3.5	32%	@ 2.85	n/a
Under 3.5	68%	@ 1.42	n/a

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 56%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	56%	@ 1.83	n/a
BTTS No	44%	@ 1.85	n/a

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	50%

Our models are divided on this match. This pick rests on the ensemble weighting rather than on consensus.

Expected goals: 1.59 for the home side, 1.05 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (11%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Castellón vs Sabadell?

Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.25, with 78% model confidence.

What is the predicted score for Castellón vs Sabadell?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.70 for Castellón and 1.15 for Sabadell. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Castellón and Sabadell play?

Kick-off is Sunday 23 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.