Catanzaro

Sat 12 Sep1-0Finished

Carrarese

⚽ Serie B

Catanzaro vs Carrarese Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Catanzaro vs Carrarese in the Serie B. Kick-off Saturday 12 September 2026, 15:15 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Catanzaro 1-0 Carrarese

Catanzaro vs Carrarese finished 1-0. Catanzaro won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Our pre-match best bet, over 1.5 goals at 1.33, did not land.

Catanzaro face Carrarese in the Serie B, kicking off Saturday 12 September 2026, 15:15 UTC. Recent form: Catanzaro have 1 win from their last 5, while Carrarese have no wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Catanzaro win the most likely result at 69%, projecting a 2.5-1.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Catanzaro vs Carrarese with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.33

86%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.46 – 1.01 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.1%	3.1%	1.6%	0.5%	0.1%
1	7.7%	7.7%	3.9%	1.3%	0.3%
2	9.4%	9.5%	4.8%	1.6%	0.4%
3	7.7%	7.8%	3.9%	1.3%	0.3%
4	4.7%	4.8%	2.4%	0.8%	0.2%

Projected score: 2-1

Catanzaro winDrawCarrarese win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Catanzaro vs Carrarese comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.33, with a 86% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Catanzaro win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 69%. Goals lean over 2.5 (67%), both teams to score points yes (58%).

📊 Key numbers

Catanzaro 69%Draw 18%Carrarese 13%

69%18%13%

69%

Catanzaro Win

67%

Over 2.5 goals

58%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Catanzaro

Catanzaro come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Carrarese. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Sampdoria.

LSampdoria 2-1 CatanzaroSerie B
WCatanzaro 1-0 CarrareseSerie B
LSudtirol 2-0 CatanzaroSerie B
LPisa 2-1 CatanzaroSerie B
LVicenza Virtus 3-2 CatanzaroSerie B

Carrarese

Carrarese come into this game with no wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 2 and conceding 6. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Benevento.

LCarrarese 0-1 BeneventoSerie B
LCatanzaro 1-0 CarrareseSerie B
LCarrarese 0-1 EmpoliSerie B
DAscoli 1-1 CarrareseSerie B
LCarrarese 1-2 MantovaSerie B

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Catanzaro at 69% to win and Carrarese at 13%, with the draw at 18%. Our model makes a Catanzaro win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Catanzaro Win	69%	47%	@ 2.00
Draw	18%	30%	@ 3.10
Carrarese Win	13%	23%	@ 4.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Catanzaro or Draw at 1.22 (87% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Catanzaro or Draw	87%	77%	@ 1.22
Carrarese or Draw	32%	53%	@ 1.80

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.5-1.0 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 67% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	86%	71%	@ 1.33
Over 2.5	67%	45%	@ 2.08
Under 3.5	54%	75%	@ 1.25
Over 3.5	46%	25%	@ 3.75
Under 2.5	33%	55%	@ 1.73
Under 1.5	14%	29%	@ 3.25

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 58%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	58%	52%	@ 1.80
BTTS No	42%	48%	@ 1.95

📈 How the market moved

Catanzaro 46%Draw 30%Carrarese 24%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Catanzaro vs Carrarese?

Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.33, with a 86% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 71%.

Who is the favourite for Catanzaro vs Carrarese?

Our model makes a Catanzaro win the most likely result at 69%. It projects an expected 2.5-1.0 scoreline for Catanzaro vs Carrarese.

What is the predicted score for Catanzaro vs Carrarese?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.46 for Catanzaro and 1.01 for Carrarese. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Catanzaro and Carrarese play?

Kick-off is Saturday 12 September 2026, 15:15 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.